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302 161st St
B- Composite 68.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

302 161st St · Calumet City, IL 60409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 748 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1908 750 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

CORPORATE OWNED Single Family Home Sold AS-IS WITH A MOTIVATED SELLER. GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR RESTORATION AT THIS PRICE. VACANT AND EASY TO SHOW. PLEASE INSPECT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING AN OFFER SINCE WE ARE SELLING "AS-IS". Proof of funds required for access and for offers to be considered. PLEASE NOTE: THE SELLER WILL PAY CURRENT AND ALL PRIOR TAX BUT 0% CREDIT FOR FUTURE BILLS. NO SURVEY. EXPERIENCED & QUALIFIED DEVELOPERS ONLY. NO wholesale or reselling before rehab is complete. Seller does not collect earnest money, but prefers accelerated closing dates. Property will be transferred via Quit Claim Deed and owners' policy will be provided to insure the transaction. Buyer respo

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1908
  • Listed 71 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing; Some photos are virtually staged
  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 owned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 30; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished, partial basement; 3 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $75k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.01%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$12,458
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
3.69×
Total profit
$56,507
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,331 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,739/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $932
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $585 -5% $559 +0% $315 +5% $294 +10% $273
Rent -10% $210 -5% $263 +0% $315 +5% $368 +10% $420
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $334 base $315 +0.5pp $296 +1.0pp $276

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
230 Wildwood Rd Unit 103 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 25d 1 0.81mi
5950 Hohman Ave Unit 416 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 550 $1,095 $1.99 6d 1 0.86mi
237 Highland St Unit 401 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 500 $1,020 $2.04 25d 1 0.92mi
5945 Hyslop Pl Unit 204 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 25d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-04-08
    listed $75,000 Active
  15. 2026-04-08
    historical
  16. 2026-03-04
    listed Active
  17. 2026-03-04
    historical
  18. 2026-01-15
    status Active
  19. 2025-12-13
    status Pending
  20. 2025-11-06
    listed Active
  21. 2024-01-27
    historical
  22. 2024-01-26
    status Temporarily No Showings
  23. 2023-12-24
    historical
  24. 2023-11-01
    status Active
  25. 2023-10-31
    historical
  26. 2023-06-06
    status Active
  27. 2023-05-31
    historical
  28. 2023-03-24
    listed Active
  29. 1989-05-02
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,739 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,739 · $312/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,970
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$3,739
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,278
− Management
−$1,278
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$2,918
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$700
After-tax cash flow
$3,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-13 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-06 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-27 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-26 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-01 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-06 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1989-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,739 · +49.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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