154 Gypsy Palace Ln · Daytona Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful Furnished Camellia Cottage in Latitude Margaritaville Welcome to this charming Camellia Cottage located in the highly desirable Latitude Margaritaville Daytona Beach 55+ community. This thoughtfully designed home combines cottage-style charm with modern elegance, offering comfort, function, and style. ✨ Property Highlights 2 Bedrooms / 2 Bathrooms - Perfectly sized for easy living, entertaining, or hosting guests. Beautiful Built-Ins - Custom built-ins add both storage and character, blending seamlessly with the home's open design. Ceiling Beams - Stunning exposed beams create warmth and architectural detail, giving the home a unique and upscale feel. Open Concept Layout - A
Key facts
- Beautiful built-ins
- Open concept layout
- Outdoor living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a senior community
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $3 monthly fee; Community amenities include: pool, heated spa, clubhouse, fitness center, sauna, tennis courts, basketball court, shuffleboard, barbecue areas, dog park, jogging path, park, gated access, maintenance of grounds, beach access, water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener; Additional assigned parking; Guest parking; On-street parking
- Security: Gated community (association amenity); Community security (association amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Electricity and natural gas available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Property is attached
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Slab foundation; Metal and shingle roof; Built with permanent block foundation elements
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Patio; Screened porch; Sprinklers in front; Zero lot line; Paved private road access (private maintained road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Ice maker; Electric range and oven; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Kitchen island; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (bedroom count not explicitly provided)
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Pantry; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Tankless and gas water heaters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-319 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $319k (15.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (23.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $288k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Champion Elementary School (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,437 of 2,144 statewide, top 68%, 584 students, 70% FRL); Campbell Middle School (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #479 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 855 students, 80% FRL); Mainland High School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,855 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 51% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.64%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.99% appreciation · 5.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-57,648
- Equity at exit
- $73,018
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-30,340
- Equity at exit
- $62,579
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32124
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,876 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$465 /mo · $5,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$3
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$604
- Net cashflow
- $-319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-106 | -5% $-213 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-425 | +10% $-531 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-546 | -5% $-432 | +0% $-319 | +5% $-205 | +10% $-91 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-130 | -0.5pp $-223 | base $-319 | +0.5pp $-416 | +1.0pp $-515 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 Hang Loose Way Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $3,449 | $2.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 261 Hang Loose Way Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,850 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1016 Sea Shell Ct Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 357 Hang Loose Way Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 109 Salt Shaker St Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $2,900 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1131 Fins Up Ct Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 250 Latitude Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $3,000 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 100 Integra TC Blvd Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $2,184 | $2.32 | 13d | 28 | 0.78mi |
| 402 Tiki Ter Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $2,800 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 375 Latitude Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $3,000 | $2.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 819 Coral Reef Way Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,000 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 513 High Tide Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 402 Parrot Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $2,800 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 579 High Tide Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 487 Margaritaville Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,900 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 255 Ocean Hammock Loop Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 208 Ocean Hammock Loop Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,900 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 349 High Tide Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $3,200 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 903 Coral Reef Way Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $3,250 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1850 N Williamson Blvd Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,925 | $2.31 | 13d | 18 | 1.24mi |
| 100 Sands Parc Blvd Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,736 | $1.79 | 13d | 11 | 1.29mi |
| 1799 N Williamson Blvd Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $2,010 | $1.88 | 13d | 9 | 1.30mi |
| 1310 Tomoka Town Center Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,703 | $1.70 | 13d | 24 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $3 · $36/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $375,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $375,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $375,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $375,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $375,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$375,000 Active 230 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,575 · $465/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,575 · $465/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$5,575
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,761
- − Management
- −$2,761
- − HOA
- −$36
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$10,415
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,500
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Daytona Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daytona Beach, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- City population
- 67,539
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,409
- Household income
- $92,616
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 54.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Mexico, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.99%
- Current HPI
- 311.7456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.46%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Relisted — Daytona MLS
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $375,000 Daytona MLS
- 2026-04-18 Listing Removed — Daytona MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $370,000 Daytona MLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $389,000 Daytona MLS
Property tax history
+1067.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,575 · +804.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…