Duplex
1002 Elizabeth St · Carnegie, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
PERFECT LOCATION! Great walkable neighborhood with shopping, restaurants, and transportation nearby. Main level unit is one bed/1 bath, kitchen and living room. Upper level unit is spacious with 2bed/1 bath, kitchen, living room, and laundry room that could also be an extra room or office and hardwood flooring.
Key facts
- Back yard
- Roof
- 1st floor renovated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $283/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.1% in Carnegie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#55 in PA, #344 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D.
- Carlynton SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #352 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $259k implies a 957% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.38%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $962
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $76,789
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15106
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,733 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,512/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,734 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,367 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,367 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,733 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 116-char remark
-
2026-06-13$259,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,512 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,802 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,290/yr (+$108/mo · 85.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$1,512
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,624
- − Management
- −$2,624
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $2,699
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$648
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carlynton SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205040
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,249
- Composite
- 34.46/100
- National rank
- #5192
- State rank
- #352 of 539 in PA
Livability — Carnegie
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carnegie, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 19,244
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,244
- Household income
- $77,247
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 255.0295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+398.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $259,000 FSBO.com
- 2018-01-30 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2017-12-06 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2017-12-06 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2017-10-02 Listed $105,000 West Penn MLS
- 2016-01-14 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2015-12-18 Listed $74,900 West Penn MLS
- 2015-11-01 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2015-06-17 Price Changed $74,900 West Penn MLS
- 2015-04-10 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2012-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
- 2012-08-31 Sold (MLS) $24,500 West Penn MLS
- 2012-08-31 Price Changed $30,000 West Penn MLS
- 2011-10-13 Listed $24,500 West Penn MLS
- 2010-10-08 Listed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 1992-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $43,074 Public Records
- 1985-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,512 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…