1114 30th St NW · Inwood, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Foreclosure Auction Ends May 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Winter Haven community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.
Key facts
- 9,736 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof
Interior
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: One total room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#594 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 491 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 2500% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $130k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.11%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,897
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $17,129
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33881
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 491
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,575 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,419/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1254 34th St NW Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,690 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3135 Woodhill Rd Unit 3205 Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3135 Woodhill Rd Unit 3127 Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 611 34th St NW Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,500 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2016 Avenue G NW Unit 2016 Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,125 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3823 Avenue J NW Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,696 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 350 24th St NW Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 660 | $1,549 | $2.35 | 3d | 13 | 0.74mi |
| 5004 Dream Dr Winter Haven, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,899 | $2.21 | 3d | 71 | 0.78mi |
| 5004 Dream Dr Winter Haven, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,899 | $2.21 | 14d | 76 | 0.78mi |
| 333 Lake Howard Dr NW Unit 312C Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,425 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2366 Lake Dr NW Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1003 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 265 25th St SW Unit B Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 309 Vaniman Ave Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1089 | $1,610 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2000 15th Ct NW Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 912 Lake Jessie Dr Unit A Winter Haven, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 506 Holt Cir Winter Haven, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,675 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| Deena Way Winter Haven, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,225 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $130,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-21$5,000 Active
-
2025-08-20status Pending
-
2025-08-15historical
-
2025-07-21$170,000 Active
-
1993-07-12soldstatus $35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,419 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,419 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,419
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,512
- − Management
- −$1,512
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$418
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Inwood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #594
- US rank
- #11391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inwood, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,808
- Household income
- $57,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1270.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.95%
- Current HPI
- 277.0597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-86.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-20 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-07-21 Listed $170,000 MARMLS
- 1993-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,419 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…