17885 Daniel Island Dr · Athens, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$238,888
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your dream home in the Laurenwood Welcome to the Gardner Plan a very elegant two-story home designed for both comfort and versatility. The chef’s kitchen is a highlight, featuring stylish cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances, including an electric smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. The main floor includes a flexible space and a guest suite with a spacious walk-in closet. The oversized primary suite upstairs offers a serene retreat with a private bath and expansive walk-in closet. Additional features include a 2-car garage, and energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane windows.
Key facts
- Flexible space
- Walk-in closet
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $239k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($558/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in AL, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Athens City (town): math 27% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Athens Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #76 of 627 statewide, top 13%, 408 students, 64% FRL); Athens Middle School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 958 students, 59% FRL); Athens High School (math 29% / reading 38%, grade F, #56 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,173 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 753 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,202/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.83%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $261,633
- List price
- $238,888
- Delta
- -8.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17864 Daniel Island Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,014 (-8%) | 3mo | $264,888 | $132 | 76 |
| 17893 Daniel Island Dr | 0.01mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,014 (-8%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $129 | 71 |
| 17920 Daniel Island Dr | 0.05mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,012 (-8%) | 15mo | $274,990 | $137 | 68 |
| 17978 Daniel Island Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,012 (-8%) | 16mo | $264,990 | $132 | 64 |
| 18059 Arrowhead Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,012 (-8%) | 17mo | $264,990 | $132 | 64 |
| 17476 Carillon Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,276 (+4%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $178 | 57 |
| 16732 Watercress Dr | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,279 (+4%) | 8mo | $450,000 | $197 | 54 |
| 17976 Arrowhead Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,859 (-15%) | 8mo | $239,888 | $129 | 52 |
| 17948 Daniel Island Dr | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,859 (-15%) | 16mo | $244,990 | $132 | 50 |
| 18113 Arrowhead Dr | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,859 (-15%) | 16mo | $239,900 | $129 | 49 |
| 17859 Rustling Oaks Trl | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,369 (+9%) | 8mo | $444,900 | $188 | 48 |
| 17902 Watercress Dr | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,968 (-10%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $191 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-39,545
- Equity at exit
- $35,619
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-45,643
- Equity at exit
- $20,655
Cash invested: $66,889 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 20 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.0 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $257,374 ($147/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 88 d
- This list price
- 10% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -18.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35611
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 753
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,202 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$299 /mo · $3,583/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$42
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $212 | -5% $129 | +0% $46 | +5% $-36 | +10% $-119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-127 | -5% $-40 | +0% $46 | +5% $133 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $167 | -0.5pp $107 | base $46 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,722
- Closing costs
- $7,167
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17993 Longleaf Dr Athens, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2226 | $2,400 | $1.08 | 63d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 18072 Longleaf Dr Athens, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2571 | $2,600 | $1.01 | 63d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 17969 Longleaf Dr Athens, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2173 | $2,100 | $0.97 | 63d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 17884 Longleaf Dr Athens, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2175 | $2,100 | $0.97 | 72d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 16891 Orleans Dr Unit 30 Athens, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2323 | $2,445 | $1.05 | 63d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 16837 Orleans Dr Unit 27 Athens, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2323 | $2,395 | $1.03 | 63d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17813 Denham Cir Athens, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1753 | $1,950 | $1.11 | 93d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1003 E Washington St Athens, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1768 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 70d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail $42/mo · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $238,888 Active 241 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $238,888 Active 240 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $238,888 Active 239 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $238,888 Active 238 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $238,888 Active 237 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $238,888 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $238,888 Active 233 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $238,888 Active 231 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $238,888 Active 229 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $238,888 Active 227 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $238,888 Active 225 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $238,888 Active 224 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $238,888 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $238,888 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $238,888 Active 218 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $238,888 Active 217 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $238,888 Active 216 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $238,888 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $238,888 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $238,888 Active 213 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $238,888 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $238,888 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $238,888 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $238,888 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $238,888 Active 208 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $238,888 Active 207 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $238,888 Active 205 DOM
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2026-07-03price $238,888 Active 204 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $239,888 Active 204 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $239,888 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $239,888 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $239,888 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $239,888 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $239,888 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $239,888 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $239,888 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,888 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,888 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,888 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,888 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,888 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,888 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,888 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,888 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,888 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $239,888 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $239,888 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-03pricedays on market $239,888 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $242,888 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $242,888 Active 173 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,381
- − Property taxes
- −$3,583
- − Insurance
- −$1,194
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,114
- − Management
- −$2,114
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$6,949
- Taxable loss
- −$3,419
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$821
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a well-maintained exterior, energy-efficient windows, and a spacious interior with modern amenities. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the curb appeal and the home's move-in-ready condition.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Replace windows if older than 10 years — Improves energy efficiency and reduces heating/cooling costs. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens City
- NCES district ID
- 0100120
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,479
- Composite
- 33.14/100
- National rank
- #5555
- State rank
- #29 of 129 in AL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens, AL
- County
- Limestone County · 111,441 people
- City population
- 55,492
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,969
- Household income
- $57,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.98%
- Current HPI
- 185.0264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $251,888 VMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $251,888 Zillow
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $259,990 VMLS
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $259,990 Zillow
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $249,888 Zillow
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $252,888 Zillow
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $249,888 Zillow
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $249,888 VMLS
- 2026-02-24 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $257,888 VMLS
- 2026-02-12 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $257,888 Zillow
- 2025-07-09 Delisted — VMLS
- 2025-06-04 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-04-24 Listed $269,990 VMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $269,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…