11625 Dog Rose · Converse, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on a cul-de-sac street, this move-in-ready, single-story home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an attached 2-car garage with driveway parking. Built in 2024, the Lennar Gerson plan presents a clean exterior with neutral siding and a covered front entry. Inside, the thoughtfully designed layout offers abundant natural light and comfortable spaces for everyday living. The open-concept design connects the kitchen, dining area, and living room, creating an inviting setting for gathering and entertaining.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Clean exterior
- Cul-de-sac street
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (10.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Tradition El (math 25% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 993 students, 51% FRL); East Central Heritage Middle (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,120 students, 44% FRL); East Central H S (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,252 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1757 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.43%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,060
- List price
- $184,999
- Delta
- -4.67%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2126 French Rose | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 2mo | $186,749 | $135 | 85 |
| 1941 Pasture Rose | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+4%) | 2mo | $198,999 | $141 | 84 |
| 2118 French Rose | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 3mo | $165,349 | $120 | 84 |
| 1952 Pasture Rose | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+4%) | 1mo | $197,999 | $141 | 76 |
| 11507 Field Briar | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $121 | 72 |
| 2101 French Rose | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,483 (+10%) | 1mo | $200,999 | $136 | 68 |
| 11581 Cinnamon Rose | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+11%) | 2mo | $173,449 | $116 | 67 |
| 11569 Cinnamon Rose | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+11%) | 3mo | $171,999 | $115 | 66 |
| 11331 Evergreen Rose | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,483 (+10%) | 1mo | $201,999 | $136 | 66 |
| 2122 French Rose | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+11%) | 3mo | $173,999 | $116 | 64 |
| 11311 Evergreen Rose | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+11%) | 2mo | $172,099 | $115 | 63 |
| 11120 Prairie Lndg | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,213 (-10%) | 3mo | $189,990 | $157 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-41,450
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -33.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-63,164
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 49 active · 25 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.8 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $242,499 ($165/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 316 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -12.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78109
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1757
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$309 /mo · $3,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$69
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $-105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $0 | -5% $-53 | +0% $-105 | +5% $-157 | +10% $-210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-237 | -5% $-171 | +0% $-105 | +5% $-39 | +10% $27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-12 | -0.5pp $-58 | base $-105 | +0.5pp $-153 | +1.0pp $-202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11602 Dog Rose Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 119d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 11507 Field Briar Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 11653 Dog Rose Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,449 | $0.98 | 10d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 11559 Field Briar Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,395 | $1.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2235 Camellia Rose Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 6d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 11327 Evergreen Rose Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1802 | $1,500 | $0.83 | 10d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11767 Arctic Rose Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1937 Pasture Rose Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,545 | $0.98 | 29d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 11221 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 10d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 11151 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1859 | $1,705 | $0.92 | 119d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 97d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11130 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1709 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 117d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11131 Hollinger Cir Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,300 | $1.41 | 84d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4611 E 1604 N Converse, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,262 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3106 Drayton Ests Converse, TX | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1733 | $2,102 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11046 Eyelet Hbr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,750 | $1.15 | 119d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2822 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,770 | $1.16 | 67d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2818 Praline Fry Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 84d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 11019 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 139d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11030 Yonder Flts Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 100d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11026 Yonder Flts Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,725 | $1.13 | 74d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2927 Citron Gdn Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,565 | $1.10 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2927 Citron Gdn Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,565 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10922 Chatham Ct Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,635 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2939 Gastonian Ml Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,495 | $0.98 | 139d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2815 Armaan WAY Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1401 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 56d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3130 Jackson Smt Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,885 | $1.32 | 100d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3055 Jackson Smt Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 139d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3318 Carducci Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 139d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3306 Carducci Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,425 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10690 Pablo Way Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 88d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10838 Hernando Ct Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $1,965 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10803 Prusiner Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,410 | $0.97 | 119d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10803 Prusiner Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,476 | $1.02 | 117d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10799 Prusiner Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $1,625 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 10619 McClintock Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,751 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3642 Georgia Trce Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 64d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3642 Georgia Trce Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 29d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2843 Elion Dr Converse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,425 | $1.12 | 63d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 10610 Varmus Dr Converse, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,536 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Down payment resources available
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAHOA dues $275 annuallyAssociation transfer fee $275Subdivision: ROSE VALLEY
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Sewer system
- Home design
- Pre-owned home built by LennarApproximately 2 years oldSlab entry (no steps)
- Construction
- Slab foundationComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Cement fiber exterior
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas cookingStove/RangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Master bedroom on lower level with walk-in closetSecond bedroomThird bedroom
- Flooring
- CarpetingVinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsMaster bath with shower only and single vanity
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingElectric and natural gas heatCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open floor plan with living/dining room combinationGround level / no stepsHigh-speed internet availableLaundry roomAll window coverings remain
- Laundry & utility
- Washer connectionDryer connection
Listing history 29 events
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2026-09-24days on market $184,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $184,999 Active 23 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $184,999 Active 22 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $184,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $184,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $184,999 Active 19 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $184,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $184,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $184,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $184,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $184,999 Active 14 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $184,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $184,999 Active 12 DOM
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2026-09-11statusdays on market $184,999 Active 11 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $184,999 New 5 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $184,999 New 4 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $184,999 New 3 DOM
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2026-08-31pricestatusdays on market $184,999 New 1 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,500 Price Change 56 DOM
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2026-06-10pricestatus $199,500 Price Change 52 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $205,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-04-18$205,000 New 845-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,705 · $309/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,705 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$3,705
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,604
- − Management
- −$1,604
- − HOA
- −$828
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$4,361
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $-214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home is in excellent condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of comfort and functionality, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Central ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817850
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,941
- Composite
- 18.67/100
- National rank
- #8887
- State rank
- #758 of 826 in TX
Livability — Converse
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #12250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bexar County · 2,336,851 people
- City population
- 63,067
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,067
- Household income
- $91,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.02%
- Current HPI
- 236.4923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Property tax history
+817.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,705 · +817.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…