302 161st St · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CORPORATE OWNED Single Family Home Sold AS-IS WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR RESTORATION AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". Proof of funds required for access and for offers to be considered. PLEASE NOTE: THE SELLER WILL PAY CURRENT AND ALL PRIOR TAX BUT 0% CREDIT FOR FUTURE BILLS. NO SURVEY. EXPERIENCED & QUALIFIED DEVELOPERS ONLY. NO wholesale or reselling before rehab is complete. Seller does not collect earnest money, but prefers accelerated closing dates. Property will be transferred via Quit Claim Deed and owners' policy will be provided to insure the transaction. Buyer respo
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1908
- Listed 71 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; Some photos are virtually staged
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: 2 owned parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 30; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished, partial basement; 3 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $75k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.01%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $12,458
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $56,507
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$312 /mo · $3,739/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $585 | -5% $559 | +0% $315 | +5% $294 | +10% $273 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $210 | -5% $263 | +0% $315 | +5% $368 | +10% $420 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $334 | base $315 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Wildwood Rd Unit 103 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5950 Hohman Ave Unit 416 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,095 | $1.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 237 Highland St Unit 401 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,020 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5945 Hyslop Pl Unit 204 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$75,000 Active
-
2026-04-08historical
-
2026-03-04Active
-
2026-03-04historical
-
2026-01-15status Active
-
2025-12-13status Pending
-
2025-11-06Active
-
2024-01-27historical
-
2024-01-26status Temporarily No Showings
-
2023-12-24historical
-
2023-11-01status Active
-
2023-10-31historical
-
2023-06-06status Active
-
2023-05-31historical
-
2023-03-24Active
-
1989-05-02soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,739 · $312/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,739 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$3,739
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,918
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$700
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+102.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-13 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-26 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-01 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-06 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2023): $3,739 · +49.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…