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160 Treetop Cir #23
D- Composite 35.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$193,875

160 Treetop Cir #23 · Laconia, NH 03246
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 848 sqft · Condo public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1974 $382/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to get your own place at The Big Lake. Village of Winnipesaukee is within walking distance of all the fun Weirs Beach, and a short, few minute's drive to the four-season playground of the Lakes Region. Enjoy Gunstock Mtn, concerts at Meadowbrook, the sun and fun of the local beaches, great local restaurants, shopping and more! This unit is tucked away in the back of the association and provides views of the Lake and Mountains. Association features a new salt-water pool and plenty of common area to enjoy on a hot summer afternoon. Great rental potential and a solid association complete the package.

Key facts

  • $382 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1974

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Condo name: Village of Winnipesauke
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $382; Condo fee covers association/HOA fee, internet, landscaping, plowing, recreation, trash and water; Association amenities include beach access, heated in-ground pool, playground, basketball court, coin laundry, building maintenance, master insurance, snow removal and trash removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; High-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Garden-style condominium; Built in 1974; Unit 23
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Membrane roof
  • Exterior features: Condo development with lake and mountain views; Near skiing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Unit 23 (unit/lot number provided)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall AC units
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $194k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (20.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (2.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 1.8% in Laconia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in NH, #2,314 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Laconia School District (town): math 24% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #89 of 98 in NH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Woodland Heights Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #230 of 263 statewide, top 91%, 304 students, 65% FRL); Laconia Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #75 of 96 statewide, top 78%, 408 students, 47% FRL); Laconia High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #73 of 90 statewide, top 83%, 590 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+21.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Recommended offer $153,696 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.03%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-35,676
Equity at exit
$28,907
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,305
Equity at exit
$16,763

Cash invested: $54,285 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03246

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Rents YoY
21.6%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,886 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,017
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,852/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$382
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$-227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,174
Max offer price $153,696
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-118 -5% $-173 +0% $-227 +5% $-282 +10% $-337
Rent -10% $-376 -5% $-302 +0% $-227 +5% $-153 +10% $-78
Rate -1.0pp $-130 -0.5pp $-178 base $-227 +0.5pp $-278 +1.0pp $-329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,469
Closing costs
$5,816
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Treetop Cir Laconia, NH 2.0 2.0 883 $1,900 $2.15 46d 1 0.04mi
361 Lakeside Ave Unit 2 Laconia, NH 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,950 $1.95 46d 1 0.23mi
130 Endicott St N Laconia, NH 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 46d 1 0.45mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$382 · $4,584/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1455-char remark
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $193,875 Active 1455-char remark
  3. 2017-05-22
    soldstatus $82,995 Closed 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Great opportunity to get your own place at The Big Lake. Village of Winnipesaukee is within walking distance of all the fun Weirs Beach, and a short, few minute's drive to the four-season playground of the Lakes Region. Enjoy Gunstock Mtn, concerts at Meadowbrook, the sun and fun of the local beaches, great local restaurants, shopping and more! This unit is tucked away in the back of the association and provides views of the Lake and Mountains. Association features a new salt-water pool and plenty of common area to enjoy on a hot summer afternoon. Great rental potential and a solid association complete the package.

  4. 2017-03-29
    historical Active with Contract 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Great opportunity to get your own place at The Big Lake. Village of Winnipesaukee is within walking distance of all the fun Weirs Beach, and a short, few minute's drive to the four-season playground of the Lakes Region. Enjoy Gunstock Mtn, concerts at Meadowbrook, the sun and fun of the local beaches, great local restaurants, shopping and more! This unit is tucked away in the back of the association and provides views of the Lake and Mountains. Association features a new salt-water pool and plenty of common area to enjoy on a hot summer afternoon. Great rental potential and a solid association complete the package.

  5. 2017-03-13
    listed $79,900 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Great opportunity to get your own place at The Big Lake. Village of Winnipesaukee is within walking distance of all the fun Weirs Beach, and a short, few minute's drive to the four-season playground of the Lakes Region. Enjoy Gunstock Mtn, concerts at Meadowbrook, the sun and fun of the local beaches, great local restaurants, shopping and more! This unit is tucked away in the back of the association and provides views of the Lake and Mountains. Association features a new salt-water pool and plenty of common area to enjoy on a hot summer afternoon. Great rental potential and a solid association complete the package.

  6. 2015-09-29
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,852 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,539 · $295/mo
Expected delta
+$687/yr (+$57/mo · 24.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,628
− Mortgage interest
−$10,860
− Property taxes
−$2,852
− Insurance
−$969
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,810
− Management
−$1,810
− HOA
−$4,584
− Depreciation
−$5,640
Taxable loss
−$5,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,415
After-tax cash flow
$-1,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laconia School District
NCES district ID
3304140
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,155
Composite
24.03/100
National rank
#7770
State rank
#89 of 98 in NH

Livability — Laconia

Score
79/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#2314

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laconia, NH
County
Belknap County · 17,103 people
City population
17,103
Metro
Laconia, NH
Population (ZIP)
17,103
Household income
$73,241
Rent vs Own
35.7% rent · 64.3% own
Severe rent burden
722.0

Population outlook (Belknap County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
60,702 people
By 2030
60,353 · -0.6%
By 2040
58,264 · -4.0%
By 2050
54,533 · -10.2%
By 2075
45,622 · -24.8%
By 2100
33,772 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 17% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Belknap

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 43.1% · R 56.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.22%
Current HPI
389.8118
Rent YoY
▲ 21.59%
Metro
Laconia, NH
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+1458.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $187,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $193,875 PrimeMLS
  • 2017-05-22 Sold (MLS) $82,995 PrimeMLS
  • 2017-03-29 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2017-03-13 Listed $79,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,852 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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