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2412 Williamsburg Dr
B- Composite 68.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$148,000

2412 Williamsburg Dr · Laplace, LA 70068
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,228 sqft · SingleFamily · 130 Days on market
Built 1985 5,000 sqft lot $121/sqft · 14% below area Est $173k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in LaPlace featuring an open floor plan and a spacious yard. The layout offers comfortable living and easy flow between the main living areas, good for everyday living and entertaining. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, providing flexibility for investors or future owner-occupants. Large yard offers ample outdoor space for recreation or expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Ample outdoor space
  • Open floor plan

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS YARDAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($140/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.8% in Laplace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#61 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. John The Baptist Parish (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #68 of 98 in LA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in St. John the Baptist Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. John the Baptist County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $148k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.69%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$172,771
List price
$148,000
Delta
-14.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2312 Williamsburg Dr 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,250 (+2%) 8mo $70,350 $56 84
734 Bienville St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,237 (+1%) 2mo $127,400 $103 82
18 Grigio Loop 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,236 (+1%) 0mo $228,000 $184 75
2104 Greenwood Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+9%) 6mo $205,000 $153 73
2801 Yorktowne Dr 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-2%) 5mo $125,000 $104 73
729 Iberville St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-6%) 7mo $135,000 $117 70
609 N Potomac St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-2%) 9mo $175,000 $146 68
1924 Williamsburg Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-2%) 6mo $141,000 $118 67
756 Lemoyne Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+14%) 2mo $122,900 $88 65
2036 Lafitte St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,358 (+11%) 0mo $185,000 $136 62
1716 Virginian Colony Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+12%) 4mo $205,000 $149 49
144 Palmetto Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,382 (+12%) 4mo $219,000 $158 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-23,001
Equity at exit
$22,067
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-18,104
Equity at exit
$12,796

Cash invested: $41,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70068

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,746 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$776
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,732
Max offer price $148,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $95 -5% $54 +0% $12 +5% $-30 +10% $-72
Rent -10% $-126 -5% $-57 +0% $12 +5% $81 +10% $150
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $49 base $12 +0.5pp $-27 +1.0pp $-66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,000
Closing costs
$4,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $148,000 Active 130 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $148,000 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $148,000 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-04-11
    price $150,000 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in LaPlace featuring an open floor plan and a spacious yard. The layout offers comfortable living and easy flow between the main living areas, good for everyday living and entertaining. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, providing flexibility for investors or future owner-occupants. Large yard offers ample outdoor space for recreation or expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways.

  18. 2026-04-11
    price $150,000 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in LaPlace featuring an open floor plan and a spacious yard. The layout offers comfortable living and easy flow between the main living areas, good for everyday living and entertaining. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, providing flexibility for investors or future owner-occupants. Large yard offers ample outdoor space for recreation or expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways.

  19. 2026-02-08
    listed $165,000 Active 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in LaPlace featuring an open floor plan and a spacious yard. The layout offers comfortable living and easy flow between the main living areas, good for everyday living and entertaining. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, providing flexibility for investors or future owner-occupants. Large yard offers ample outdoor space for recreation or expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways.

  20. 2026-02-08
    listed $165,000 Active 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in LaPlace featuring an open floor plan and a spacious yard. The layout offers comfortable living and easy flow between the main living areas, good for everyday living and entertaining. Property is currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, providing flexibility for investors or future owner-occupants. Large yard offers ample outdoor space for recreation or expansion. Conveniently located with easy access to local amenities, schools, and major roadways.

  21. 2022-04-20
    soldstatus $80,000 Closed
  22. 2022-04-02
    status Pending
  23. 2022-03-31
    listed $90,000
  24. 2022-03-31
    listed $90,000 Active
  25. 1997-10-16
    soldstatus $55,000
  26. 1997-07-28
    listed $57,500
  27. 1997-07-28
    listed $57,500
  28. 1996-04-11
    soldstatus $57,370
  29. 1995-12-19
    listed $57,800
  30. 1995-12-19
    listed $57,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,957
− Mortgage interest
−$8,290
− Property taxes
−$1,244
− Insurance
−$5,858
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,677
− Management
−$1,677
− Depreciation
−$4,305
Taxable loss
−$2,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$503
After-tax cash flow
$643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. John The Baptist Parish
NCES district ID
2201530
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -39.00%
Median HH income
$50,280
Composite
17.07/100
National rank
#9120
State rank
#68 of 98 in LA

Livability — Laplace

Score
70/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#7898

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laplace, LA
County
Saint John the Baptist Parish · 32,720 people
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
32,720
Household income
$68,459
Rent vs Own
22.6% rent · 77.4% own
Severe rent burden
750.0

Population outlook (St. John the Baptist County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,972 people
By 2030
39,295 · -4.1%
By 2040
35,902 · -12.4%
By 2050
32,988 · -19.5%
By 2075
28,661 · -30.0%
By 2100
26,456 · -35.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. John the Baptist

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.1) · D 64.0% · R 34.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+12.9pp toward D · 2008: 16.2pp · 2024: 29.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.1 2020: D+28.2 2016: D+24.5 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+16.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.04%
Current HPI
239.1429
Rent YoY
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $150,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $165,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-02-08 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2022-04-20 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GSREIN
  • 2022-04-02 Pending GSREIN
  • 2022-03-31 Listed $90,000 GSREIN
  • 2022-03-31 Listed $90,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1997-10-16 Sold (MLS) $55,000 GSREIN
  • 1997-07-28 Listed $57,500 GSREIN
  • 1997-07-28 Listed $57,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 1996-04-11 Sold (MLS) $57,370 GSREIN
  • 1995-12-19 Listed $57,800 GSREIN
  • 1995-12-19 Listed $57,800 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,244 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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