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74 Starling St
B Composite 70.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$49,900

74 Starling St · Rochester, NY 14613
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 892 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1880 4,791 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property package for sale consisting of 15 single family homes, newer roofs, replacement windows, and updated mechanics. CofO’s and long term tenants. Feel free to do a drive-by but please don’t bother the tenants. Showings can be scheduled as soon as the EO is lifted but let’s start the conversation now! Listing Broker is owner.

Key facts

  • Water tank 2014
  • Dead end street
  • First floor living

Tags

DEAD END STREETFIRST FLOOR LIVINGRECENT FURNACEWATER TANK 2014

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $601 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.35%
Cap rate
20.74%
Cash-on-cash
51.60%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,260
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
66 Starling St 0.01mi 2/1.0 805 (-10%) 1mo $125,000 $155 82
381 Mcnaughton St 0.50mi 2/1.0 900 (+1%) 3mo $145,000 $161 73
90 Curtis St 0.33mi 2/1.0 857 (-4%) 11mo $160,000 $187 69
306 Curlew St 0.16mi 3/1.5 (+1) 974 (+9%) 4mo $160,000 $164 67
124 Curtis St 0.32mi 2/1.0 966 (+8%) 6mo $160,000 $166 66
52 Dix St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 918 (+3%) 5mo $65,000 $71 61
114 Otis St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 903 (+1%) 8mo $67,500 $75 57
946 Glide St 0.67mi 2/1.5 881 (-1%) 9mo $133,000 $151 57
148 Canton St 0.73mi 2/1.0 936 (+5%) 3mo $145,000 $155 55
112 Otis St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 904 (+1%) 13mo $100,000 $111 51
25 Emerson Park 0.52mi 2/1.5 996 (+12%) 4mo $98,000 $98 51
215 Curtis St 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,001 (+12%) 10mo $120,000 $120 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.5%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$30,183
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
55.0%
Equity multiple
6.41×
Total profit
$75,576
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14613

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,173 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $520/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$601

Break-even live

Break-even rent $412
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $629 -5% $615 +0% $601 +5% $587 +10% $573
Rent -10% $508 -5% $554 +0% $601 +5% $647 +10% $693
Rate -1.0pp $626 -0.5pp $613 base $601 +0.5pp $588 +1.0pp $575

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 Archer St Unit UP Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 44d 1 0.28mi
265 Driving Park Ave Unit 31 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 810 $1,250 $1.54 44d 1 0.44mi
265 Driving Park Ave Unit 25 Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 605 $1,150 $1.90 44d 1 0.44mi
19 Rainier St Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 786 $850 $1.08 4d 1 0.44mi
254 Lexington Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $1,350 $1.42 3d 1 0.45mi
25 Karnes St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1059 $1,250 $1.18 22d 1 0.60mi
1097 Dewey Ave Unit B Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,150 $1.14 15d 1 0.63mi
84 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 24d 1 0.85mi
89 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1096 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.86mi
52 Lorimer St Unit 03 UP Rear Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 24d 1 1.01mi
86 Parkway Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 602 $1,600 $2.66 4d 1 1.05mi
391-393 Flower City Park Unit Down Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 24d 1 1.10mi
39 Parkway Apt 1 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.10mi
76 Avenue A Unit Up Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 796 $1,700 $2.14 44d 1 1.12mi
45 Clay Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 15d 1 1.16mi
60 Lime St Unit Upper Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 3d 1 1.19mi
144 Avenue C Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 613 $1,050 $1.71 22d 1 1.22mi
116 Ridgeway Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,650 $1.60 3d 1 1.28mi
200 Seth Green Dr Rochester, NY 1.0 1.0 517 $858 $1.66 44d 1 1.34mi
658 Smith St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 981 $1,500 $1.53 4d 1 1.35mi
230 Pullman Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 15d 1 1.37mi
14 Ramona Park Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 624 $893 $1.43 44d 1 1.38mi
76 Dodge St Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 742 $1,250 $1.68 44d 6 1.47mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2025-08-27
    status Pending
  2. 2025-08-13
    listed $49,900 Active
  3. 2021-01-19
    price $50,667 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Property package for sale consisting of 15 single family homes, newer roofs, replacement windows, and updated mechanics. CofO’s and long term tenants. Feel free to do a drive-by but please don’t bother the tenants. Showings can be scheduled as soon as the EO is lifted but let’s start the conversation now! Listing Broker is owner.

  4. 2020-08-05
    soldstatus $50,667 Closed Sale or Rented 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Property package for sale consisting of 15 single family homes, newer roofs, replacement windows, and updated mechanics. CofO’s and long term tenants. Feel free to do a drive-by but please don’t bother the tenants. Showings can be scheduled as soon as the EO is lifted but let’s start the conversation now! Listing Broker is owner.

  5. 2020-08-05
    soldstatus $760,000
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Property package for sale consisting of 15 single family homes, newer roofs, replacement windows, and updated mechanics. CofO’s and long term tenants. Feel free to do a drive-by but please don’t bother the tenants. Showings can be scheduled as soon as the EO is lifted but let’s start the conversation now! Listing Broker is owner.

  6. 2020-05-21
    status Pending Sale 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Property package for sale consisting of 15 single family homes, newer roofs, replacement windows, and updated mechanics. CofO’s and long term tenants. Feel free to do a drive-by but please don’t bother the tenants. Showings can be scheduled as soon as the EO is lifted but let’s start the conversation now! Listing Broker is owner.

  7. 2020-04-01
    listed $795,000 Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Property package for sale consisting of 15 single family homes, newer roofs, replacement windows, and updated mechanics. CofO’s and long term tenants. Feel free to do a drive-by but please don’t bother the tenants. Showings can be scheduled as soon as the EO is lifted but let’s start the conversation now! Listing Broker is owner.

  8. 2019-05-08
    soldstatus $766,900
  9. 2017-01-17
    historical
  10. 2016-11-27
    listed $40,000 Active
  11. 2012-08-24
    listed $40,000
  12. 2011-12-05
    soldstatus $22,400
  13. 2006-11-22
    soldstatus $416,000
  14. 1999-05-03
    soldstatus $33,250
  15. 1999-03-09
    soldstatus $34,239

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$520 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$681 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$162/yr (+$13/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,074
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$520
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$6,806
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,633
After-tax cash flow
$5,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
City population
432,803
Population (ZIP)
14,740

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
British 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.56%
Current HPI
274.2485
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-27 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2021-01-19 Price Changed $50,667 UNYREIS
  • 2020-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $760,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-05 Sold (MLS) $50,667 UNYREIS
  • 2020-05-21 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-04-01 Listed $795,000 UNYREIS
  • 2019-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $766,900 Public Records
  • 2017-01-17 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2016-11-27 Listed $40,000 UNYREIS
  • 2012-08-24 Listed $40,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $22,400 Public Records
  • 2006-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $416,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $33,250 Public Records
  • 1999-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $34,239 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $520 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…