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180 An County Road 4251
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,000

180 An County Road 4251 · Palestine, TX 75803
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1998 2.41 ac lot $62/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice home on small acreage.

Key facts

  • 2.41 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1998
  • Construction: Composition roof; Construction materials listed as unknown
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first level (approx. 19 x 18); Bedroom on the second level (approx. 14 x 16); Bedroom on the third level (approx. 11 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (gas)
  • Interior features: Three total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Westwood ISD (town): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #659 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Westwood H S (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 438 students, 69% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.28%
Cash-on-cash
28.52%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,000
List price
$84,000
Delta
-62.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$22,003
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$65,046
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75803

Home prices YoY
-34.0%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,031/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $711
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 810-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $84,000 Active 810-char remark
  3. 2015-04-17
    soldstatus
  4. 2015-04-16
    soldstatus 32-char remark
    Show marketing remark (32 chars)

    Very nice home on small acreage.

  5. 2014-04-17
    soldstatus
  6. 2013-06-24
    listed $53,000 32-char remark
    Show marketing remark (32 chars)

    Very nice home on small acreage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,537 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$506/yr (+$42/mo · 49.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,020
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$1,031
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$5,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,367
After-tax cash flow
$5,341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westwood ISD
NCES district ID
4843290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,200
Composite
24.41/100
National rank
#7684
State rank
#659 of 826 in TX

Livability — Palestine

Score
66/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#12357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,531
Population (ZIP)
21,390

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,663 people
By 2030
57,373 · +1.3%
By 2040
58,960 · +4.1%
By 2050
59,073 · +4.3%
By 2075
53,737 · -5.2%
By 2100
42,516 · -25.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 17% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.92%
Current HPI
186.4885
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $84,000 HARMLS
  • 2015-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-04-16 Sold (MLS) PAOR
  • 2014-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-06-24 Listed $53,000 PAOR

Property tax history

+18.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,031 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…