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607 N 2nd St
B- Composite 68.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0

$58,000

607 N 2nd St · Shamokin, PA 17872
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Other · 165 Days on market
Built 1920 871 sqft lot $53/sqft · 12% above area Est $52k · 12% over ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

All appliances included with this 2 plus bedroom home which is conveniently located in the City of Shamokin and within walking distance of many amenities! Home has modern and spacious kitchen and large bathroom. Laundry area is located on first floor for your convenience. Priced to sell! Call Freda for a showing. @ 570-259-2428. 24 hr. notice is required due to home being occupied.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 164 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($870 rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Shamokin Area El Sch (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,146 of 1,518 statewide, top 76%, 832 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Ms (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #412 of 512 statewide, top 81%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Hs (math 42% / reading 30%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 57% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.70%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,719
List price
$58,000
Delta
12.14%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$18,046
Equity at exit
$22,575
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$48,566
Equity at exit
$32,279

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$870 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $949/yr
Insurance
$24
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $586
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $257 -5% $241 +0% $225 +5% $208 +10% $192
Rent -10% $156 -5% $190 +0% $225 +5% $259 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $254 -0.5pp $239 base $225 +0.5pp $210 +1.0pp $194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
863 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $695 $0.58 45d 1 0.34mi
11 S Market St Fl Rear Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 45d 1 0.39mi
11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 0.39mi
169 N Grant St Shamokin, PA 1.0 1.0 750 $695 $0.93 45d 1 0.47mi
804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 45d 1 0.50mi
1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1275 $825 $0.65 45d 1 0.55mi
2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $975 $0.67 45d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $58,000 Active 165 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,000 Active 164 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,000 Active 163 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,000 Active 162 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,000 Active 161 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,000 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $58,000 Active 158 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,000 Active 155 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,000 Active 154 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,000 Active 153 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,000 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,000 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,000 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,000 Active 145 DOM
  16. 2026-03-26
    price $58,000 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    All appliances included with this 2 plus bedroom home which is conveniently located in the City of Shamokin and within walking distance of many amenities! Home has modern and spacious kitchen and large bathroom. Laundry area is located on first floor for your convenience. Priced to sell! Call Freda for a showing. @ 570-259-2428. 24 hr. notice is required due to home being occupied.

  17. 2026-01-02
    listed $68,900 Active 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    All appliances included with this 2 plus bedroom home which is conveniently located in the City of Shamokin and within walking distance of many amenities! Home has modern and spacious kitchen and large bathroom. Laundry area is located on first floor for your convenience. Priced to sell! Call Freda for a showing. @ 570-259-2428. 24 hr. notice is required due to home being occupied.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$949 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$949 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,443
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$949
− Insurance
−$956
− Repairs & maintenance
−$835
− Management
−$835
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$1,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$463
After-tax cash flow
$2,231/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $58,000 CSVBR
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $68,900 CSVBR

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $949 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…