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9834 Pokai Way
D Composite 43.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,500

9834 Pokai Way · Diamondhead, MS 39525
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2007 7,840 sqft lot $135/sqft · at area comps Est $242k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.

Key facts

  • Spacious living area
  • Complete renovation
  • New flooring

Tags

COMPLETE RENOVATIONNEW FLOORINGMODERN KITCHENUPDATED ESSENTIALSSPACIOUS LIVING AREACONVENIENT PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (14.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.9% in Diamondhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Hancock Elementary School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B, #22 of 375 statewide, top 6%, 639 students, 100% FRL); Hancock Middle School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #39 of 179 statewide, top 22%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Hancock High School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #42 of 197 statewide, top 21%, 1,187 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $136k; list at $250k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $214,521 (14.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.65%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$241,717
List price
$249,500
Delta
3.22%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9834 Pokai Way 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,848 (0%) 0mo $249,500 $135 100
8716 W Diamondhead Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,869 (+1%) 5mo $265,000 $142 74
88154 Golf Club Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,775 (-4%) 2mo $279,000 $157 73
97169 Kapalama Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,035 (+10%) 4mo $210,000 $103 68
9912 Honomu Pl 0.40mi 4/2.0 2,050 (+11%) 1mo $310,000 $151 62
884 Kailua Pl 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,814 (-2%) 6mo $246,500 $136 62
9838 Ala Moana St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,614 (-13%) 1mo $299,900 $186 62
876 Manini Way 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,750 (-5%) 6mo $225,000 $129 60
885 Manini Way 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,685 (-9%) 2mo $299,000 $177 58
9624 Kini Pl 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,668 (-10%) 3mo $219,000 $131 51
8814 Malino Pl 0.48mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (+14%) 4mo $265,000 $126 44
7830 Maui Pl 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,660 (-10%) 5mo $275,000 $166 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-30,685
Equity at exit
$37,201
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-14,396
Equity at exit
$21,572

Cash invested: $69,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39525

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,145 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,308
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,537/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,950
Max offer price $249,500
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $295 -5% $225 +0% $154 +5% $84 +10% $13
Rent -10% $-15 -5% $70 +0% $154 +5% $239 +10% $324
Rate -1.0pp $280 -0.5pp $218 base $154 +0.5pp $90 +1.0pp $24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,375
Closing costs
$7,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7516 Pinehurst Ct Diamondhead, MS 3.0 3.0 2418 $2,000 $0.83 15d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Active 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.

  3. 2026-05-05
    historical 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.

  4. 2026-03-30
    price $249,500 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.

  5. 2026-02-27
    listed $259,500 Active 890-char remark
    Show marketing remark (890 chars)

    Step into this fully renovated, move-in-ready gem located in the highly desirable community of Diamondhead, MS. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been thoughtfully updated from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern comfort and coastal style. Key Home Features: Complete Renovation: Enjoy a fresh, contemporary feel throughout the entire home. New Flooring: Sleek, durable, and brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring flows through every room--no carpet anywhere. Modern Kitchen: Equipped with all-new, high-efficiency appliances and a functional layout perfect for any chef. Updated Essentials: Rest easy with a brand-new water heater for maximum efficiency. Spacious Living Area: A large living room anchored by a cozy fireplace, ideal for relaxing evenings. Convenient Parking: Attached 2-car garage providing ample space for vehicles and additional storage.

  6. 2026-01-06
    soldstatus $136,000
  7. 2010-03-25
    soldstatus 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Must have verification of funds or letter of pre approval with all offers.

  8. 2009-11-24
    listed $152,500 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    Must have verification of funds or letter of pre approval with all offers.

  9. 2006-07-21
    soldstatus
  10. 2005-12-13
    listed $174,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,537 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,971 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$434/yr (+$36/mo · 28.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,743
− Mortgage interest
−$13,976
− Property taxes
−$1,537
− Insurance
−$1,248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,059
− Management
−$2,059
− Depreciation
−$7,258
Taxable loss
−$2,395
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$575
After-tax cash flow
$2,426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hancock County School District
NCES district ID
2801740
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,971
Composite
38.88/100
National rank
#4099
State rank
#23 of 130 in MS

Livability — Diamondhead

Score
68/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#9320

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Diamondhead, MS
County
Hancock County · 9,338 people
City population
9,338
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
9,338
Household income
$87,407
Rent vs Own
10.3% rent · 89.7% own

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,161 people
By 2030
54,753 · +5.0%
By 2040
59,242 · +13.6%
By 2050
62,417 · +19.7%
By 2075
68,168 · +30.7%
By 2100
69,212 · +32.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.77%
Current HPI
193.4883
Rent YoY
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+43.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $249,500 MLSU
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $259,500 MLSU
  • 2026-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
  • 2010-03-25 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2009-11-24 Listed $152,500 MLSU
  • 2006-07-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-13 Listed $174,400 MLSU

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,537 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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