310 E Williamson Ave · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features modern finishes throughout including updated tile flooring, fresh interior paint, and a bright open feel. The home offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, updated bathrooms, and a refreshed kitchen perfect for everyday living or entertaining. Recent cosmetic improvements give the home a clean, modern look while still maintaining its original charm. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, schools, and major roadways. Great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors looking for a well-maintained property in an established neighborhood. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 33 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Tile flooring; Ceiling fans; Central air; Central heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($722/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Austin El (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 308 students, 90% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,143 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 751 students, 89% FRL); Harlingen H S (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 1,942 students, 82% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.38%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,316
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 E Leggett Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (-1%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $156 | 65 |
| 1905 N 8th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-13%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $146 | 59 |
| 2605 Jeff St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,765 (+7%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 2805 N Blake St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (-10%) | 7mo | $173,000 | $116 | 44 |
| 113 Orange Grove Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,806 (+10%) | 12mo | $156,000 | $86 | 41 |
| 734 Nantucket Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-12%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $169 | 39 |
| 2125 N Kelly St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (-11%) | 22mo | $179,500 | $123 | 36 |
| 2702 Greenbriar Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,861 (+13%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $156 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-25,754
- Equity at exit
- $27,882
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-14,517
- Equity at exit
- $16,168
Cash invested: $52,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,622 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$981
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,954/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $113 | +0% $60 | +5% $7 | +10% $-46 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-68 | -5% $-4 | +0% $60 | +5% $124 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $108 | base $60 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,750
- Closing costs
- $5,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 Jennifer Ct Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2027 | $1,975 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 714 Winddrift St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 226 W Darrell Wayne Shipp St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 918 E Leggett Rd Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 914 E Carrol St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $1,700 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1057 E Matz Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 121 W Ebano Ct Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,200 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2706 Jeff St Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2007 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 821 W Matz Ave Unit B Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1309 Summerfield Ln Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2127 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1630 Summerfield Ln N Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 22938 Monte Alto Ct Unit 22938-2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 22937 Monte Alto Ct Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2234 S Christians Cir Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,400 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1622 Gabriels Lndg Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1626 Christians Cir Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1701 Gabriels Lndg Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1505 N 25th St Unit 305 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $825 | $0.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Harlingen, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1010 W Madison Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 94 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $825 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 44 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-14days on market $187,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $187,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $187,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $187,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $187,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $187,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $187,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $187,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $187,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $187,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$197,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,954 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,422 · $285/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,468/yr (+$122/mo · 75.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,475
- − Property taxes
- −$1,954
- − Insurance
- −$935
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,557
- − Management
- −$1,557
- − Depreciation
- −$5,440
- Taxable loss
- −$2,452
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$589
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,310/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $197,000 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,954 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…