9834 Pokai Way · Diamondhead, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- Complete renovation
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (14.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.9% in Diamondhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Hancock Elementary School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B, #22 of 375 statewide, top 6%, 639 students, 100% FRL); Hancock Middle School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #39 of 179 statewide, top 22%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Hancock High School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #42 of 197 statewide, top 21%, 1,187 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $136k; list at $250k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.65%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,717
- List price
- $249,500
- Delta
- 3.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9834 Pokai Way | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,848 (0%) | 0mo | $249,500 | $135 | 100 |
| 8716 W Diamondhead Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,869 (+1%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $142 | 74 |
| 88154 Golf Club Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,775 (-4%) | 2mo | $279,000 | $157 | 73 |
| 97169 Kapalama Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,035 (+10%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $103 | 68 |
| 9912 Honomu Pl | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 2,050 (+11%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 884 Kailua Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,814 (-2%) | 6mo | $246,500 | $136 | 62 |
| 9838 Ala Moana St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (-13%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $186 | 62 |
| 876 Manini Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,750 (-5%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $129 | 60 |
| 885 Manini Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,685 (-9%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 9624 Kini Pl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,668 (-10%) | 3mo | $219,000 | $131 | 51 |
| 8814 Malino Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,100 (+14%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $126 | 44 |
| 7830 Maui Pl | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-10%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $166 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-30,685
- Equity at exit
- $37,201
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-14,396
- Equity at exit
- $21,572
Cash invested: $69,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39525
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,308
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,537/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $295 | -5% $225 | +0% $154 | +5% $84 | +10% $13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-15 | -5% $70 | +0% $154 | +5% $239 | +10% $324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $218 | base $154 | +0.5pp $90 | +1.0pp $24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,375
- Closing costs
- $7,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7516 Pinehurst Ct Diamondhead, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2418 | $2,000 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 890-char remark
Show marketing remark (890 chars)
Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.
-
2026-05-07status Active 890-char remark
Show marketing remark (890 chars)
Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.
-
2026-05-05historical 890-char remark
Show marketing remark (890 chars)
Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.
-
2026-03-30price $249,500 890-char remark
Show marketing remark (890 chars)
Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.
-
2026-02-27$259,500 Active 890-char remark
Show marketing remark (890 chars)
Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.
-
2026-01-06soldstatus $136,000
-
2010-03-25soldstatus 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
Must have verification of funds or letter of pre approval with all offers.
-
2009-11-24$152,500 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
Must have verification of funds or letter of pre approval with all offers.
-
2006-07-21soldstatus
-
2005-12-13$174,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,537 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,971 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$434/yr (+$36/mo · 28.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,743
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,976
- − Property taxes
- −$1,537
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,059
- − Management
- −$2,059
- − Depreciation
- −$7,258
- Taxable loss
- −$2,395
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$575
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801740
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,971
- Composite
- 38.88/100
- National rank
- #4099
- State rank
- #23 of 130 in MS
Livability — Diamondhead
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #9320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Diamondhead, MS
- County
- Hancock County · 9,338 people
- City population
- 9,338
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,338
- Household income
- $87,407
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,161 people
- By 2030
- 54,753 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 59,242 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 62,417 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 68,168 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 69,212 · +32.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.77%
- Current HPI
- 193.4883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+43.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $249,500 MLSU
- 2026-02-27 Listed $259,500 MLSU
- 2026-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
- 2010-03-25 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2009-11-24 Listed $152,500 MLSU
- 2006-07-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-12-13 Listed $174,400 MLSU
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,537 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…