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30228 Water St
B Composite 71.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$54,000

30228 Water St · Bokoshe, OK 74930
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1930 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Craftsman-style home offers a unique opportunity for investors or buyers looking to restore a classic property. Full of character and original charm, the home features hardwood floors, a covered front porch, and timeless architectural details. Situated on a spacious corner lot just three blocks from Bokoshe Public Schools, the property includes a large mature pecan tree that provides both shade and curb appeal. Additional features include a detached garage/workshop, a water well, and a storm shelter. The home does require significant repairs and updates, including a new roof, drywall repairs where ceiling damage has occurred, flooring repairs, and interior/exterior

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Craftsman style home
  • Water well

Tags

CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOMECOVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE MATURE PECAN TREEDETACHED GARAGE WORKSHOPWATER WELLSTORM SHELTER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Gravel driveway; 1 covered parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family house; One story; Corner-facing lot
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Paved public road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-framed windows; Covered porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($700 rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#602 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bokoshe (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #452 of 513 in OK (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bokoshe Es (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 102 students, 0% FRL); Bokoshe Hs (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 45 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 88% district-wide (88 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $54k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,380 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.30%
Cash-on-cash
17.88%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,400
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23057 Bokoshe 0.22mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (+3%) 1mo $125,000 $86 74
22788 Ralls Rock Ln 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,508 (+8%) 7mo $90,000 $60 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$23,444
Equity at exit
$27,052
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$60,229
Equity at exit
$43,988

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74930

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $264/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$147
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $415
Max offer price $54,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $241 +0% $225 +5% $210 +10% $195
Rent -10% $170 -5% $198 +0% $225 +5% $253 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $253 -0.5pp $239 base $225 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,500
Closing costs
$1,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
29920 Main St Unit 8 Bokoshe, OK 2.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 21d 1 0.32mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $54,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $54,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,000 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $54,000 Active
  17. 2025-12-07
    price $60,000
  18. 2025-10-13
    listed $65,000 Active
  19. 1998-10-28
    soldstatus $28,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$264 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$486 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$222/yr (+$18/mo · 84.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,025
− Property taxes
−$264
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$672
− Management
−$672
− Depreciation
−$1,571
Taxable income
$1,926
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$462
After-tax cash flow
$2,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bokoshe
NCES district ID
4004950
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$33,488
Composite
17.58/100
National rank
#14131
State rank
#452 of 513 in OK

Livability — Bokoshe

Score
54/100
State rank
#602
US rank
#24206

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bokoshe, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,697

Population outlook (Le Flore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,504 people
By 2030
47,474 · -2.1%
By 2040
44,914 · -7.4%
By 2050
42,239 · -12.9%
By 2075
35,071 · -27.7%
By 2100
25,949 · -46.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Two or more races 14% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% European 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Le Flore

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.0% · R 81.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+58.7 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.90%
Current HPI
273.6294
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $54,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $60,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $65,000 WRVBOR
  • 1998-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $264 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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