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202 Haymarket Dr
B- Composite 69.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

202 Haymarket Dr · MacArthur, WV 25801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1975 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Now available online at AUCTION. COM This property is subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for commission and details. This is a reserve auction and all offers are subject to seller approval. Please contact listing agent for details. ''Buyer representing self will not be paid a broker co-op commission''

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 12 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#296 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $80k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
13.09%
Cash-on-cash
24.26%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,480
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Granger Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,412 (-2%) 10mo $142,000 $101 68
213 Haymarket Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+11%) 18mo $130,000 $81 56
101 Azalea Cir 0.49mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,412 (-2%) 13mo $165,000 $117 52
126 Kyle Ln 0.70mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,535 (+7%) 9mo $85,000 $55 36
138 Pebblestone Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,604 (+11%) 7mo $200,000 $125 33
210 Millstone Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,276 (-11%) 24mo $249,900 $196 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$17,409
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$58,733
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25801

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $596/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$453

Break-even live

Break-even rent $636
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $80,000 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 683-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$596 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$596 · $50/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,513
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$596
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,161
− Management
−$1,161
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,386
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,053
After-tax cash flow
$4,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Raleigh County Schools
NCES district ID
5401230
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,828
Composite
29.74/100
National rank
#6445
State rank
#14 of 55 in WV

Livability — MacArthur

Score
54/100
State rank
#296
US rank
#24226

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
MacArthur, WV
County
Raleigh County · 31,128 people
City population
617
Metro
Beckley, WV
Population (ZIP)
31,128
Household income
$56,836
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
1384.0

Population outlook (Raleigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,505 people
By 2030
70,954 · -3.5%
By 2040
66,038 · -10.2%
By 2050
61,919 · -15.8%
By 2075
51,954 · -29.3%
By 2100
39,724 · -46.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Raleigh

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+52.8 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.60%
Current HPI
210.0114
Rent YoY
▲ 4.25%
Metro
Beckley, WV
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+146.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $80,000 FSBO.com
  • 2019-08-09 Sold (MLS) GVBOR
  • 2018-12-11 Listed $25,000 GVBOR
  • 1977-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $596 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…