57483 Sawmill Ln · Lenox, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it's a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!
Key facts
- Master suite
- Stand-up shower
- New furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $105k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($485/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Anchor Bay School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #91 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.65%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $306,230
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -65.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-14,076
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,469
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48048
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$548
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $77 | +0% $40 | +5% $4 | +10% $-32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-91 | -5% $-25 | +0% $40 | +5% $106 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $93 | -0.5pp $67 | base $40 | +0.5pp $13 | +1.0pp $-14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37781 Sandstone Trl New Haven, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,674 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5407 Aloha Ln Casco, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1152 | $1,599 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $548 · $6,576/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $105,000 1180-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!
-
2026-03-13price $105,000 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!
-
2026-01-13$110,000 Active 1180-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!
-
2026-01-13$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!
-
2026-01-13$110,000 Active 1186-char remark
Show marketing remark (1186 chars)
Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − HOA
- −$6,576
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$845
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$203
- After-tax cash flow
- $688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior appearance, making it a good investment for a potential buyer or renter.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
- Minor interior paint — slight discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances interior appearance
- Both update flooring — modernizes the home and improves functionality
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the home and improves functionality
- Both update bathrooms — modernizes the home and improves functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · slight discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances interior appearance ↑
- Both update flooring — modernizes the home and improves functionality ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the home and improves functionality ↑
- Both update bathrooms — modernizes the home and improves functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchor Bay School District
- NCES district ID
- 2602790
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,173
- Composite
- 43.85/100
- National rank
- #2925
- State rank
- #91 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lenox
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,065
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Italian 7% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.74%
- Current HPI
- 242.3675
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…