300 W Allmon St · Salem, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,750 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 46 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 50 x 135 (less than 0.25 acre); Lot size per county records; Parcel number 1100013255
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story/main level living; Owned fee simple; Property over 100 years old; School bus service available
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shake roof; Block foundation; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 15)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (13 x 10) with full bath access; Bedroom on main level (12 x 11); Bedroom on main level (12 x 10)
- Flooring: Carpet in living room and two bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and master bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Other heating type
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Crawl space basement; Some photos virtually staged
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.6% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#467 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Salem Chsd 600 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #571 of 919 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.52%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,470
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 727 N Broadway Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,375 (+12%) | 2mo | $84,800 | $62 | 73 |
| 416 S Maple St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,259 (+2%) | 2mo | $112,500 | $89 | 70 |
| 1201 N Franklin St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (+2%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $127 | 68 |
| 441 N Ohio Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-4%) | 6mo | $126,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 501 W Mcmackin St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,292 (+5%) | 1mo | $8,000 | $6 | 66 |
| 120 E Bennett St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,407 (+14%) | 2mo | $138,990 | $99 | 62 |
| 511 N Shelby St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-11%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $73 | 57 |
| 521 W Park St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (-12%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $138 | 51 |
| 527 S Rotan St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (-8%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $84 | 50 |
| 1409 Rig | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (+8%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $102 | 50 |
| 1022 W Boone St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+14%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $46 | 47 |
| 304 S Castle St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,366 (+11%) | 8mo | $68,000 | $50 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $10,058
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $40,224
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62881
- Home prices YoY
- -28.0%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $587/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $435 | -5% $410 | +0% $385 | +5% $359 | +10% $334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $291 | -5% $338 | +0% $385 | +5% $432 | +10% $478 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $407 | base $385 | +0.5pp $362 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $89,000
-
2025-12-17historical
-
2025-04-09price $89,900
-
2025-04-04$98,500 Active
-
2023-02-07soldstatus $60,000
-
2023-02-07soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2023-01-07historical Under Contract
-
2022-11-11status Active
-
2022-11-09historical Under Contract
-
2022-11-09$65,000
-
2022-11-09$65,000 Active
-
2021-08-07historical
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $51,000
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $51,000
-
2016-03-16$55,500
-
2016-03-16$55,500
-
2009-11-20soldstatus $46,500
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2009-11-20soldstatus $46,500
-
2009-10-08$49,900
-
2009-10-08$49,900
-
2000-12-18soldstatus $29,500
-
2000-10-25$34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $587 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$717/yr (+$60/mo · 122.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$587
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $3,354
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$805
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem Chsd 600
- NCES district ID
- 1735190
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,305
- Composite
- 26.04/100
- National rank
- #12738
- State rank
- #571 of 919 in IL
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #467
- US rank
- #9634
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, IL
- City population
- 11,218
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,218
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,071 people
- By 2030
- 34,598 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 31,754 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 28,912 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 22,527 · -37.5%
- By 2100
- 16,455 · -54.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.6% · R 74.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -49.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+44.9 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.16%
- Current HPI
- 162.55
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+158.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $89,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-09 Price Changed $89,900 CIBR
- 2025-04-04 Listed $98,500 CIBR
- 2023-02-07 Sold (MLS) $60,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-07 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-07 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-11 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-09 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-09 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-09 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-07 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $51,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $51,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-16 Listed $55,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-16 Listed $55,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $46,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $46,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-08 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-08 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-18 Sold (MLS) $29,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-10-25 Listed $34,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2024): $587 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…