9768 Blue Lick Rd · West Hamlin, WV 25506

$50,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily · 131 Days on market

Built 1997 3.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.7/10.0

Listing remarks

Single level home on 3 acres in a rural setting. Nice floorplan with primary bedroom and en-suite bath on one side of the home and 3 additional bedrooms and full bath on the opposite side of the home. With some sweat equity this one could be a nice home. Cash only. No inspection contingencies - NO utilities are on and will not be turned on. Not in a Flood Plain area per WV Flood map tool.

Key facts

• En-suite bath
• Full bath
• Rural setting

Tags

• 3 ACRES
• RURAL SETTING
• PRIMARY BEDROOM
• EN-SUITE BATH
• FULL BATH
• NOT IN A FLOOD PLAIN AREA

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#148 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Lincoln County Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #54 of 55 in WV (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: West Hamlin Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #370 of 377 statewide, top 99%, 435 students, 0% FRL); Guyan Valley Middle (math 9% / reading 28%, grade F, #107 of 109 statewide, top 98%, 235 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln County High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 852 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lincoln County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.35% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.25%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.83%
• DSCR: 3.22
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.50×
• Total profit: $21,046
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 42.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.01×
• Total profit: $56,122
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State West Virginia: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 25506

• Home prices YoY: -4.9%
• Active inventory: 11
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,173 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$246
• Net cashflow: $456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-17
   status Pending
2. 2025-12-07
   listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,080
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$1,752
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,126
• − Management: −$1,126
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $5,069
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,217
• After-tax cash flow: $4,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lincoln County Schools
• NCES district ID: 5400660
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $34,693
• Composite: 18.48/100
• National rank: #8925
• State rank: #54 of 55 in WV

Livability — West Hamlin

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #148
• US rank: #14503

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 5,690

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 20,193 people
• By 2030: 19,294 · -4.5%
• By 2040: 17,358 · -14.0%
• By 2050: 15,464 · -23.4%
• By 2075: 11,491 · -43.1%
• By 2100: 8,039 · -60.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (97%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 97% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+62.5) · D 17.8% · R 80.3% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -53.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -62.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+62.5 2020: R+54.9 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -8.63%
• Current HPI: 168.7588
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Pending — KVBOR
• 2025-12-07 Listed $50,000 KVBOR