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234 Sesame St 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 40.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$210,000

234 Sesame St · Wewahitchka, FL 32465
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,156 sqft · Manufactured public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2004 0.55 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HIGH AND DRY - X FLOOD ZONE!!! Price to sell nearly one acre lot inside City limits. Grab your fishing poles and enjoy the laid back atmosphere of Wewahitchka! Public utilities available, property will accommodate mobile homes and custom builds. (RV with City approval) Make this spot your full time residence or weekend get-a-way. Also available as individual parcels, see MLS 260458,260459,260460.

Key facts

  • Split floor plan
  • Formal dining area
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANTWO SEPARATE LIVING AREASCOZY FIREPLACEUPDATED KITCHENEXPANSIVE LAUNDRY ROOMFORMAL DINING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; 6 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Phone available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; New construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Partial backyard fencing; Corner lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-278 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (23.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (31.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.5% in Wewahitchka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#386 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gulf (rural): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #49 of 73 in FL (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 302 units permitted in Gulf County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gulf County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $210k implies a 1515% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,362 (31.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.68%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$96,652
Equity at exit
$189,185
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$298,550
Equity at exit
$407,984

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32465

Home prices YoY
25.5%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,664/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$-278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,786
Max offer price $160,862
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $210,000 Active 64 DOM
  17. 2026-03-27
    listed $210,000 Active
  18. 2025-05-01
    price $210,000
  19. 2018-01-23
    soldstatus $13,000 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY - X FLOOD ZONE!!! Price to sell nearly one acre lot inside City limits. Grab your fishing poles and enjoy the laid back atmosphere of Wewahitchka! Public utilities available, property will accommodate mobile homes and custom builds. (RV with City approval) Make this spot your full time residence or weekend get-a-way. Also available as individual parcels, see MLS 260458,260459,260460.

  20. 2017-10-25
    listed $16,000 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    HIGH AND DRY - X FLOOD ZONE!!! Price to sell nearly one acre lot inside City limits. Grab your fishing poles and enjoy the laid back atmosphere of Wewahitchka! Public utilities available, property will accommodate mobile homes and custom builds. (RV with City approval) Make this spot your full time residence or weekend get-a-way. Also available as individual parcels, see MLS 260458,260459,260460.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,664 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,664 · $222/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,203
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,664
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$7,135
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,712
After-tax cash flow
$-1,626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gulf
NCES district ID
1200690
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,047
Composite
38.63/100
National rank
#4154
State rank
#49 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wewahitchka

Score
71/100
State rank
#386
US rank
#6847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wewahitchka, FL
Population (ZIP)
7,940

Population outlook (Gulf County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,677 people
By 2030
15,538 · -0.9%
By 2040
15,386 · -1.9%
By 2050
15,043 · -4.0%
By 2075
13,793 · -12.0%
By 2100
10,793 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gulf

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.6% · R 76.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -39.3pp · 2024: -54.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.2 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 85.74%
Current HPI
421.7879
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1212.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $210,000 RAFGC
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $210,000 RAFGC
  • 2018-01-23 Sold (MLS) $13,000 RAFGC
  • 2017-10-25 Listed $16,000 RAFGC

Property tax history

+15.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,664 · +473.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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