4300 58th St N #1915 · Kenneth City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great opportunity to own a clean, affordable two bedroom condo in a quiet and well-maintained 55+ community that is convenient to shopping, restaurants and the beaches. Located on the 2nd floor with elevator access, this condo has a new kitchen, updated bathrooms, new hot water heater and newer windows and Trane A/C. The Florida room overlooking a park-like setting. The laundry and extra storage room are just steps away, near the elevator. You may bring your favorite pet under 25 lbs. The active clubhouse and shuffleboard courts are across the street. Property is being sold as is for the convenience of the seller.
Key facts
- Near dining
- Near shopping
- Updated windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit is unfurnished
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $500; Total annual fees $6,000; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee $500 (includes cable TV, escrow reserves, insurance, structure and grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water); Association approval required; Association name: AL Fernandez; Condo land included
Exterior
- Parking: Guest parking and assigned space available (unit assigned space #1915 mentioned in directions)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; One story building; Unit on 2nd floor; East-facing
- Construction: Block construction; Membrane roof; Block foundation; Building name: CLEARVIEW OAKS PARADISE
- Exterior features: Asphalt/paved road access; Community mailbox; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed (with number limit)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Elevator in building; Living room/dining room combo; Solid wood cabinets; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Outside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#47 in FL, #874 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $115k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.12%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-13,147
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-12,990
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33709
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,813 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4000 58th St N Kenneth City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,649 | $1.83 | 15d | 4 | 0.13mi |
| 5870 38th Ave N #40 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,800 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5323 59th Cir W Kenneth City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 3d | 4 | 0.66mi |
| 6190 36th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5255 62nd St N Kenneth City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,538 | $1.54 | 3d | 2 | 0.74mi |
| 5457 59th St N Unit NA St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3980 64th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,500 | $2.12 | 3d | 6 | 0.78mi |
| 5540 59th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $2,100 | $2.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5870 56th Ave N Kenneth City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 3d | 7 | 0.88mi |
| 6423 34th Ter N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6538 42nd Ave N Unit 7 Kenneth City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $2,000 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2819 53rd St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,995 | $2.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6522 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 2d | 10 | 1.04mi |
| 6215 58th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6524 54th Ave N Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,360 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3556 66th St N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,300 | $2.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4701 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3910 44th St N Unit C9 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6801 48th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,525 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4390 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,950 | $2.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5136 68th St N Unit C St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,700 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4711 Sunnydale Ln N Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5701 21st Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,899 | $2.45 | 8d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 5900 22nd Ave N Unit 14 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5900 22nd Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5860 22nd Ave N Apt 5 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5900 22nd Ave N Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,999 | $1.82 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5541 Lown St N Apt S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2176 Winchester Rd N #2 Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,250 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6080 22nd Ave N #3 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,825 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6080 22nd Ave N #5 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,725 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6080 22nd Ave N #3 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,825 | $2.03 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2871 67th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $2,500 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5401 65th Ter Apt B Pinellas Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,450 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4801 71st St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4801 71st St N St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4082 38th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $2,400 | $3.10 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$115,000 Active
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2009-08-13soldstatus $51,000
-
2009-08-07soldstatus $51,000 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a clean, affordable two bedroom condo in a quiet and well-maintained 55+ community that is convenient to shopping, restaurants and the beaches. Located on the 2nd floor with elevator access, this condo has a new kitchen, updated bathrooms, new hot water heater and newer windows and Trane A/C. The Florida room overlooking a park-like setting. The laundry and extra storage room are just steps away, near the elevator. You may bring your favorite pet under 25 lbs. The active clubhouse and shuffleboard courts are across the street. Property is being sold as is for the convenience of the seller.
-
2009-05-07$55,000 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a clean, affordable two bedroom condo in a quiet and well-maintained 55+ community that is convenient to shopping, restaurants and the beaches. Located on the 2nd floor with elevator access, this condo has a new kitchen, updated bathrooms, new hot water heater and newer windows and Trane A/C. The Florida room overlooking a park-like setting. The laundry and extra storage room are just steps away, near the elevator. You may bring your favorite pet under 25 lbs. The active clubhouse and shuffleboard courts are across the street. Property is being sold as is for the convenience of the seller.
-
2008-06-12$55,000
-
2007-07-13$75,000
-
2006-09-18$90,000
-
2002-12-03soldstatus $48,000
-
1999-10-04soldstatus $31,000
-
1986-02-01soldstatus $33,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,740
- − Management
- −$1,740
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kenneth City
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #874
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenneth City, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,050
- Household income
- $53,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 712.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.74%
- Current HPI
- 391.368
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.99%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+243.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-07 Sold (MLS) $51,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-07 Listed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-12 Listed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-13 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-18 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1999-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
- 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $146 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…