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4221 Rogers St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,500

4221 Rogers St · North Little Rock, AR 72117
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 455 Days on market
Built 1930 4,356 sqft lot $65/sqft · 36% below area Est $93k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in North Little Rock! Tenant on a 12 month lease for $725. Fully fenced back yard. Please do not disturb tenant, and please provide pre-approval or proof of funds before showing! Current lease ends November.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 455 days

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $59,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$93,013) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($867 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.1% in North Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 455 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 455 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.73%
Cash-on-cash
22.97%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,013
List price
$59,500
Delta
-36.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4204 Coral St 0.43mi 2/1.0 924 (+1%) 4mo $24,000 $26 75
204 Water St 0.56mi 2/1.0 936 (+2%) 10mo $31,000 $33 62
908 Greenlea Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-0%) 4mo $84,745 $93 56
809 Healy St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+2%) 8mo $60,000 $64 56
626 Mills St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 982 (+7%) 2mo $89,900 $92 54
702 Hyacinth St 0.53mi 2/1.0 844 (-8%) 10mo $100,000 $118 54
713 Hyacinth St 0.54mi 2/1.0 816 (-11%) 8mo $57,000 $70 50
804 Water St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+10%) 7mo $84,000 $83 49
4705 Goodwin Cir 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,002 (+9%) 7mo $120,000 $120 47
418 Mills St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 996 (+9%) 9mo $45,000 $45 45
615 Mills 0.56mi 2/1.0 794 (-13%) 10mo $27,000 $34 44
309 Parkdale 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+14%) 10mo $124,000 $119 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$10,657
Equity at exit
$8,872
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$35,377
Equity at exit
$5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72117

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$867 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $353/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $464
Max offer price $59,500
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
303 Short St Unit EV North Little Rock, AR 1.0 1.0 600 $560 $0.93 23d 1 0.15mi
515 Middle St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 894 $850 $0.95 14d 1 0.18mi
4701 Atkins St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 892 $925 $1.04 19d 1 0.25mi
607 Prothro St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 779 $825 $1.06 43d 1 0.28mi
306 Boggs St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 23d 1 0.31mi
4912 School St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1056 $950 $0.90 23d 1 0.49mi
5204 Alpha St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 753 $850 $1.13 43d 1 0.54mi
717 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 43d 1 0.69mi
817 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,195 $1.31 23d 1 0.70mi
908 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 21d 1 0.75mi
2107 Muldrow Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 900 $1,015 $1.13 43d 1 0.96mi
211 Crockett St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 43d 1 1.00mi
2908 E 2nd St North Little Rock, AR 1.0 1.0 741 $550 $0.74 23d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,500 Active 455 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,500 Active 454 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,500 Active 453 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,500 Active 452 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,500 Active 450 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,500 Active 449 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,500 Active 447 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,500 Active 446 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,500 Active 445 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,500 Active 444 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,500 Active 441 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,500 Active 440 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,500 Active 439 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,500 Active 438 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,500 Active 437 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,500 Active 436 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    price $59,500 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in North Little Rock! Tenant on a 12 month lease for $725. Fully fenced back yard. Please do not disturb tenant, and please provide pre-approval or proof of funds before showing! Current lease ends November.

  18. 2026-01-14
    price $62,000 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in North Little Rock! Tenant on a 12 month lease for $725. Fully fenced back yard. Please do not disturb tenant, and please provide pre-approval or proof of funds before showing! Current lease ends November.

  19. 2025-03-18
    listed $63,000 New Listing 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in North Little Rock! Tenant on a 12 month lease for $725. Fully fenced back yard. Please do not disturb tenant, and please provide pre-approval or proof of funds before showing! Current lease ends November.

  20. 2024-11-28
    historical $695
  21. 2024-10-25
    price $695
  22. 2024-09-20
    listed $725
  23. 2022-12-07
    soldstatus $45,000 Sold 72-char remark
    Show marketing remark (72 chars)

    Great property in North Little Rock to add to your investment portfolio!

  24. 2022-11-04
    status Under Contract 72-char remark
    Show marketing remark (72 chars)

    Great property in North Little Rock to add to your investment portfolio!

  25. 2022-10-04
    listed $60,000 New Listing 72-char remark
    Show marketing remark (72 chars)

    Great property in North Little Rock to add to your investment portfolio!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$353 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$381 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,408
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$353
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$833
− Management
−$833
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable income
$3,028
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$727
After-tax cash flow
$3,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
N. Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0510680
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$38,325
Composite
19.69/100
National rank
#8728
State rank
#191 of 238 in AR

Livability — North Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#5452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Little Rock, AR
City population
55,470
Population (ZIP)
14,339

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.78%
Current HPI
123.3727
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $59,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $62,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $63,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $695 CARMLS
  • 2024-10-25 Price Changed $695 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Listed for Rent $725 CARMLS
  • 2022-12-07 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-11-04 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $60,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $353 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…