498 Montana Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling investors. Nice ranch home, enclosed front and back porches, handicap entry ramp in front. This home is tenant occupied by a long-term tenant who is on a month-to-month rental but would like to stay. Showings available Monday, Tuesday Wednesday and Friday from 9-5am by appointment ( 24 hour notice please so we can contact tenant in advance)
Key facts
- Ranch home
- Enclosed back porch
- Handicap entry ramp
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot roughly 0.1 acre (40 x 105); Subdivision: WILSON PARK
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built with approximately 722 above-grade finished square feet
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Ground-level entry; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $95k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.78%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,748
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 South Blvd W | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 709 (-2%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $134 | 90 |
| 460 Nevada Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 737 (+2%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $136 | 85 |
| 587 Nevada Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 714 (-1%) | 5mo | $81,600 | $114 | 81 |
| 604 Montana Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 709 (-2%) | 11mo | $109,900 | $155 | 74 |
| 482 Nevada Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 729 (+1%) | 24mo | $110,000 | $151 | 71 |
| 301 Hughes Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 731 (+1%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 550 Nevada Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 632 (-12%) | 15mo | $133,500 | $211 | 57 |
| 555 Nevada Avenue Rnch | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+11%) | 19mo | $125,000 | $156 | 56 |
| 293 Rapid St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 752 (+4%) | 19mo | $29,000 | $39 | 51 |
| 301 Rockwell Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 762 (+6%) | 19mo | $47,000 | $62 | 48 |
| 589 California Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 807 (+12%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 530 S Jessie St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 818 (+13%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $79 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,637
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $25,456
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48341
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $827/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460 Nebraska Ave Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,050 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1957 S Telegraph Rd Unit 301 Bloomfield Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $3,600 | $5.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2083 S Telegraph Rd Bloomfield Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $1,625 | $1.73 | 2d | 24 | 0.72mi |
| 900 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,055 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 18 Salmer Ave Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 595 | $818 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 28 N Saginaw St Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $1,600 | $2.60 | 5d | 10 | 1.29mi |
| 97 Mary Day Ave Apt 3 Pontiac, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1240 Wagner Ave Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,550 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-17status $94,900 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$94,900 Active
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
Calling investors. Nice ranch home, enclosed front and back porches, handicap entry ramp in front. This home is tenant occupied by a long-term tenant who is on a month-to-month rental but would like to stay. Showings available Monday, Tuesday Wednesday and Friday from 9-5am by appointment ( 24 hour notice please so we can contact tenant in advance)
-
2026-05-26$94,900 Active 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
Calling investors. Nice ranch home, enclosed front and back porches, handicap entry ramp in front. This home is tenant occupied by a long-term tenant who is on a month-to-month rental but would like to stay. Showings available Monday, Tuesday Wednesday and Friday from 9-5am by appointment ( 24 hour notice please so we can contact tenant in advance)
-
2017-01-26soldstatus $59,830
-
2016-01-07soldstatus $23,500 Sold 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Nice two bedrooms, Central Air, Hardwood floors, New Interior Painting, Fenced yard, Enclosed Front Porch 19 x 6, Enclosed Back Porch 12 x 5, New Blinds, Newer Hot Water Tank, One Year Warranty, Handicap Ramp on Front of house, seller will remove if buyer does not want. Why Rent when your mortgage payment estimated less than $300 monthly. Enjoy your new home for the holidays.
-
2016-01-07soldstatus $23,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Nice two bedrooms, Central Air, Hardwood floors, New Interior Painting, Fenced yard, Enclosed Front Porch 19 x 6, Enclosed Back Porch 12 x 5, New Blinds, Newer Hot Water Tank, One Year Warranty, Handicap Ramp on Front of house, seller will remove if buyer does not want. Why Rent when your mortgage payment estimated less than $300 monthly. Enjoy your new home for the holidays.
-
2016-01-06status Pending 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Nice two bedrooms, Central Air, Hardwood floors, New Interior Painting, Fenced yard, Enclosed Front Porch 19 x 6, Enclosed Back Porch 12 x 5, New Blinds, Newer Hot Water Tank, One Year Warranty, Handicap Ramp on Front of house, seller will remove if buyer does not want. Why Rent when your mortgage payment estimated less than $300 monthly. Enjoy your new home for the holidays.
-
2015-12-29status Pending
-
2015-12-27historical 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Nice two bedrooms, Central Air, Hardwood floors, New Interior Painting, Fenced yard, Enclosed Front Porch 19 x 6, Enclosed Back Porch 12 x 5, New Blinds, Newer Hot Water Tank, One Year Warranty, Handicap Ramp on Front of house, seller will remove if buyer does not want. Why Rent when your mortgage payment estimated less than $300 monthly. Enjoy your new home for the holidays.
-
2015-11-18price $25,500 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Nice two bedrooms, Central Air, Hardwood floors, New Interior Painting, Fenced yard, Enclosed Front Porch 19 x 6, Enclosed Back Porch 12 x 5, New Blinds, Newer Hot Water Tank, One Year Warranty, Handicap Ramp on Front of house, seller will remove if buyer does not want. Why Rent when your mortgage payment estimated less than $300 monthly. Enjoy your new home for the holidays.
-
2015-11-05$27,800 Active
-
2015-11-04$27,800 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Nice two bedrooms, Central Air, Hardwood floors, New Interior Painting, Fenced yard, Enclosed Front Porch 19 x 6, Enclosed Back Porch 12 x 5, New Blinds, Newer Hot Water Tank, One Year Warranty, Handicap Ramp on Front of house, seller will remove if buyer does not want. Why Rent when your mortgage payment estimated less than $300 monthly. Enjoy your new home for the holidays.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $827 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,144 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$317/yr (+$26/mo · 38.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$827
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $1,968
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$472
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,924
- Household income
- $51,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 833.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.11%
- Current HPI
- 257.8941
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+241.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $59,830 Public Records
- 2016-01-07 Sold (MLS) $23,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-07 Sold (MLS) $23,500 REALCOMP
- 2016-01-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2015-12-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-12-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-11-18 Price Changed $25,500 REALCOMP
- 2015-11-05 Listed $27,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-04 Listed $27,800 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $827 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…