892 Baltimore St · Penn, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come make this home yours! This 2-story home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a walk-up attic that could be finished, an enclosed back porch, and a spacious backyard with a courtyard area. This home is in the South Western school district and convenient to shopping, dining, and more. Kitchen recently updated with new cabinets, stove and refrigerator. Main level has a bright, full bathroom with a walk-in shower and room for a future stackable washer/dryer. Enclosed rear porch overlooks the backyard. Covered front porch and 2nd floor rear balcony. Hydronic heating system in main level floor has a dedicated tankless hot water heater to provide quiet and consistent warmth via the radiant
Key facts
- 6,556 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1914
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space); Total of 1 garage/parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Electric available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Cable internet service
- Home design: Detached structure; Shingle roof; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent, stone, and brick/mortar foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Secure storage; Partially fenced yard with vinyl fencing; Level lot with rear yard; Balcony; Patio(s); Porch(es)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood floors; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water and radiant heating; Other heating; Natural gas and electric heating fuel; Ceiling fan cooling; 100 amp electrical service
- Interior features: Attic; Walk-in shower in bathroom; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining area; Replacement windows; Dry wall and plaster walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Tankless hot water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- South Western SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #206 of 539 in PA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Emory H Markle Ms (math 27% / reading 53%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 1,028 students, 34% FRL); South Western Shs (math 83% / reading 75%, grade A-, #20 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 1,299 students, 31% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Western SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $175k implies a 361% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.32%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,825
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -30.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 832 Baltimore St | 0.16mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,536 (+2%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $114 | 77 |
| 933 Centennial Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,333 (-12%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $188 | 66 |
| 430 Clover Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 310 Clover Ln | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,421 (-6%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $190 | 62 |
| 955 Maple Ln | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-6%) | 10mo | $246,000 | $172 | 57 |
| 1241 Maple Ln #5 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-4%) | 9mo | $378,605 | $262 | 53 |
| 45 Wilmar Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,627 (+8%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $160 | 51 |
| 445 Ripple Dr #61 | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-8%) | 8mo | $384,218 | $277 | 47 |
| 311 Wirt Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+10%) | 5mo | $331,000 | $199 | 46 |
| 565 Ripple Dr #68 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,667 (+10%) | 12mo | $402,496 | $241 | 36 |
| 435 Ripple Dr #60 | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-14%) | 12mo | $362,234 | $280 | 35 |
| 125 Charles Ave | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (+10%) | 9mo | $272,000 | $164 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,229
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $21,994
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17331
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,886 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$282 /mo · $3,382/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $316 | -5% $267 | +0% $217 | +5% $168 | +10% $118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $143 | +0% $217 | +5% $292 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $305 | -0.5pp $262 | base $217 | +0.5pp $172 | +1.0pp $126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mustang Dr Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,843 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 20 Mustang Dr Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,931 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 40 Mustang Dr Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,843 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 88 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,906 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 88 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,963 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 76 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,906 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 76 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,963 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 101 Pacer Dr Unit M Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1252 | $1,751 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 101 Pacer Dr Unit L Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1252 | $1,901 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 101 Pacer Dr Unit K Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1252 | $1,846 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 34 Overlook Dr Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 51 Overlook Dr Unit J Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,120 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 51 Overlook Dr Unit F Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $1,983 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 185 Pumping Station Rd Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,059 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 185 Pumping Station Rd Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,999 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12 Secretariat Dr Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,201 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 16 Secretariat Dr Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,121 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 16 Secretariat Dr Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,059 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 878 Admiral Ln Hanover, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,121 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-17status $175,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-04-26historical $175,000 840-char remark
-
1986-05-15soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,382 · $282/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,382 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,382
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,810
- − Management
- −$1,810
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$142
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,642/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Western SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222470
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,689
- Composite
- 41.5/100
- National rank
- #3456
- State rank
- #206 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1637
- US rank
- #22584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkville, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,443
- Household income
- $79,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1076.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.48%
- Current HPI
- 251.8974
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+360.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-26 Coming Soon $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1986-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,382 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…