2807 Omar St · Chesapeake, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Starter home, this 2-bedroom, 1 bath bungalow style home sits on a nice lot, minutes to I-64, Greenbriar Mall, shopping and restaurants on Battlefield Blvd. Gas stove, HVAC and Water Heater. Shed (as is) conveys. With a little TLC this home can be a great beginning for a new family.
Key facts
- 8,100 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Neighborhood: SOUTH NORFOLK; Directions: Battlefield Blvd North to Campostella Rd to Omar St
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 4 vehicles; Driveway spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Gas water heater; Natural gas service
- Home design: Detached ranch on a single living level; 1 story; Crawl foundation
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Storage shed; City view; Frontage approximately 60 ft; Depth approximately 135 ft; Porch; Attic (access via pull-down stairs)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom with full bathroom; No ensuite bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air (natural gas); Heat pump; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Cable hookup; Pull-down attic stairs; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($291/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Portlock Primary (541 students, 93% FRL); Oscar Smith Middle (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #309 of 342 statewide, top 91%, 958 students, 90% FRL); Oscar F. Smith High (math 63% / reading 75%, grade B, #170 of 319 statewide, top 55%, 2,291 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 28% district-wide (57 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 66% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Chesapeake City Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $185k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.56%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,040
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Omar St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $253 | 100 |
| 2814 Mark St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $320 | 90 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-28,467
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-22,938
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23324
- Home prices YoY
- -17.3%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,531 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $77 | +0% $24 | +5% $-28 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-97 | -5% $-36 | +0% $24 | +5% $85 | +10% $145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $117 | -0.5pp $71 | base $24 | +0.5pp $-24 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4200 Reid St Chesapeake, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,352 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-06status Under Contract
-
2026-04-27price $185,000
-
2026-04-06$195,000 Active
-
2018-05-08soldstatus $90,000
-
2018-03-16status Under Contract
-
2018-01-29price $92,500
-
2017-12-08$95,000 Active
-
2010-10-28soldstatus $88,357
-
2007-09-19soldstatus $113,500
-
2003-07-08soldstatus $73,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,370
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,654
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,470
- − Management
- −$1,470
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$2,893
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$694
- After-tax cash flow
- $985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesapeake City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100810
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,356
- Composite
- 57.84/100
- National rank
- #1047
- State rank
- #31 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #7942
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chesapeake, VA
- County
- Chesapeake City · 253,091 people
- City population
- 253,091
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,670
- Household income
- $57,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1301.0
Population outlook (Chesapeake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 263,804 people
- By 2030
- 276,798 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 299,906 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 318,284 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 362,137 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 372,225 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesapeake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.3% · R 47.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: 3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.8 2020: D+6.5 2016: R+1.3 2012: D+1.1 2008: D+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.73%
- Current HPI
- 319.2653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+153.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $185,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $195,000 REINMLS
- 2018-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-16 Pending — REINMLS
- 2018-01-29 Price Changed $92,500 REINMLS
- 2017-12-08 Listed $95,000 REINMLS
- 2010-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $88,357 Public Records
- 2007-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records
- 2003-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,654 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…