1264 Winding Path Rd · Lake Wylie, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well appointed & maintained home located in the Forest Oaks community of Lake Wylie is move-in ready and features 3 Beds/2.5 Baths, Large Living Room w/ Wood Burning Fireplace & Beautiful Laminate Wood Flooring, Eat-in Kitchen w/ Stainless Steel Appliances, Spacious Laundry Room off Kitchen, Master Bedroom has his & her closets and an en-suite bath w/ separate soaking tub & shower, Plantation Blinds throughout, Newer Carpet on Upper Level, New Roof in 2012, New CAIR & HVAC in 2018. Covered front porch & large back deck, 1 Car Attached Garage. Close to Lake Wylie, Local Schools, Restaurants & Shopping.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Updated kitchen
- Hidden pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with $250 annual fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with driveway and on-street parking available
- Utilities: County water; County sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; Two levels; Slab foundation; Vinyl exterior; RD-I zoning; Concrete, paved public road access
- Construction: Vinyl construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Backyard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Ice maker
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic pull-down stairs; Garden tub; Pantry; Walk-in closets; Insulated windows; Storm door(s); 9 total rooms; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer/Dryer included; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-994/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (4.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (25.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Lake Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#85 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D, amenities F.
- York 02 (rural): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #2 of 80 in SC (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 356 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $255k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.18%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,782
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1604 Flagsworth Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,525 (+1%) | 1mo | $306,000 | $201 | 95 |
| 1264 Winding Path Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,585 (+5%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $196 | 91 |
| 1274 Winding Path Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,542 (+2%) | 7mo | $307,000 | $199 | 88 |
| 1410 Swaying Branch Ln | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 | 1,640 (+9%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $186 | 75 |
| 1234 Winding Path Rd | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,695 (+12%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $177 | 71 |
| 1838 Endeavor Ln | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,636 (+8%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $202 | 71 |
| 1803 Endeavor Ln | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 | 1,665 (+10%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $198 | 70 |
| 1428 Swaying Branch Ln | 0.12mi | 3/3.0 | 1,675 (+11%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $194 | 68 |
| 1252 Winding Path Rd | 0.07mi | 3/3.0 | 1,685 (+12%) | 11mo | $329,900 | $196 | 66 |
| 820 Settlement St | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,649 (+9%) | 11mo | $329,000 | $200 | 66 |
| 1032 Valley Forge Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,733 (+15%) | 6mo | $323,000 | $186 | 58 |
| 274 Robinwood Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,601 (+6%) | 11mo | $426,500 | $266 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-58,648
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-76,601
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29710
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,228 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $-83
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $87 | -5% $2 | +0% $-83 | +5% $-168 | +10% $-253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-259 | -5% $-171 | +0% $-83 | +5% $5 | +10% $93 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $68 | -0.5pp $-6 | base $-83 | +0.5pp $-161 | +1.0pp $-240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1266 Winding Path Rd Clover, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,199 | $1.37 | 12d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 118 Lodges Ln Lake Wylie, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1077 | $1,955 | $1.81 | 4d | 12 | 0.35mi |
| 1522 Harpers Inlet Dr Unit 1522 Clover, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $2,200 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1001 Wylie Springs Cir Clover, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1251 | $1,959 | $1.57 | 2d | 20 | 0.44mi |
| 1430 Harpers Inlet Dr Clover, SC | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 8d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11 Hamiltons Bay Ct Unit CT855 Clover, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,870 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 11 Hamiltons Bay Ct Unit CT821 Clover, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 177 Autumn Falls Dr Clover, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,500 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-13$300,000 Active
-
2021-09-16soldstatus $255,000 Closed 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
This well appointed & maintained home located in the Forest Oaks community of Lake Wylie is move-in ready and features 3 Beds/2.5 Baths, Large Living Room w/ Wood Burning Fireplace & Beautiful Laminate Wood Flooring, Eat-in Kitchen w/ Stainless Steel Appliances, Spacious Laundry Room off Kitchen, Master Bedroom has his & her closets and an en-suite bath w/ separate soaking tub & shower, Plantation Blinds throughout, Newer Carpet on Upper Level, New Roof in 2012, New CAIR & HVAC in 2018. Covered front porch & large back deck, 1 Car Attached Garage. Close to Lake Wylie, Local Schools, Restaurants & Shopping.
-
2021-09-16soldstatus $255,000
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
This well appointed & maintained home located in the Forest Oaks community of Lake Wylie is move-in ready and features 3 Beds/2.5 Baths, Large Living Room w/ Wood Burning Fireplace & Beautiful Laminate Wood Flooring, Eat-in Kitchen w/ Stainless Steel Appliances, Spacious Laundry Room off Kitchen, Master Bedroom has his & her closets and an en-suite bath w/ separate soaking tub & shower, Plantation Blinds throughout, Newer Carpet on Upper Level, New Roof in 2012, New CAIR & HVAC in 2018. Covered front porch & large back deck, 1 Car Attached Garage. Close to Lake Wylie, Local Schools, Restaurants & Shopping.
