36920 Missouri Ave · Dade City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable home with newer windows, remodeled kitchen, wood floors, and large screened o porch on the brick street section of Dade City. In addition to the move in ready home is a large storage shed with full power. Located in great area with quick access to interstate, Historic downtown Dade City and shopping. * * * PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS AND SELLER HAS NEVER LIVED IN PROPERTY SO THERE IS NO SELLER DISCLOSURE. CONDITION OF ANY AND ALL APPLIANCES IS UNKNOWN AND UNWARRANTED. MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE AND NOT TO BE RELIED UPON. NO OFFERS WILL BE SUBMITTED TO SELLER BEFORE 03/07/2016. * * *
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Og hardwood flooring
- Generous yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; No lease restrictions; Property type: Residential — Single family residence; Zoning: ORS2
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; North-facing entry
- Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.15-acre lot
- Exterior features: Covered rear porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.6% in Dade City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#307 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 48% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 295 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $199k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.97%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14307 21st St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,226 (+5%) | 18mo | $259,900 | $212 | 65 |
| 37153 Mcminn Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-2%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $284 | 62 |
| 14431 Lawrence St | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 | 1,090 (-6%) | 9mo | $208,500 | $191 | 56 |
| 37045 North Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,020 (-12%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $225 | 55 |
| 36826 Howard Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 18mo | $80,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 14348 Graham St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,246 (+7%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $237 | 54 |
| 36850 Blanton Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-1%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $195 | 49 |
| 37515 Beauchamp Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+11%) | 2mo | $233,000 | $181 | 43 |
| 14700 State St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,328 (+14%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $188 | 40 |
| 14806 Dade | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,252 (+8%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $64 | 40 |
| 14236 14th St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,292 (+11%) | 18mo | $261,000 | $202 | 36 |
| 37302 Marshall Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,256 (+8%) | 21mo | $235,000 | $187 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $146,703
- Equity at exit
- $179,275
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.21×
- Total profit
- $401,759
- Equity at exit
- $386,613
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33523
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 295
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,341 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $602
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37329 Magnolia Ave Unit 1234471P Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $3,391 | $2.79 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 13921 19th St Unit 1234474P Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $2,013 | $2.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 14635 State St Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,761 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 37540 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit A Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14907 Lucca Way Unit 1 Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $2,100 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 37802 Whitehouse Ave Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,150 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 37135 Grassy Hill Ln Unit 1234475P Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $3,535 | $2.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 37135 Grassy Hill Ln Unit 1 Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $3,500 | $2.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 37215 Grassy Hill Ln Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,495 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 37132 Grassy Hill Ln Unit 1 Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $3,500 | $2.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 37132 Grassy Hill Ln Unit 1234477P Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $3,594 | $2.98 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 37228 Grassy Hill Ln Unit 1 Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,750 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13650 5th St Dade City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13917 2nd St Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13253 Waterford Castle Dr Dade City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,749 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-01$199,000 Active
-
2016-05-21status Pending 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Adorable home with newer windows, remodeled kitchen, wood floors, and large screened o porch on the brick street section of Dade City. In addition to the move in ready home is a large storage shed with full power. Located in great area with quick access to interstate, Historic downtown Dade City and shopping. * * * PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS AND SELLER HAS NEVER LIVED IN PROPERTY SO THERE IS NO SELLER DISCLOSURE. CONDITION OF ANY AND ALL APPLIANCES IS UNKNOWN AND UNWARRANTED. MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE AND NOT TO BE RELIED UPON. NO OFFERS WILL BE SUBMITTED TO SELLER BEFORE 03/07/2016. * * *
-
2016-05-19historical 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Adorable home with newer windows, remodeled kitchen, wood floors, and large screened o porch on the brick street section of Dade City. In addition to the move in ready home is a large storage shed with full power. Located in great area with quick access to interstate, Historic downtown Dade City and shopping. * * * PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS AND SELLER HAS NEVER LIVED IN PROPERTY SO THERE IS NO SELLER DISCLOSURE. CONDITION OF ANY AND ALL APPLIANCES IS UNKNOWN AND UNWARRANTED. MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE AND NOT TO BE RELIED UPON. NO OFFERS WILL BE SUBMITTED TO SELLER BEFORE 03/07/2016. * * *
-
2016-05-19soldstatus $76,500 Sold 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Adorable home with newer windows, remodeled kitchen, wood floors, and large screened o porch on the brick street section of Dade City. In addition to the move in ready home is a large storage shed with full power. Located in great area with quick access to interstate, Historic downtown Dade City and shopping. * * * PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS AND SELLER HAS NEVER LIVED IN PROPERTY SO THERE IS NO SELLER DISCLOSURE. CONDITION OF ANY AND ALL APPLIANCES IS UNKNOWN AND UNWARRANTED. MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE AND NOT TO BE RELIED UPON. NO OFFERS WILL BE SUBMITTED TO SELLER BEFORE 03/07/2016. * * *
-
2016-03-15status Pending 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Adorable home with newer windows, remodeled kitchen, wood floors, and large screened o porch on the brick street section of Dade City. In addition to the move in ready home is a large storage shed with full power. Located in great area with quick access to interstate, Historic downtown Dade City and shopping. * * * PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS AND SELLER HAS NEVER LIVED IN PROPERTY SO THERE IS NO SELLER DISCLOSURE. CONDITION OF ANY AND ALL APPLIANCES IS UNKNOWN AND UNWARRANTED. MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE AND NOT TO BE RELIED UPON. NO OFFERS WILL BE SUBMITTED TO SELLER BEFORE 03/07/2016. * * *
-
2016-02-24$75,900 Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
Adorable home with newer windows, remodeled kitchen, wood floors, and large screened o porch on the brick street section of Dade City. In addition to the move in ready home is a large storage shed with full power. Located in great area with quick access to interstate, Historic downtown Dade City and shopping. * * * PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS AND SELLER HAS NEVER LIVED IN PROPERTY SO THERE IS NO SELLER DISCLOSURE. CONDITION OF ANY AND ALL APPLIANCES IS UNKNOWN AND UNWARRANTED. MEASUREMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE AND NOT TO BE RELIED UPON. NO OFFERS WILL BE SUBMITTED TO SELLER BEFORE 03/07/2016. * * *
-
2007-11-26soldstatus $138,000
-
2007-11-21soldstatus $138,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
REMODELED STARTER HOME WITH UPGRADED KITCHEN, NEW ROOF. 2BR/1BA WITH DEN, NEW PAINT, BRICK STREET WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN DADE CITY. SCREENED BACK PORCH, DECK AND DETATCHED WORKSHOP.
-
2007-03-05$140,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
REMODELED STARTER HOME WITH UPGRADED KITCHEN, NEW ROOF. 2BR/1BA WITH DEN, NEW PAINT, BRICK STREET WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN DADE CITY. SCREENED BACK PORCH, DECK AND DETATCHED WORKSHOP.
-
2005-12-15soldstatus $118,000
-
2005-12-14soldstatus $118,000
-
2005-11-15$130,000
-
1998-08-05soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,450 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,652 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$201/yr (+$17/mo · 13.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,450
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,248
- − Management
- −$2,248
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $4,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,216/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dade City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #307
- US rank
- #5215
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dade City, FL
- City population
- 21,077
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,296
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.36%
- Current HPI
- 448.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+243.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-19 Sold (MLS) $76,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-24 Listed $75,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2007-11-21 Sold (MLS) $138,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-05 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-14 Sold (MLS) $118,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-15 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,450 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…