75 W 238th St Unit 2D · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$171,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious One Bedroom considered a Junior-4, with a wall up for extra room that can be used as an office, den or nursery. Plenty of closet space, and a large-sized bedroom. This well-maintained low rise elevator building, built in 1960, offers a virtual doorman. Includes a laundry room, storage (waitlisted), a parking lot (waitlisted), video security, and a live-in super. Located on a quiet street, it's a short walk to Van Cortlandt Park and a commuter's dream! Easy access to local and express buses to Manhattan, the #1 & #4 train, the Major Deegan Expressway, and the Henry Hudson Parkway. The Riverdale Crossing shopping mall district includes outdoor cafes. grocery stores, BJ's Wholesale Club, City MD Urgent Care and Petco. Pet Friendly (2 cats or 1 dog (weight restriction for dogs).
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Video security
- Henry hudson parkway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: 150 total parking spaces; Other parking features
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 2
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window AC unit(s)
- Interior features: Galley-type kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $172k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $172k).
- Recommended offer: $156k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.59%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $40,987
- Equity at exit
- $25,571
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.52×
- Total profit
- $169,101
- Equity at exit
- $14,828
Cash invested: $48,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10463
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 342
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,594 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$899
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$214 /mo · $2,572/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $864
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $983 | -5% $923 | +0% $864 | +5% $805 | +10% $745 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $659 | -5% $762 | +0% $864 | +5% $966 | +10% $1,069 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $950 | -0.5pp $908 | base $864 | +0.5pp $820 | +1.0pp $774 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,875
- Closing costs
- $5,145
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1132 | $2,775 | $2.45 | 22d | 3 | 0.96mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- doormansecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $171,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $171,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $171,500 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $171,500 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $171,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $171,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $171,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $171,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $171,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $171,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $171,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-03-09$171,500 Active
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Spacious One Bedroom considered a Junior-4, with a wall up for extra room that can be used as an office, den or nursery. Plenty of closet space, and a large-sized bedroom. This well-maintained low rise elevator building, built in 1960, offers a virtual doorman. Includes a laundry room, storage (waitlisted), a parking lot (waitlisted), video security, and a live-in super. Located on a quiet street, it's a short walk to Van Cortlandt Park and a commuter's dream! Easy access to local and express buses to Manhattan, the #1 & #4 train, the Major Deegan Expressway, and the Henry Hudson Parkway. The Riverdale Crossing shopping mall district includes outdoor cafes. grocery stores, BJ's Wholesale Club, City MD Urgent Care and Petco. Pet Friendly (2 cats or 1 dog (weight restriction for dogs).
-
2026-03-09$171,500 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Spacious One Bedroom considered a Junior-4, with a wall up for extra room that can be used as an office, den or nursery. Plenty of closet space, and a large-sized bedroom. This well-maintained low rise elevator building, built in 1960, offers a virtual doorman. Includes a laundry room, storage (waitlisted), a parking lot (waitlisted), video security, and a live-in super. Located on a quiet street, it's a short walk to Van Cortlandt Park and a commuter's dream! Easy access to local and express buses to Manhattan, the #1 & #4 train, the Major Deegan Expressway, and the Henry Hudson Parkway. The Riverdale Crossing shopping mall district includes outdoor cafes. grocery stores, BJ's Wholesale Club, City MD Urgent Care and Petco. Pet Friendly (2 cats or 1 dog (weight restriction for dogs).
-
2014-03-15price $170,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Great neighborhood!! Consist primarily of 1-4 family homes, attached style dwellings, cooperatives & condomiuniums. Shopping and public transportation are within walking distance. Convenient access to all major highways, the bronx zoo, botanical garden, Bronx and Riverdale schools.
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2008-11-12soldstatus $170,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Great neighborhood!! Consist primarily of 1-4 family homes, attached style dwellings, cooperatives & condomiuniums. Shopping and public transportation are within walking distance. Convenient access to all major highways, the bronx zoo, botanical garden, Bronx and Riverdale schools.
-
2008-10-03price $190,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Great neighborhood!! Consist primarily of 1-4 family homes, attached style dwellings, cooperatives & condomiuniums. Shopping and public transportation are within walking distance. Convenient access to all major highways, the bronx zoo, botanical garden, Bronx and Riverdale schools.
-
2008-09-02$190,000 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
Great neighborhood!! Consist primarily of 1-4 family homes, attached style dwellings, cooperatives & condomiuniums. Shopping and public transportation are within walking distance. Convenient access to all major highways, the bronx zoo, botanical garden, Bronx and Riverdale schools.
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2008-08-08historical
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2008-06-14
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2007-08-13historical
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2007-04-11
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2007-03-01historical
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2006-09-20
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2006-08-31historical
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2006-07-05
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,607
- − Property taxes
- −$2,572
- − Insurance
- −$858
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,490
- − Management
- −$2,490
- − Depreciation
- −$4,989
- Taxable income
- $8,121
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,949
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,470
- Household income
- $74,974
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5586.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1% Dominican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -294.75%
- Current HPI
- 168.0211
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.60%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-9.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Listed $171,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Listed $171,500 RLS at REBNY
- 2014-03-15 Price Changed $170,000 HGMLS
- 2008-11-12 Sold (MLS) $170,000 HGMLS
- 2008-10-03 Price Changed $190,000 HGMLS
- 2008-09-02 Listed $190,000 HGMLS
- 2008-08-08 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2008-06-14 Listed — HGMLS
- 2007-08-13 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2007-04-11 Listed — HGMLS
- 2007-03-01 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2006-09-20 Listed — HGMLS
- 2006-08-31 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2006-07-05 Listed — HGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…