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1028 Covert Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,500

1028 Covert Ave · Evansville, IN 47713
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1940 4,792 sqft lot Est $94k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity with tenant and management already in place. This cozy 2-bedroom rental is currently leased at $800/month, offering immediate rental income for a cash buyer or investor. The property features a functional layout plus a detached garage with potential for future value-add use. Solid rental, manageable size, and upside potential make this a great addition to a rental portfolio.

Key facts

  • Manageable size
  • Functional layout
  • Detached garage

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTDETACHED GARAGEMANAGEABLE SIZE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by Comfort Homes
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Security: Security features not specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family, site-built home; 1 story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 120 x 40

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not specified
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring details not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $74,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$93,600) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($904 rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Glenwood Leadership Academy (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 416 students, 88% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 353 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 50% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,382 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.97%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1119 Brookside Dr 0.61mi 2/1.0 724 (+1%) 0mo $107,000 $148 70
2013 S New York Ave 0.48mi 1/1.0 (-1) 700 (-3%) 2mo $35,000 $50 66
1315 Marshall Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 659 (-8%) 1mo $82,500 $125 66
1407 Waggoner Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 775 (+8%) 2mo $94,500 $122 64
1401 Jackson Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 768 (+7%) 5mo $111,000 $145 62
1605 Ravenswood Dr 0.63mi 2/1.0 752 (+4%) 4mo $70,000 $93 60
1505 Jackson Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 780 (+8%) 4mo $38,750 $50 56
637 Jackson Ave 0.49mi 2/1.5 800 (+11%) 1mo $119,900 $150 56
1116 S Harlan Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 630 (-12%) 4mo $82,000 $130 54
1615 Ravenswood Dr 0.65mi 2/1.0 805 (+12%) 1mo $99,900 $124 49
1152 E Chandler Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 825 (+15%) 4mo $127,000 $154 34
2304 Herbert Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 825 (+15%) 4mo $130,500 $158 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$5,963
Equity at exit
$11,108
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$44,030
Equity at exit
$6,441

Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47713

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
9.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$904 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$391
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,012/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $641
Max offer price $74,500
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,625
Closing costs
$2,235
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 712 $900 $1.26 14d 1 0.30mi
1231 Culver Dr Unit C Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 575 $625 $1.09 21d 1 0.89mi
1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 14d 1 0.89mi
1407 Howard St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 483 $725 $1.50 21d 1 0.97mi
2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2210-104 Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 631 $785 $1.24 21d 1 1.04mi
507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 21d 1 1.12mi
8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 21d 1 1.15mi
538 S Spring St Evansville, IN 1.0 1.0 500 $850 $1.70 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,500 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,500 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,500 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,500 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,500 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,500 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,500 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,500 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,500 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,500 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,500 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,500 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,500 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,500 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $74,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,012 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,012 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,847
− Mortgage interest
−$4,173
− Property taxes
−$1,012
− Insurance
−$372
− Repairs & maintenance
−$868
− Management
−$868
− Depreciation
−$2,167
Taxable income
$1,387
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$333
After-tax cash flow
$2,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, IN
County
Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
Population (ZIP)
9,988
Household income
$40,873
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
735.0

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.22%
Current HPI
229.9312
Rent YoY
▲ 9.87%
Metro
Evansville, IN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $74,500 IRMLS

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,012 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…