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1940 Mullet Ave
B Composite 72.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,999

1940 Mullet Ave · Richfield, MI 48656
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 620 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1955 0.26 ac lot Est $82k · 27% under ↓ 48% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy the Great UP NORTH with this perfectly located Cabin, on a beautiful street. .. .. This cabin is gutted to the studs. .. make this place yours exactly how you want. .. . Would make a great VRBO. .. . close to lakes, boat launches, wild life, restaurants, freeways!!! the attached garage is perfect for the side by side, that are allowed to be driven on public roads!!!! Large lot, great neighborhood. Investor Special!!!! I the Heart of St. Helen. .. ..

Key facts

  • Gutted to the studs
  • Close to lakes
  • Wild life

Tags

GUTTED TO THE STUDSCLOSE TO LAKESBOAT LAUNCHESWILD LIFEHEART OF ST HELEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1955
  • Construction: Log construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Paved and unimproved road access; 0.26-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Other type of heating
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance; 4 total rooms; Slab foundation/basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($821 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Roscommon Area Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #270 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,099 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
13.98%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$81,840
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1680 Mendota Rd 0.31mi 2/1.0 644 (+4%) 12mo $55,500 $86 69
9577 W Pleasant Dr 0.42mi 2/1.0 675 (+9%) 12mo $89,000 $132 56
1431 Saint Clair Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 560 (-10%) 16mo $85,000 $152 46
9231 Michigan Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 560 (-10%) 22mo $108,000 $193 44
1217 Minet Ct 0.74mi 1/1.0 (-1) 527 (-15%) 7mo $55,000 $104 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$2,778
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$18,615
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48656

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$821 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,363/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $574
Max offer price $59,999
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,999 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,999 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,999 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,999 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,999 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,999 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,999 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,999 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,999 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,999 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,999 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,999 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,999 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,999 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,999 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,999 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Located at 1940 Mullet Street in St. Helen, Michigan, this property offers excellent potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for an affordable Up North getaway with room to add value. Conveniently situated near downtown St. Helen and close to area lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation, this home is perfectly positioned for a future rental property, vacation retreat, or weekend escape. The home features two bedrooms and charming knotty pine interior accents that bring classic Northern Michigan cabin character. Sitting on a large lot, the property also includes a garage with ample space to store a side-by-side, recreational vehicles, or outdoor equipment -- ideal for enjoying the area's year-round trail systems and outdoor activities. While the property does need remodeling and updates, it presents a strong opportunity for someone looking to create equity and transform it into a desirable rental or seasonal property.

  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,999 Active 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Located at 1940 Mullet Street in St. Helen, Michigan, this property offers excellent potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for an affordable Up North getaway with room to add value. Conveniently situated near downtown St. Helen and close to area lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation, this home is perfectly positioned for a future rental property, vacation retreat, or weekend escape. The home features two bedrooms and charming knotty pine interior accents that bring classic Northern Michigan cabin character. Sitting on a large lot, the property also includes a garage with ample space to store a side-by-side, recreational vehicles, or outdoor equipment -- ideal for enjoying the area's year-round trail systems and outdoor activities. While the property does need remodeling and updates, it presents a strong opportunity for someone looking to create equity and transform it into a desirable rental or seasonal property.

  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Located at 1940 Mullet Street in St. Helen, Michigan, this property offers excellent potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for an affordable Up North getaway with room to add value. Conveniently situated near downtown St. Helen and close to area lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation, this home is perfectly positioned for a future rental property, vacation retreat, or weekend escape. The home features two bedrooms and charming knotty pine interior accents that bring classic Northern Michigan cabin character. Sitting on a large lot, the property also includes a garage with ample space to store a side-by-side, recreational vehicles, or outdoor equipment -- ideal for enjoying the area's year-round trail systems and outdoor activities. While the property does need remodeling and updates, it presents a strong opportunity for someone looking to create equity and transform it into a desirable rental or seasonal property.

  19. 2026-05-19
    historical
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Located at 1940 Mullet Street in St. Helen, Michigan, this property offers excellent potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for an affordable Up North getaway with room to add value. Conveniently situated near downtown St. Helen and close to area lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation, this home is perfectly positioned for a future rental property, vacation retreat, or weekend escape. The home features two bedrooms and charming knotty pine interior accents that bring classic Northern Michigan cabin character. Sitting on a large lot, the property also includes a garage with ample space to store a side-by-side, recreational vehicles, or outdoor equipment -- ideal for enjoying the area's year-round trail systems and outdoor activities. While the property does need remodeling and updates, it presents a strong opportunity for someone looking to create equity and transform it into a desirable rental or seasonal property.

  20. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Located at 1940 Mullet Street in St. Helen, Michigan, this property offers excellent potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for an affordable Up North getaway with room to add value. Conveniently situated near downtown St. Helen and close to area lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation, this home is perfectly positioned for a future rental property, vacation retreat, or weekend escape. The home features two bedrooms and charming knotty pine interior accents that bring classic Northern Michigan cabin character. Sitting on a large lot, the property also includes a garage with ample space to store a side-by-side, recreational vehicles, or outdoor equipment -- ideal for enjoying the area's year-round trail systems and outdoor activities. While the property does need remodeling and updates, it presents a strong opportunity for someone looking to create equity and transform it into a desirable rental or seasonal property.

  21. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Located at 1940 Mullet Street in St. Helen, Michigan, this property offers excellent potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for an affordable Up North getaway with room to add value. Conveniently situated near downtown St. Helen and close to area lakes, trails, and outdoor recreation, this home is perfectly positioned for a future rental property, vacation retreat, or weekend escape. The home features two bedrooms and charming knotty pine interior accents that bring classic Northern Michigan cabin character. Sitting on a large lot, the property also includes a garage with ample space to store a side-by-side, recreational vehicles, or outdoor equipment -- ideal for enjoying the area's year-round trail systems and outdoor activities. While the property does need remodeling and updates, it presents a strong opportunity for someone looking to create equity and transform it into a desirable rental or seasonal property.

  22. 2025-12-10
    historical
  23. 2025-11-30
    historical
  24. 2025-05-20
    price $69,000
  25. 2025-05-19
    price $69,000
  26. 2025-05-02
    price $60,000
  27. 2025-05-02
    price $60,000
  28. 2025-02-18
    historical
  29. 2025-01-28
    listed $70,000 Active
  30. 2025-01-28
    listed $70,000 Active
  31. 2024-08-26
    listed $70,000 Active
  32. 2024-08-26
    listed $70,000 Active
  33. 2023-12-31
    historical
  34. 2023-12-30
    historical
  35. 2023-07-19
    listed $116,000 Active
  36. 2023-07-19
    listed $116,000 Active
  37. 2023-07-19
    listed $116,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,363 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,363 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,857
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,363
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$789
− Management
−$789
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$1,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$363
After-tax cash flow
$1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roscommon Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2615830
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,914
Composite
30.7/100
National rank
#6172
State rank
#270 of 540 in MI

Livability — Richfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Helen, MI
Population (ZIP)
3,872

Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,249 people
By 2030
21,206 · -4.7%
By 2040
19,070 · -14.3%
By 2050
17,564 · -21.1%
By 2075
15,420 · -30.7%
By 2100
13,168 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 7% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.98%
Current HPI
319.603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-48.3% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,999 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-26 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-26 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-19 Listed $116,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-19 Listed $116,000 WWMLS
  • 2023-07-19 Listed $116,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,363 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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