8963 Cartwright Dr · Weatherford, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1983
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.7% in Weatherford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#289 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Weatherford ISD (town): math 39% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #321 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.87%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,178
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -20.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8963 Cartwright Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $121 | 100 |
| 8989 Adams Cir | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $166 | 58 |
| 8941 Adams Cir | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-8%) | 18mo | $60,000 | $54 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $13,444
- Equity at exit
- $29,053
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $56,749
- Equity at exit
- $25,684
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76035
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,949 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $551 | -5% $510 | +0% $469 | +5% $428 | +10% $387 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $392 | +0% $469 | +5% $546 | +10% $623 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $542 | -0.5pp $506 | base $469 | +0.5pp $432 | +1.0pp $393 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-07status $145,000 Pending 213 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-03-13price $145,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
-
2026-02-13price $148,000 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
-
2026-01-29status Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
-
2026-01-24status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
-
2025-11-17status Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
-
2025-11-11status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
-
2025-11-03$155,000 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.
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2025-11-01historical
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2025-09-26price $155,000
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2025-09-09status Active
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2025-08-16$165,000 Active
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2025-08-08historical
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2025-02-24price $175,000
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2024-12-26$184,900 Active
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2022-05-10soldstatus Closed
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2022-05-10soldstatus
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2022-04-12status Pending
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2022-04-07historical Active Option Contract
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2022-04-03$180,000 Active
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2009-10-16soldstatus
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2009-08-18historical
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2009-06-23$26,550
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2006-11-02soldstatus
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2006-10-31soldstatus
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2006-09-29historical
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2006-09-19$72,500
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2006-08-08soldstatus
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1988-05-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,000 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,000 · $250/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,871
- − Management
- −$1,871
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $3,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$860
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weatherford ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844800
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,087
- Composite
- 36.4/100
- National rank
- #4679
- State rank
- #321 of 826 in TX
Livability — Weatherford
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #6648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 60,150
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,247
Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 147,426 people
- By 2030
- 157,863 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 177,519 · +20.4%
- By 2050
- 194,786 · +32.1%
- By 2075
- 238,799 · +62.0%
- By 2100
- 264,126 · +79.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Parker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.87%
- Current HPI
- 187.0174
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $145,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $148,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-29 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-01-24 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-11-17 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-08-16 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-08 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2024-12-26 Listed $184,900 NTREIS
- 2022-05-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-05-10 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-04-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-04-07 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2022-04-03 Listed $180,000 NTREIS
- 2009-10-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2009-08-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2009-06-23 Listed $26,550 NTREIS
- 2006-11-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-10-31 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2006-09-29 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2006-09-19 Listed $72,500 NTREIS
- 2006-08-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,000 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…