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412 Roberta Ave
D Composite 42.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

412 Roberta Ave · Collingdale, PA 19023
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,584 sqft · Townhouse public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1977 3,049 sqft lot Est $260k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COMING SOON! (Professional photos coming) Welcome to this beautiful brick twin home featuring 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 baths. Completely renovated from top to bottom, this move-in-ready property combines classic charm with modern updates throughout. Enjoy brand-new windows, a new HVAC system, updated flooring, fresh paint, and stylish finishes in every room. The bright and inviting interior offers generous living spaces, an updated kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms designed for today's lifestyle. Whether you're looking for your first home or need extra space for a growing household, this home checks all the boxes. Don't miss the opportunity to own this stunning, fully renovated home. Sh

Key facts

  • Built 1977
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Year built recorded by assessor; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 27.00 x 105.00

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level; Total of one full and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Electric heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Basement present (other type); Living area recorded by assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-804/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (6.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#105 in PA, #781 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D.
  • Southeast Delco SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #478 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,333/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1468% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $250k implies a 541% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,255 (6.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,776
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
434 Westmont Dr 0.37mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,620 (+2%) 13mo $267,000 $165 63
1027 Windsor Rd 0.36mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,471 (-7%) 4mo $225,900 $154 61
1100 Chestnut 0.46mi 5/1.0 1,642 (+4%) 12mo $270,000 $164 60
211 Ridley Ave 0.60mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,615 (+2%) 5mo $200,000 $124 60
1001 Sharon Ave 0.48mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,624 (+2%) 13mo $280,000 $172 53
1023 Meeth St 0.47mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,642 (+4%) 13mo $285,000 $174 52
228 Bartlett Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,459 (-8%) 3mo $289,900 $199 51
1012 Tyler Ave 0.32mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,401 (-12%) 12mo $227,000 $162 47
224 Bartlett Ave 0.56mi 5/2.5 1,459 (-8%) 12mo $159,000 $109 47
11 Mill St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,472 (-7%) 4mo $185,000 $126 46
222 Collingdale Ave 0.54mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,800 (+14%) 4mo $285,000 $158 40
133 Reese St 0.52mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,382 (-13%) 10mo $230,000 $166 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-32,306
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$23,075
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19023

Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,333 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$495 /mo · $5,935/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$-67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,417
Max offer price $238,160
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
209 Hamilton Ave Darby, PA 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 15d 1 0.55mi
220 N 9th St Darby, PA 5.0 1.5 1600 $2,800 $1.75 5d 1 0.81mi
820 Greenhill Rd Sharon Hill, PA 4.0 2.0 1184 $2,600 $2.20 5d 1 1.30mi
116 W Berkley Ave Clifton Heights, PA 4.0 2.0 1652 $2,600 $1.57 44d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $250,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,935 · $495/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,935 · $495/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,991
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$5,935
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,239
− Management
−$2,239
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$4,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,188
After-tax cash flow
$383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southeast Delco SD
NCES district ID
4222400
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$49,309
Composite
20.25/100
National rank
#8623
State rank
#478 of 539 in PA

Livability — Collingdale

Score
84/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#781

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Collingdale, PA
County
Delaware County · 399,863 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
22,247
Household income
$46,463
Rent vs Own
47.4% rent · 52.6% own
Severe rent burden
1468.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
577,490 people
By 2030
581,243 · +0.6%
By 2040
584,700 · +1.2%
By 2050
586,581 · +1.6%
By 2075
598,706 · +3.7%
By 2100
590,823 · +2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 15% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Swiss 5% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -190.50%
Current HPI
277.7034
Rent YoY
▲ 13.10%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+541.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1978-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,935 · -5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…