CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4221 Rogers St
B Composite 74.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,500

4221 Rogers St · North Little Rock, AR 72117
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 506 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 4,356 sqft lot $65/sqft · 37% below area Est $94k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in North Little Rock! Tenant on a 12 month lease for $725. Fully fenced back yard. Please do not disturb tenant, and please provide pre-approval or proof of funds before showing! Current lease ends November.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 505 days

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($874 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 5.2% in North Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
  • N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Glenview Elementary School (math 12% / reading 2%, grade F, #445 of 454 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 100% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #155 of 201 statewide, top 77%, 1,115 students, 100% FRL); North Little Rock High School (math 12% / reading 26%, grade F, #248 of 292 statewide, top 86%, 1,949 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 506 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 506 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.34%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,784
List price
$59,500
Delta
-36.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4204 Coral St 0.43mi 2/1.0 924 (+1%) 6mo $24,000 $26 74
908 Greenlea Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-0%) 6mo $84,745 $93 55
809 Healy St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+2%) 10mo $60,000 $64 54
626 Mills St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 982 (+7%) 3mo $89,900 $92 53
99 Water St 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,032 (+13%) 0mo $54,500 $53 51
38 Goodwin Cir 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,006 (+10%) 1mo $110,000 $109 51
713 Hyacinth St 0.54mi 2/1.0 816 (-11%) 10mo $57,000 $70 48
804 Water St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+10%) 9mo $84,000 $83 48
4705 Goodwin Cir 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,002 (+9%) 8mo $120,000 $120 46
418 Mills St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 996 (+9%) 10mo $45,000 $45 44
615 Mills 0.56mi 2/1.0 794 (-13%) 11mo $27,000 $34 42
309 Parkdale 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+14%) 12mo $124,000 $119 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$10,983
Equity at exit
$8,872
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$36,080
Equity at exit
$5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
10 active · 9 under contract
Months of supply
4.3 mo (23%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$109,000 ($99/sqft)
Median days on market
76 d
This list price
20% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+3.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 72117

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$874 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $353/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $464
Max offer price $59,500
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $341 +0% $324 +5% $307 +10% $290
Rent -10% $255 -5% $290 +0% $324 +5% $359 +10% $393
Rate -1.0pp $354 -0.5pp $339 base $324 +0.5pp $309 +1.0pp $293

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
303 Short St Unit EV North Little Rock, AR 1.0 1.0 600 $560 $0.93 72d 1 0.15mi
515 Middle St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 894 $850 $0.95 63d 1 0.18mi
512 Middle St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 924 $1,150 $1.24 15d 1 0.21mi
4515 Haywood St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 752 $795 $1.06 15d 1 0.22mi
4701 Atkins St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 892 $925 $1.04 68d 1 0.25mi
607 Prothro St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 779 $800 $1.03 15d 1 0.28mi
306 Boggs St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 72d 1 0.31mi
4603 School St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 750 $650 $0.87 15d 1 0.34mi
4208 Coral St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 662 $895 $1.35 15d 1 0.40mi
538 Water St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,075 $0.97 15d 1 0.41mi
4912 School St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1056 $900 $0.85 15d 1 0.48mi
5204 Alpha St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 753 $850 $1.13 93d 1 0.54mi
717 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,095 $1.20 93d 1 0.69mi
817 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,195 $1.31 15d 1 0.70mi
908 Greenlea Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 70d 1 0.75mi
2107 Muldrow Dr North Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 15d 1 0.96mi
211 Crockett St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 93d 1 1.00mi
2908 E 2nd St North Little Rock, AR 1.0 1.0 741 $550 $0.74 72d 1 1.19mi
2906 E 2nd St North Little Rock, AR 1.0 1.0 750 $550 $0.73 15d 1 1.19mi
201 S Palm St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1029 $650 $0.63 15d 1 1.42mi
314 N Laurel St North Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 672 $495 $0.74 15d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $59,500 Active 506 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $59,500 Active 505 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $59,500 Active 504 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $59,500 Active 503 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $59,500 Active 502 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $59,500 Active 501 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $59,500 Active 498 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $59,500 Active 497 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $59,500 Active 496 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $59,500 Active 494 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $59,500 Active 492 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $59,500 Active 491 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $59,500 Active 490 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $59,500 Active 489 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $59,500 Active 488 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $59,500 Active 485 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $59,500 Active 483 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $59,500 Active 482 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $59,500 Active 481 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $59,500 Active 480 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $59,500 Active 479 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $59,500 Active 478 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $59,500 Active 477 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $59,500 Active 476 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $59,500 Active 474 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $59,500 Active 473 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $59,500 Active 472 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $59,500 Active 471 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $59,500 Active 470 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $59,500 Active 469 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $59,500 Active 468 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $59,500 Active 467 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $59,500 Active 466 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $59,500 Active 465 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $59,500 Active 464 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $59,500 Active 463 DOM
  37. 2026-06-25
    days on market $59,500 Active 461 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $59,500 Active 459 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,500 Active 458 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,500 Active 455 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,500 Active 454 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,500 Active 453 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,500 Active 452 DOM
  44. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,500 Active 450 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,500 Active 449 DOM
  46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,500 Active 447 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,500 Active 446 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,500 Active 445 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,500 Active 444 DOM
  50. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,500 Active 441 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$353 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$381 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,486
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$353
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$839
− Management
−$839
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable income
$3,093
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$742
After-tax cash flow
$3,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $22,900–$41,220 screening

This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the roof, exterior siding, and interior walls.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good Flooring laminate

Deferred maintenance Est. $2,500–$10,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
  • Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof shingles — visible wear
  • Moderate exterior siding — some discoloration
  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace carpet with hardwood — improves both resale and rental value
  • Both repair and re-shingle roof — extends life and improves curb appeal

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 17/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Glenview Elementary School F AR #445/454 Nat'l #40,092/41,679 Middle North Little Rock Middle School 6th Grade Campus F AR #166/201 Nat'l #10,474/14,009 High North Little Rock High School F AR #248/292 Nat'l #14,670/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
N. Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0510680
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$38,325
Composite
19.69/100
National rank
#8728
State rank
#191 of 238 in AR
B Composite livability gradescore 73/100

Livability — North Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#5452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski · 415,378 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,339
Household income
$41,670
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-0.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $59,500 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $62,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $63,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $695 CARMLS
  • 2024-10-25 Price Changed $695 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-20 Listed for Rent $725 CARMLS
  • 2022-12-07 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-11-04 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-10-04 Listed $60,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $353 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…