-
2021-08-17status Pending 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
This well appointed & maintained home located in the Forest Oaks community of Lake Wylie is move-in ready and features 3 Beds/2.5 Baths, Large Living Room w/ Wood Burning Fireplace & Beautiful Laminate Wood Flooring, Eat-in Kitchen w/ Stainless Steel Appliances, Spacious Laundry Room off Kitchen, Master Bedroom has his & her closets and an en-suite bath w/ separate soaking tub & shower, Plantation Blinds throughout, Newer Carpet on Upper Level, New Roof in 2012, New CAIR & HVAC in 2018. Covered front porch & large back deck, 1 Car Attached Garage. Close to Lake Wylie, Local Schools, Restaurants & Shopping.
-
2021-08-14$245,000 Active 643-char remark
Show marketing remark (643 chars)
This well appointed & maintained home located in the Forest Oaks community of Lake Wylie is move-in ready and features 3 Beds/2.5 Baths, Large Living Room w/ Wood Burning Fireplace & Beautiful Laminate Wood Flooring, Eat-in Kitchen w/ Stainless Steel Appliances, Spacious Laundry Room off Kitchen, Master Bedroom has his & her closets and an en-suite bath w/ separate soaking tub & shower, Plantation Blinds throughout, Newer Carpet on Upper Level, New Roof in 2012, New CAIR & HVAC in 2018. Covered front porch & large back deck, 1 Car Attached Garage. Close to Lake Wylie, Local Schools, Restaurants & Shopping.
-
2017-03-10soldstatus $165,000
-
2017-03-09soldstatus $165,000 Closed 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Beautiful Remodeled Home in the Desirable Lake Wylie Community of Forest Oaks!All New Flooring~Great Rm w/Gorgeous Hardscraped Laminate Wood Flrs & Fpl~Kit w/New Counters~Freshly Painted Cabs~New Stainless Appl~New Lighting & Fans~All New Carpet~New Vinyl~All New Plantation Blinds~Fin Gar w/Epoxy Flrs~Lg Lndry w/Linen Clst~Fresh Paint Thruout & Painted Deck~Powerwashed~Landscaped~Ready&Waiting for New Owners!ROOF 2012!Great Prox to Lake/Charlotte/New Aquatic Center/Award Winning Clover Schools!
-
2017-02-09historical Under Contract - Show 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Beautiful Remodeled Home in the Desirable Lake Wylie Community of Forest Oaks!All New Flooring~Great Rm w/Gorgeous Hardscraped Laminate Wood Flrs & Fpl~Kit w/New Counters~Freshly Painted Cabs~New Stainless Appl~New Lighting & Fans~All New Carpet~New Vinyl~All New Plantation Blinds~Fin Gar w/Epoxy Flrs~Lg Lndry w/Linen Clst~Fresh Paint Thruout & Painted Deck~Powerwashed~Landscaped~Ready&Waiting for New Owners!ROOF 2012!Great Prox to Lake/Charlotte/New Aquatic Center/Award Winning Clover Schools!
-
2017-02-03$164,900 Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Beautiful Remodeled Home in the Desirable Lake Wylie Community of Forest Oaks!All New Flooring~Great Rm w/Gorgeous Hardscraped Laminate Wood Flrs & Fpl~Kit w/New Counters~Freshly Painted Cabs~New Stainless Appl~New Lighting & Fans~All New Carpet~New Vinyl~All New Plantation Blinds~Fin Gar w/Epoxy Flrs~Lg Lndry w/Linen Clst~Fresh Paint Thruout & Painted Deck~Powerwashed~Landscaped~Ready&Waiting for New Owners!ROOF 2012!Great Prox to Lake/Charlotte/New Aquatic Center/Award Winning Clover Schools!
-
2012-10-16soldstatus $61,900
-
2012-10-11soldstatus $61,900
-
2003-06-16soldstatus $122,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,710 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$226/yr (+$19/mo · 15.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,736
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,139
- − Management
- −$2,139
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$6,310
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,514
- After-tax cash flow
- $521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York 02
- NCES district ID
- 4503840
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,598
- Composite
- 53.74/100
- National rank
- #1421
- State rank
- #2 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lake Wylie
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #9884
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Wylie, SC
- County
- York County · 281,758 people
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,595
- Household income
- $96,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 569.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 307,757 people
- By 2030
- 335,979 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 391,378 · +27.2%
- By 2050
- 443,234 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 557,102 · +81.0%
- By 2100
- 625,837 · +103.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.83%
- Current HPI
- 252.3011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.88%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+144.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $300,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-16 Sold (MLS) $255,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-17 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-14 Listed $245,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-09 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-09 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-03 Listed $164,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $61,900 Public Records
- 2012-10-11 Sold (MLS) $61,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $122,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,484 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…