🏷️ Likely Rental
404 2nd St · Troy, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
Key facts
- Solid brick duplex
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1848
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $940/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.3% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,166/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2698% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $89k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1848 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1848 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 89.48%
- DSCR
- 4.98
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,376
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -67.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 393 1st St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 1,848 (0%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $106 | 86 |
| 451 3rd St | 0.09mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,936 (+5%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $72 | 75 |
| 556 2nd St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,754 (-5%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $114 | 70 |
| 35 Jefferson St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,896 (+3%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $129 | 69 |
| 55 Tyler St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,640 (-11%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $101 | 61 |
| 1260 5th Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,892 (+2%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 86 Ida St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,600 (-13%) | 6mo | $122,500 | $77 | 54 |
| 17 7th St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,664 (-10%) | 4mo | $211,000 | $127 | 53 |
| 1291 3rd Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,964 (+6%) | 10mo | $309,000 | $157 | 45 |
| 25 13th St | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (+14%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $138 | 40 |
| 182 Hill St | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,610 (-13%) | 11mo | $148,000 | $92 | 39 |
| 741 Burden Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,584 (-14%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $110 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 92.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $111,250
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 95.5%
- Equity multiple
- 12.00×
- Total profit
- $277,198
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12180
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,166 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$665
- Net cashflow
- $1,879
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,166 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,583 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,583 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,166 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 1st St Troy, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 363 1st St Troy, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 11 Spring Ave Troy, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 150 2nd St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2442 | $3,000 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1520 6th Ave Troy, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1209 | $1,349 | $1.12 | 23d | 8 | 0.91mi |
| 51 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $725 | $0.36 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 17 State St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1810 | $3,635 | $2.01 | 14d | 7 | 1.00mi |
| 53 13th St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 41 Christie St Troy, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $700 | $0.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 79 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 79 14th St Unit 1 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 88 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 97 14th St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $650 | $0.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 97 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $625 | $0.39 | 19d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1708 Highland Ave Unit 3 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1485 | $595 | $0.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 100 Vandenburgh Pl Troy, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1124 | $2,182 | $1.94 | 14d | 9 | 1.18mi |
| 1820 Highland Ave Unit 2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $725 | $0.43 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 904 Peoples Ave Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $645 | $0.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 623-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 192 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 191 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-05-11status Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2026-05-11price $90,000 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2026-04-01historical 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2026-03-18price $100,000 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2026-01-06status Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2026-01-02historical 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2025-12-18price $125,000 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
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2025-11-21price $145,000 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
-
2025-10-30price $165,000 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
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2025-10-03$179,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Attention Investors & Rehabbers! Solid duplex located on a desirable street in Troy with excellent upside potential. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a strong foundation for a full renovation or value-add project. Once renovated, this property has the potential to generate conservative gross rents of $3,000+ per month. This is a great opportunity to bring a classic Troy multifamily back to life in a high-demand rental area. Serious inquiries only — bring your vision and unlock this property's full potential!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,992
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,039
- − Management
- −$3,039
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $22,454
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,389
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troy City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628950
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,143
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4318
- State rank
- #467 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- County
- Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
- City population
- 53,479
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,479
- Household income
- $75,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2698.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.53%
- Current HPI
- 285.0762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-49.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $90,000 Global MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $100,000 Global MLS
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-01-02 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $125,000 Global MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $145,000 Global MLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $165,000 Global MLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $179,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+24.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,352 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…