780 E Fox Hills Dr · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why rent when you can own? Skip the yard work and spend your free time relaxing by the pool or enjoying a match on the tennis courts. This impeccably maintained upper-level condo features a neutral, updated interior and is truly move-in ready. A large picture window fills the space with natural light and offers peaceful views of the beautifully landscaped common areas. The updated kitchen and bath add modern appeal, while the spacious primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a large pantry and a dedicated basement storage room. Enjoy resort-style amenities with access to a pool, clubhouse, and 25 acres of lush green space with walking paths. Conveniently located near I-75 and major tech centers, this community is nestled within a quiet residential setting and served by Bloomfield Hills Schools. No pets allowed.
Key facts
- Lush green space
- Clubhouse
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $265; Association maintains grounds; Community features include pool, sidewalks, and tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot; No garage; Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential condominium; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
- Construction: Brick construction; Unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Lighting; Tennis courts; Community in-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedrooms included) — listing does not specify individual bedroom levels
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: High speed internet; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Bloomfield Hills Schools (suburban): math 65% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($143k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $919 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $133k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.12%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,217
- Equity at exit
- $19,831
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-267
- Equity at exit
- $11,499
Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48304
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,653 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,917/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$265
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $166 | +0% $128 | +5% $90 | +10% $53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3 | -5% $63 | +0% $128 | +5% $193 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $162 | base $128 | +0.5pp $94 | +1.0pp $58 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,250
- Closing costs
- $3,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Fox Hills Dr Bloomfield Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 433 Fox Hills Dr S #5 Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 444 N Fox Hills Dr #3 Bloomfield Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,598 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 444 N Fox Hills Dr #7 Bloomfield Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,550 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 806 Bloomfield Village Blvd Unit K Auburn Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2862 Tall Oaks Ct Auburn Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,520 | $1.54 | 3d | 6 | 0.99mi |
| 3161 Bloomfield Ln Auburn Hills, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 937 | $1,195 | $1.27 | 0d | 22 | 1.02mi |
| 2081 Oaknoll St Auburn Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 100 W Hickory Grove Rd Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1032 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 13d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 100 W Hickory Grove Rd Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,625 | $1.57 | 25d | 3 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $265 · $3,180/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $132,999 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $134,999 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $134,999 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $134,999 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $134,999 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $134,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $134,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $134,999 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $134,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $134,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $134,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $134,999 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $134,999 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $134,999 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $134,999 Active 48 DOM
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2026-04-13$134,999 Active
Show marketing remark (854 chars)
Why rent when you can own? Skip the yard work and spend your free time relaxing by the pool or enjoying a match on the tennis courts. This impeccably maintained upper-level condo features a neutral, updated interior and is truly move-in ready. A large picture window fills the space with natural light and offers peaceful views of the beautifully landscaped common areas. The updated kitchen and bath add modern appeal, while the spacious primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a large pantry and a dedicated basement storage room. Enjoy resort-style amenities with access to a pool, clubhouse, and 25 acres of lush green space with walking paths. Conveniently located near I-75 and major tech centers, this community is nestled within a quiet residential setting and served by Bloomfield Hills Schools. No pets allowed.
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2026-04-13$134,999 Active 854-char remark
Show marketing remark (854 chars)
Why rent when you can own? Skip the yard work and spend your free time relaxing by the pool or enjoying a match on the tennis courts. This impeccably maintained upper-level condo features a neutral, updated interior and is truly move-in ready. A large picture window fills the space with natural light and offers peaceful views of the beautifully landscaped common areas. The updated kitchen and bath add modern appeal, while the spacious primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a large pantry and a dedicated basement storage room. Enjoy resort-style amenities with access to a pool, clubhouse, and 25 acres of lush green space with walking paths. Conveniently located near I-75 and major tech centers, this community is nestled within a quiet residential setting and served by Bloomfield Hills Schools. No pets allowed.
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2024-01-29historical $1,200
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2023-09-07$1,200
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2019-07-02historical
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2019-07-01historical
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2019-04-11historical
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2018-12-06$95,000 Active
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2018-12-06$95,000 Active
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2018-12-06$95,000 Active
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2018-03-01soldstatus $61,000 Sold
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2018-03-01soldstatus $61,000 Closed
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2018-02-01status Pending
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2018-02-01status Pending
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2018-01-31price $68,500
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2018-01-30price $68,500
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2017-12-18$75,000 Active
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2017-12-18$75,000 Active
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2016-05-27historical
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2016-05-26status Pending
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2016-05-26status Pending
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2016-05-26historical
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2016-05-02$72,900 Active
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2016-05-02$72,900 Active
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2015-06-26historical
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2015-06-26historical
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2015-04-27soldstatus $60,000
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2014-12-08$69,900
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2014-12-08$69,900
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2005-04-21soldstatus $80,000
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2005-04-04soldstatus $80,000
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2005-03-02historical
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2005-01-31historical
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2005-01-03$81,900
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2004-08-19$81,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,982 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$5/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,450
- − Property taxes
- −$1,917
- − Insurance
- −$665
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,587
- − Management
- −$1,587
- − HOA
- −$3,180
- − Depreciation
- −$3,869
- Taxable loss
- −$422
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$101
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloomfield Hills Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2606090
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $117,848
- Composite
- 65.41/100
- National rank
- #481
- State rank
- #5 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,387
- Household income
- $143,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 85.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Asian 10% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Arabic 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.96%
- Current HPI
- 160.6477
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+170.1% since first listed38 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $134,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Listed $134,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-29 Rental Removed $1,200 REALSOURCE
- 2023-09-07 Listed for Rent $1,200 REALSOURCE
- 2019-07-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-12-06 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-06 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-12-06 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-03-01 Sold (MLS) $61,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-01 Sold (MLS) $61,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-02-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-02-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-01-31 Price Changed $68,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-01-30 Price Changed $68,500 REALCOMP
- 2017-12-18 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-12-18 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-05-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-05-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-05-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-02 Listed $72,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-02 Listed $72,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-06-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-06-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-08 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-12-08 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-04 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-03-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-01-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-01-03 Listed $81,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-08-19 Listed $81,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 1993-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $49,990 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,917 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…