9457 Crossville Hwy · Bon Air, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home offers old world charm! 1 bedroom and 1 bath with a sunroom, can be utilized in so many different venues. Take the opportunity to make this vintage home your own. Choose to live in it or maybe turn it into a quaint antique or retail shop. The location cannot be better! The back porch and land offer a wonderful setting of flowering shrubs and plants to relax in. Just picture yourself sitting on a summer or spring afternoon enjoying this lush backyard. No time to wait, make this home yours today.
Key facts
- 0.78 acre lot
- Built 1906
- Listed 73 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Detached property; 1,008 building area (per tax records)
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Storage structure on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric heating; Other heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Three total rooms; Refrigerator included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- White County (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #56 of 139 in TN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: White County High School (math 6% / reading 40%, grade F, #149 of 332 statewide, top 46%, 1,103 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 354 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in White County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $192 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-430 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- White County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.04%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,240
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 461 Viola Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+11%) | 22mo | $174,000 | $155 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $23,466
- Equity at exit
- $24,005
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $66,115
- Equity at exit
- $27,207
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38583
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 354
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $303/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 55 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 54 DOM
-
2026-04-16$90,000 Active 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
This home offers old world charm! 1 bedroom and 1 bath with a sunroom, can be utilized in so many different venues. Take the opportunity to make this vintage home your own. Choose to live in it or maybe turn it into a quaint antique or retail shop. The location cannot be better! The back porch and land offer a wonderful setting of flowering shrubs and plants to relax in. Just picture yourself sitting on a summer or spring afternoon enjoying this lush backyard. No time to wait, make this home yours today.
-
2026-04-06$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $303 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $639 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$336/yr (+$28/mo · 110.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$303
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,187
- − Management
- −$1,187
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$971
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,330/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White County
- NCES district ID
- 4704500
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,292
- Composite
- 25.63/100
- National rank
- #7406
- State rank
- #56 of 139 in TN
Livability — Bon Air
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,739
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,593 people
- By 2030
- 28,026 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 28,684 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 28,970 · +5.0%
- By 2075
- 29,481 · +6.8%
- By 2100
- 27,841 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.6) · D 16.3% · R 82.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.3pp · 2024: -66.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.6 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+59.5 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+28.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 357.041
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $90,000 GSMAR
- 2026-04-06 Listed $90,000 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $303 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…