706 W Washington St · Winchester, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Winchester with large yard, deck and off-street parking. On the inside you will find a large utility room, central air, enclosed porch. 1 bedroom on the main floor and 2 bedrooms upstairs.
Key facts
- Large yard
- Deck
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 5.1% in Winchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#240 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Randolph Central School Corporation (town): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #201 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Randolph County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $92k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.43%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,389
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 1.39%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 W North St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-3%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $99 | 74 |
| 742 Huntsville Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-0%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $146 | 64 |
| 215 Best Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-2%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $63 | 61 |
| 529 W Franklin St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+10%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $28 | 61 |
| 330 Westwood Dr | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-8%) | 14mo | $158,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 114 E Orange St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (-6%) | 2mo | $122,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 232 E Washington St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,370 (+5%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $99 | 54 |
| 410 High St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,391 (+6%) | 8mo | $15,000 | $11 | 52 |
| 418 N Main St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,472 (+13%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $68 | 50 |
| 613 S Main St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,384 (+6%) | 6mo | $84,000 | $61 | 49 |
| 609 Englewood Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,185 (-9%) | 16mo | $199,500 | $168 | 45 |
| 719 N West St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-15%) | 9mo | $73,000 | $65 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $75,237
- Equity at exit
- $99,007
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.81×
- Total profit
- $209,427
- Equity at exit
- $213,512
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47394
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-01-23status Active 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Winchester with large yard, deck and off-street parking. On the inside you will find a large utility room, central air, enclosed porch. 1 bedroom on the main floor and 2 bedrooms upstairs.
-
2025-12-23status Pending 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Winchester with large yard, deck and off-street parking. On the inside you will find a large utility room, central air, enclosed porch. 1 bedroom on the main floor and 2 bedrooms upstairs.
-
2025-12-19price $109,900
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Winchester with large yard, deck and off-street parking. On the inside you will find a large utility room, central air, enclosed porch. 1 bedroom on the main floor and 2 bedrooms upstairs.
-
2025-12-19price $109,900 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Winchester with large yard, deck and off-street parking. On the inside you will find a large utility room, central air, enclosed porch. 1 bedroom on the main floor and 2 bedrooms upstairs.
-
2025-10-27$129,900 Active 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Winchester with large yard, deck and off-street parking. On the inside you will find a large utility room, central air, enclosed porch. 1 bedroom on the main floor and 2 bedrooms upstairs.
-
2020-09-04soldstatus $91,500
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2020-09-04soldstatus $91,500
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2020-07-27$92,500
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2020-07-27$92,500
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2019-05-07$89,900
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2019-02-14soldstatus $83,000
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2018-11-28$79,900
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2018-11-09$82,481
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2016-06-30soldstatus $73,400
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2016-06-30soldstatus $73,400
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2016-04-15$74,900
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2016-04-15$74,900
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2015-04-01$73,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,030
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$284
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Randolph Central School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1801770
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,627
- Composite
- 29.12/100
- National rank
- #6589
- State rank
- #201 of 301 in IN
Livability — Winchester
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #240
- US rank
- #10313
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winchester, IN
- City population
- 8,137
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,137
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,998 people
- By 2030
- 21,815 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,360 · -15.8%
- By 2050
- 17,010 · -26.0%
- By 2075
- 12,491 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 8,986 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.3% · R 75.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+24.1 2008: R+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.76%
- Current HPI
- 233.216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+49.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2025-12-23 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $109,900 RRELMS
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $109,900 IRMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $129,900 IRMLS
- 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $91,500 RRELMS
- 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $91,500 IRMLS
- 2020-07-27 Listed $92,500 RRELMS
- 2020-07-27 Listed $92,500 IRMLS
- 2019-05-07 Listed $89,900 IRMLS
- 2019-02-14 Sold (MLS) $83,000 IRMLS
- 2018-11-28 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
- 2018-11-09 Listed $82,481 IRMLS
- 2016-06-30 Sold (MLS) $73,400 RRELMS
- 2016-06-30 Sold (MLS) $73,400 IRMLS
- 2016-04-15 Listed $74,900 RRELMS
- 2016-04-15 Listed $74,900 IRMLS
- 2015-04-01 Listed $73,400 IRMLS
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,030 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…