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9457 Crossville Hwy
B+ Composite 78.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$90,000

9457 Crossville Hwy · Bon Air, TN 38583
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1906 0.78 ac lot Est $156k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home offers old world charm! 1 bedroom and 1 bath with a sunroom, can be utilized in so many different venues. Take the opportunity to make this vintage home your own. Choose to live in it or maybe turn it into a quaint antique or retail shop. The location cannot be better! The back porch and land offer a wonderful setting of flowering shrubs and plants to relax in. Just picture yourself sitting on a summer or spring afternoon enjoying this lush backyard. No time to wait, make this home yours today.

Key facts

  • 0.78 acre lot
  • Built 1906
  • Listed 73 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Detached property; 1,008 building area (per tax records)
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Storage structure on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric heating; Other heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Three total rooms; Refrigerator included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • White County (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #56 of 139 in TN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: White County High School (math 6% / reading 40%, grade F, #149 of 332 statewide, top 46%, 1,103 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 354 active listings in the ZIP; 209 units permitted in White County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $192 of equity ($622 loan paydown + $-430 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • White County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,240
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
461 Viola Dr 0.66mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+11%) 22mo $174,000 $155 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$23,466
Equity at exit
$24,005
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$66,115
Equity at exit
$27,207

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38583

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
354
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $303/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$442

Break-even live

Break-even rent $677
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 56 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Pending - Continue to Show 54 DOM
  17. 2026-04-16
    listed $90,000 Active 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    This home offers old world charm! 1 bedroom and 1 bath with a sunroom, can be utilized in so many different venues. Take the opportunity to make this vintage home your own. Choose to live in it or maybe turn it into a quaint antique or retail shop. The location cannot be better! The back porch and land offer a wonderful setting of flowering shrubs and plants to relax in. Just picture yourself sitting on a summer or spring afternoon enjoying this lush backyard. No time to wait, make this home yours today.

  18. 2026-04-06
    listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$303 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$639 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$336/yr (+$28/mo · 110.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,832
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$303
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,187
− Management
−$1,187
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$971
After-tax cash flow
$4,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
White County
NCES district ID
4704500
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,292
Composite
25.63/100
National rank
#7406
State rank
#56 of 139 in TN

Livability — Bon Air

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
25,739

Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,593 people
By 2030
28,026 · +1.6%
By 2040
28,684 · +4.0%
By 2050
28,970 · +5.0%
By 2075
29,481 · +6.8%
By 2100
27,841 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · White

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.6) · D 16.3% · R 82.9%
2008→2024 swing
-38.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.3pp · 2024: -66.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.6 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+59.5 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+28.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.48%
Current HPI
357.041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $90,000 GSMAR
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $90,000 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $303 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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