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8963 Cartwright Dr
B+ Composite 78.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$145,000

8963 Cartwright Dr · Weatherford, TX 76035
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 213 Days on market
Built 1983 0.34 ac lot $121/sqft · 20% below area Est $182k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

Key facts

  • Covered parking
  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1983

Tags

OVERSIZED COVERED CARPORTCOVERED PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.7% in Weatherford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#289 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Weatherford ISD (town): math 39% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #321 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Parker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Parker County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.18%
Cash-on-cash
13.87%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,178
List price
$145,000
Delta
-20.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8963 Cartwright Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,200 (0%) 0mo $145,000 $121 100
8989 Adams Cir 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-12%) 16mo $175,000 $166 58
8941 Adams Cir 0.11mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-8%) 18mo $60,000 $54 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,444
Equity at exit
$29,053
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$56,749
Equity at exit
$25,684

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76035

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,949 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$469

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,355
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $551 -5% $510 +0% $469 +5% $428 +10% $387
Rent -10% $315 -5% $392 +0% $469 +5% $546 +10% $623
Rate -1.0pp $542 -0.5pp $506 base $469 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $393

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $145,000 Pending 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 213 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 212 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 210 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 209 DOM
  7. 2026-03-13
    price $145,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  8. 2026-02-13
    price $148,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  9. 2026-01-29
    status Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  10. 2026-01-24
    status Pending 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  11. 2025-11-17
    status Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  12. 2025-11-11
    status Pending 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  13. 2025-11-03
    listed $155,000 Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Don’t miss this value-packed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom property offering excellent potential for investors, flippers, or savvy homeowners. Featuring a spacious layout and a rare, oversized covered carport that comfortably fits up to 3 vehicles, this home is ideal for multi-generational living, rental income, or long-term appreciation. This property is ready for your personal touch or updates. The lot provides room to grow, and the covered parking is a major bonus in high-demand rental markets.

  14. 2025-11-01
    historical
  15. 2025-09-26
    price $155,000
  16. 2025-09-09
    status Active
  17. 2025-08-16
    listed $165,000 Active
  18. 2025-08-08
    historical
  19. 2025-02-24
    price $175,000
  20. 2024-12-26
    listed $184,900 Active
  21. 2022-05-10
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2022-05-10
    soldstatus
  23. 2022-04-12
    status Pending
  24. 2022-04-07
    historical Active Option Contract
  25. 2022-04-03
    listed $180,000 Active
  26. 2009-10-16
    soldstatus
  27. 2009-08-18
    historical
  28. 2009-06-23
    listed $26,550
  29. 2006-11-02
    soldstatus
  30. 2006-10-31
    soldstatus
  31. 2006-09-29
    historical
  32. 2006-09-19
    listed $72,500
  33. 2006-08-08
    soldstatus
  34. 1988-05-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,000 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,000 · $250/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,392
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$3,000
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,871
− Management
−$1,871
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$3,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$860
After-tax cash flow
$4,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weatherford ISD
NCES district ID
4844800
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,087
Composite
36.4/100
National rank
#4679
State rank
#321 of 826 in TX

Livability — Weatherford

Score
71/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#6648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
60,150
Population (ZIP)
3,247

Population outlook (Parker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
147,426 people
By 2030
157,863 · +7.1%
By 2040
177,519 · +20.4%
By 2050
194,786 · +32.1%
By 2075
238,799 · +62.0%
By 2100
264,126 · +79.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Parker

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.4) · D 16.4% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -55.2pp · 2024: -66.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.4 2020: R+64.4 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.8 2008: R+55.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.87%
Current HPI
187.0174
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $145,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $148,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $155,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-09 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-08-16 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-02-24 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-12-26 Listed $184,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-05-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-10 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-04-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-04-07 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2022-04-03 Listed $180,000 NTREIS
  • 2009-10-16 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2009-08-18 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2009-06-23 Listed $26,550 NTREIS
  • 2006-11-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-10-31 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2006-09-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2006-09-19 Listed $72,500 NTREIS
  • 2006-08-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-05-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,000 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…