2038 Lee Road 137 Lot 154 · Auburn, AL 36832

$45,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market

Built 1990 Est $50k · 10% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +12.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover the perfect blend of privacy, comfort, and lakeside relaxation in this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom retreat. Nestled on a very private lot, this home offers the peaceful escape so many buyers are searching for. Step inside to find a bright, light-filled interior with a spacious den ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Nearly all furniture remains (excluding beds and the den TV), making this an easy move-in opportunity. The heart of the home extends outdoors onto a beautiful, expansive deck — the ultimate gathering space for friends and family. Enjoy morning coffee, evening dinners, or weekend get-togethers surrounded by nature. The hot tub adds a luxurious touch, perfect for

Key facts

• Private lot
• Lakefront setting
• Hot tub

Tags

• PRIVATE LOT
• SPACIOUS DEN
• EXPANSIVE DECK
• HOT TUB
• LAKEFRONT SETTING
• PEACEFUL WATER VIEWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $988 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#6 in AL, #1,842 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,645/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 2503% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.65% ✓
• Cap rate: 32.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 94.12%
• DSCR: 5.19
• GRM: 2.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $50,000
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
500 Webster Rdg #356	0.25mi	2/2.0	1,120 (+12%)	8mo	$56,000	$50	62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 98.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.85×
• Total profit: $61,103
• Equity at exit: $6,710

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 13.55×
• Total profit: $158,141
• Equity at exit: $3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36832

• Home prices YoY: -23.3%
• Rents YoY: 6.2%
• Active inventory: 359
• Price-to-rent: 2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,645 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$56 /mo · $675/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$345
• Net cashflow: $988

Break-even live

Break-even rent $394

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,019	-5% $1,004	+0% $988	+5% $973	+10% $957
Rent	-10% $858	-5% $923	+0% $988	+5% $1,053	+10% $1,118
Rate	-1.0pp $1,011	-0.5pp $1,000	base $988	+0.5pp $977	+1.0pp $965

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1233 Tigers Tail Trl Auburn, AL	2.0	2.5	1400	$2,200	$1.57	14d	1	0.40mi
1761 Wire Rd Auburn, AL	2.0	2.5	1117	$1,400	$1.25	21d	1	0.50mi
1761 Wire Rd Auburn, AL	2.0	2.5	1084	$1,375	$1.27	44d	2	0.50mi
1276 Tigers Tail Trl Auburn, AL	2.0	2.5	1400	$2,500	$1.79	14d	1	0.52mi
1007 Stonegate Dr Auburn, AL	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,900	$1.32	44d	1	0.63mi
387 Webster Rd Unit 47 Auburn, AL	2.0	2.0	952	$975	$1.02	14d	1	0.93mi
387 Webster Rd Unit 132 Auburn, AL	2.0	2.0	980	$975	$0.99	44d	1	0.93mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-18
   remarks 693-char remark
2. 2026-06-18
   listed $45,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,735
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$675
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,579
• − Management: −$1,579
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $11,848
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,843
• After-tax cash flow: $9,015/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lee County
• NCES district ID: 0102070
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -27.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $47,786
• Composite: 30.04/100
• National rank: #6355
• State rank: #40 of 129 in AL

Livability — Auburn

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #6
• US rank: #1842

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lee County · 144,175 people
• City population: 80,251
• Metro: Auburn-Opelika, AL
• Population (ZIP): 30,959
• Household income: $42,717
• Rent vs Own: 49.4% rent · 50.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 2503.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 196,440 people
• By 2030: 217,417 · +10.7%
• By 2040: 259,467 · +32.1%
• By 2050: 301,557 · +53.5%
• By 2075: 402,186 · +104.7%
• By 2100: 474,503 · +141.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · South Korea, Canada, China
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -75.65%
• Current HPI: 248.9059
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.18%
• Metro: Auburn-Opelika, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B