CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
57483 Sawmill Ln
D+ Composite 49.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

57483 Sawmill Ln · Lenox, MI 48048
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · Condo · 157 Days on market
Built 2001 Average condition $58/sqft · 66% below area $548/mo HOA · 33% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it's a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Stand-up shower
  • New furnace

Tags

MASTER SUITELUXURIOUS BATHROOMSPA-LIKE TUBSTAND-UP SHOWERLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEW FURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $105k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($485/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Anchor Bay School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #91 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$306,230
List price
$105,000
Delta
-65.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-14,076
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-7,469
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48048

Active inventory
101
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$548
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,612
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $113 -5% $77 +0% $40 +5% $4 +10% $-32
Rent -10% $-91 -5% $-25 +0% $40 +5% $106 +10% $172
Rate -1.0pp $93 -0.5pp $67 base $40 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-14

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37781 Sandstone Trl New Haven, MI 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,674 $1.03 0d 1 0.28mi
5407 Aloha Ln Casco, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1152 $1,599 $1.39 0d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$548 · $6,576/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingpoolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 142 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-03-13
    price $105,000 1180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1186 chars)

    Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!

  15. 2026-03-13
    price $105,000 1186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1186 chars)

    Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!

  16. 2026-01-13
    listed $110,000 Active 1180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1186 chars)

    Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!

  17. 2026-01-13
    listed $110,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1186 chars)

    Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!

  18. 2026-01-13
    listed $110,000 Active 1186-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1186 chars)

    Perfect blend of comfort and style in this stunning 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home. Step inside to unveil a spacious master suite complete with a luxurious bathroom featuring a spa-like tub and a stand-up shower, perfect for unwinding after a long day. The two additional bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned near the second full bathroom, ensuring convenience for family or guests. Luxury wood & vinyl plank flooring flows seamlessly throughout the home, enhancing its modern appeal, while essential updates like a new furnace, AC, and hot water tank provide peace of mind. Nestled on an expansive yard, this property boasts beautiful landscaping with two majestic trees and a charming patio, ideal for outdoor gatherings or serene mornings. Plus, a generously-sized wood shed equipped with power adding versatility for your projects and storage needs. Enjoy the perks of a vibrant community, complete with a gym and pool at the nearby community center, and take advantage of the abundant shopping options just minutes away. This home is not just a place to live; it’s a lifestyle waiting for you to embrace. Come see it today and envision your future in this delightful space!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,961
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,597
− Management
−$1,597
− HOA
−$6,576
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$203
After-tax cash flow
$688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate repairs and updates to enhance its curb appeal and interior appearance, making it a good investment for a potential buyer or renter.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor exterior siding — slight wear
  • Minor interior paint — slight discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale paint interior walls — enhances interior appearance
  • Both update flooring — modernizes the home and improves functionality
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the home and improves functionality
  • Both update bathrooms — modernizes the home and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
interior paint · slight discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale paint interior walls — enhances interior appearance
  • Both update flooring — modernizes the home and improves functionality
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the home and improves functionality
  • Both update bathrooms — modernizes the home and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anchor Bay School District
NCES district ID
2602790
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$70,173
Composite
43.85/100
National rank
#2925
State rank
#91 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lenox

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,065

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Italian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.74%
Current HPI
242.3675
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…