344 Schoolside Dr · Brandenburg, KY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Story lovely home with 3 bedrooms 2 1/2 baths, with large country kitchen with bar area, dining room, large master with tray ceiling and large master bath and walk-in closet, 2 other spacious bedrooms, has fenced in back yard, concrete drive and 1 car garage
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Ensuite bath
- Walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 1 garage space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
- Construction: Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-114/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (0.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (13.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.1% in Brandenburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#370 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Meade County (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 165 in KY (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 124 units permitted in Meade County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Meade County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.08%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-37,039
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-32,926
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40108
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,949 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $118 | -5% $54 | +0% $-9 | +5% $-73 | +10% $-137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-163 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-9 | +5% $67 | +10% $144 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $104 | -0.5pp $48 | base $-9 | +0.5pp $-68 | +1.0pp $-127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2390 Brandenburg Rd Brandenburg, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,999 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2390 Brandenburg Rd Brandenburg, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,899 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-18$225,000 Active
-
2019-11-22soldstatus $165,400
-
2019-11-18soldstatus $165,400 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
2 story very nice and spacious home with 3 bedrooms, 2 1/2 baths, large country kitchen with bar, dining room, very large master with bath and walk-in closet, separate laundry area, 2 other spacious bedrooms, deck, fenced in back yard, 1 car garage, concrete drive way, conveniently located close to town.
-
2019-11-18soldstatus $165,400 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
2 story very nice and spacious home with 3 bedrooms, 2 1/2 baths, large country kitchen with bar, dining room, very large master with bath and walk-in closet, separate laundry area, 2 other spacious bedrooms, deck, fenced in back yard, 1 car garage, concrete drive way, conveniently located close to town.
-
2019-09-12$176,000 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
2 story very nice and spacious home with 3 bedrooms, 2 1/2 baths, large country kitchen with bar, dining room, very large master with bath and walk-in closet, separate laundry area, 2 other spacious bedrooms, deck, fenced in back yard, 1 car garage, concrete drive way, conveniently located close to town.
-
2019-09-12$176,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
2 story very nice and spacious home with 3 bedrooms, 2 1/2 baths, large country kitchen with bar, dining room, very large master with bath and walk-in closet, separate laundry area, 2 other spacious bedrooms, deck, fenced in back yard, 1 car garage, concrete drive way, conveniently located close to town.
-
2018-03-22soldstatus $160,000
-
2018-03-20historical
-
2018-03-20soldstatus $160,000
-
2017-11-20$174,500
-
2017-11-10$174,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,509 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,509 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,388
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,509
- − Insurance
- −$1,922
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,871
- − Management
- −$1,871
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,934
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$944
- After-tax cash flow
- $830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meade County
- NCES district ID
- 2104050
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,628
- Composite
- 38.17/100
- National rank
- #4265
- State rank
- #21 of 165 in KY
Livability — Brandenburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #370
- US rank
- #17569
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brandenburg, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,469
Population outlook (Meade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,977 people
- By 2030
- 26,162 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 24,029 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 21,658 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 16,994 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 15,586 · -42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Meade
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -52.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.1 2020: R+46.4 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.25%
- Current HPI
- 205.7001
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+28.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — HKARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $225,000 HKARMLS
- 2019-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $165,400 Public Records
- 2019-11-18 Sold (MLS) $165,400 HKARMLS
- 2019-11-18 Sold (MLS) $165,400 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-09-12 Listed $176,000 HKARMLS
- 2019-09-12 Listed $176,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2018-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-20 Sold (MLS) $160,000 HKARMLS
- 2018-03-20 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2017-11-20 Listed $174,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2017-11-10 Listed $174,500 HKARMLS
Property tax history
+34.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,509 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…