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71 St Charles St
A Composite 89.48
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,999

71 St Charles St · Johnson City, NY 13790
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot $62/sqft · 51% below area Est $138k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your toolbox and creativity to this versatile 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom starter home located just minutes from downtown Johnson City. Perfect for buyers seeking a great deal and the opportunity to build equity, this home offers strong potential for customization. Situated on a manageable lot, the backyard borders the Wilson Hospital campus, providing a unique and highly accessible location close to major employers, shopping, and everyday amenities. Whether you're an owner occupant looking to build sweat equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property is full of​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ opportunity!

Key facts

  • Accessible location
  • Manageable lot
  • 6,969 sq ft lot

Tags

MANAGEABLE LOTBORDERS WILSON HOSPITAL CAMPUSACCESSIBLE LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 6.2% in Johnson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#238 in NY, #3,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Johnson City Central School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $90k implies a 462% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $84,599 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
15.16%
Cash-on-cash
31.66%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,230
List price
$89,999
Delta
-34.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Concord St 0.52mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-1%) 19mo $200,000 $139 54
211 Floral Ave 0.41mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,238 (-14%) 10mo $170,000 $137 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.2%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$101,749
Equity at exit
$81,078
10-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
12.59×
Total profit
$291,999
Equity at exit
$174,848

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13790

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
9.5%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,933 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,235/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$665

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,092
Max offer price $89,999
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,999 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,999 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,999 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,999 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,999 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,999 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $89,999 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 48 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 47 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    price $100,000 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Bring your toolbox and creativity to this versatile 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom starter home located just minutes from downtown Johnson City. Perfect for buyers seeking a great deal and the opportunity to build equity, this home offers strong potential for customization. Situated on a manageable lot, the backyard borders the Wilson Hospital campus, providing a unique and highly accessible location close to major employers, shopping, and everyday amenities. Whether you're an owner occupant looking to build sweat equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property is full of​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ opportunity!

  19. 2026-04-13
    listed $110,000 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Bring your toolbox and creativity to this versatile 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom starter home located just minutes from downtown Johnson City. Perfect for buyers seeking a great deal and the opportunity to build equity, this home offers strong potential for customization. Situated on a manageable lot, the backyard borders the Wilson Hospital campus, providing a unique and highly accessible location close to major employers, shopping, and everyday amenities. Whether you're an owner occupant looking to build sweat equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property is full of​​‌​​​​‌​‌​​​​‌​​‌​​​​‌‌ opportunity!

  20. 2002-08-19
    soldstatus $16,000 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    MODERN FURNACE, 1ST FLR LAUNDRY. APPLIANCES AS IS: 1ST FLR REFRIG, WASHER & DRYER IN BSMT. ALL INCOME & EXPENSES ESTIMATED. WALKING DISTANCE TO WILSON HOSPITAL/DOWNTOWN.

  21. 2002-02-08
    listed $24,500 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    MODERN FURNACE, 1ST FLR LAUNDRY. APPLIANCES AS IS: 1ST FLR REFRIG, WASHER & DRYER IN BSMT. ALL INCOME & EXPENSES ESTIMATED. WALKING DISTANCE TO WILSON HOSPITAL/DOWNTOWN.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,235 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,235 · $353/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,197
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$4,235
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,856
− Management
−$1,856
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$7,141
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,714
After-tax cash flow
$6,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson City Central School District
NCES district ID
3615900
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,514
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5545
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Johnson City

Score
76/100
State rank
#238
US rank
#3739

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnson City, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
18,739
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
18,739
Household income
$59,045
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
1233.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.06%
Current HPI
285.3668
Rent YoY
▲ 9.47%
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+308.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $100,000 GBAOR
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $110,000 GBAOR
  • 2002-08-19 Sold (MLS) $16,000 GBAOR
  • 2002-02-08 Listed $24,500 GBAOR

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,235 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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