2108 6th St · Bay City, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Outdoor recreation
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.5% in Bay City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#360 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, crime F.
- Bay City School District (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #317 of 540 in MI (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $79k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.78%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,474
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -44.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2147 7th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,874 (+3%) | 5mo | $189,000 | $101 | 84 |
| 2229 7th St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,888 (+4%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $32 | 83 |
| 2105 6th St | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,960 (+8%) | 5mo | $199,900 | $102 | 81 |
| 1912 5th Blvd | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,921 (+6%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $42 | 71 |
| 109 N Johnson St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,842 (+1%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $107 | 70 |
| 523 N Trumbull St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 2,068 (+14%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $27 | 68 |
| 1708 6th St | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,704 (-6%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $94 | 66 |
| 212 N McLellan St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,746 (-4%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $72 | 63 |
| 1713 9th St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,633 (-10%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $80 | 61 |
| 421 Harold St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,762 (-3%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $68 | 58 |
| 2221 Carroll Rd | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,773 (-3%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $169 | 58 |
| 507 S Johnson St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 2,010 (+10%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $90 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $5,541
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $31,955
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48708
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,333 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,249/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-13status Pending 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-09price $95,000 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-09price $95,000 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-08status Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-08status Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-03status Pending 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-05-03status Pending 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-04-22status Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-04-22status Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-04-13status Pending 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-04-13status Pending 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-04-04status Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-04-04status Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-02-12historical Active Under Contract 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-02-12historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-02-09$99,900 Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2026-02-09$99,900 Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Located on a quiet street in the historic district this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home is centrally located in the heart of Bay City. Featuring charming, large rooms throughout, with first-floor laundry. Close to Carroll Park, schools, shopping and more. An additional spacious lot is available on the property, suitable for establishing a garden, outdoor recreation, or hosting events. Vinyl windows and possible wood flooring under carpet.
-
2020-10-08soldstatus $78,900
-
2020-10-07soldstatus $78,900
-
2020-06-03$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,249 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,994
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,249
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,280
- − Management
- −$1,280
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$630
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,302/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2604260
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,833
- Composite
- 28.47/100
- National rank
- #6743
- State rank
- #317 of 540 in MI
Livability — Bay City
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #8912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bay City, MI
- County
- Bay County · 36,975 people
- City population
- 25,635
- Metro
- Bay City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,635
- Household income
- $50,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 528.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 101,476 people
- By 2030
- 98,152 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 89,711 · -11.6%
- By 2050
- 80,614 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 60,544 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 41,603 · -59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.7) · D 42.0% · R 56.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: -14.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.7 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+12.6 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.21%
- Current HPI
- 183.5774
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bay City, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+18.9% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-12 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-12 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
- 2020-10-07 Sold (MLS) $78,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-03 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,249 · -15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…