1808 Bethlea Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
We all like options and this home is packed full of options! The move in ready main residence feature 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a spacious living room and a well designed kitchen. Out back, you will find a second home that could be rental property to offset the payments on your home, or it could be a guest house for friends and family to stay in. On the other hand, you could rent out both properties and maximize your ROI by getting 2 homes on one property in a prime location!
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential resale; Built in 1950
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding; Chain link fence; Corner lot; Guest house and outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level layout; Dining room and living room combined; No basement; Gas water heater; Public records list living area as 1,032
- Laundry & utility: Mud room for laundry/utility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 258 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.46%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,788
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 4.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1919 Bethlea Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $98 | 79 |
| 1731 Eveline Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-2%) | 14mo | $62,000 | $61 | 72 |
| 1555 Dexter Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+3%) | 15mo | $62,500 | $59 | 57 |
| 1710 Arlington Park | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,180 (+14%) | 14mo | $81,997 | $69 | 52 |
| 2018 Winston Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-3%) | 20mo | $70,100 | $70 | 46 |
| 1514 Dexter Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (+9%) | 6mo | $68,500 | $61 | 45 |
| 1513 Dexter Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-13%) | 14mo | $73,120 | $81 | 38 |
| 3281 Ridgeland Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+14%) | 13mo | $139,000 | $118 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $7,918
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $41,251
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 258
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $601/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $350 | +0% $325 | +5% $299 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $236 | -5% $281 | +0% $325 | +5% $369 | +10% $413 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $348 | base $325 | +0.5pp $301 | +1.0pp $278 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1835 Bethlea Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1782 Eveline Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3645 Mercer University Dr Macon, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $850 | $0.97 | 45d | 4 | 0.63mi |
| 728 Key St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4228 Mark Pl Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3034 Churchill St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $900 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2445 Lowe St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $890 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,060 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 424 Pansy Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1575 Winston Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1299 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $889 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,065 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4265 Hillary Pl Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $749 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4158 Log Cabin Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,375 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 4151 Log Cabin Dr Macon, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,434 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract 483-char remark
-
2026-05-14status Under Contract 483-char remark
-
2026-05-05$90,000 Active 483-char remark
-
2026-05-04$90,000 New 483-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $828 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$227/yr (+$19/mo · 37.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,432
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$601
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,075
- − Management
- −$1,075
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$617
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-14 Delisted — CGMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $90,000 CGMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $90,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+13.9%/yrLatest (2025): $601 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…