3980 Mediterranea Cir #522 · South Gate Ridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$198,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2/2 condo in a secure gated community, offering comfort, convenience, and modern living. This spacious top floor unit features an open-concept layout with abundant natural light, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a comfortable living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bedrooms are generously sized with excellent closet space. Enjoy added conveniences such as in-unit laundry, dedicated parking, and access to community amenities including a sparkling pool and secure entry. All units just had new roofs put on this month. Located in a desirable area close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and major highways, this condo is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Just 5.5 miles to Siesta Beach and village. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this condo offers low-maintenance living without sacrificing style or comfort. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a fantastic condo in a sought-after location.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Community amenities
- In-unit laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (9.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#394 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gulf Gate Elementary School (math 60% / reading 65%, grade B, #601 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 655 students, 54% FRL); Sarasota Middle School (math 82% / reading 78%, grade A+, #21 of 571 statewide, top 4%, 1,278 students, 26% FRL); Riverview High School (math 61% / reading 65%, grade B-, #89 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,597 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.24%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-45,137
- Equity at exit
- $29,657
- IRR
- -41.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.29×
- Total profit
- $-72,078
- Equity at exit
- $17,197
Cash invested: $55,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34233
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,269 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,043
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$567
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $-104
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9 | -5% $-48 | +0% $-104 | +5% $-160 | +10% $-216 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-283 | -5% $-193 | +0% $-104 | +5% $-14 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-4 | -0.5pp $-53 | base $-104 | +0.5pp $-155 | +1.0pp $-208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,725
- Closing costs
- $5,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $567 · $6,804/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $198,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $198,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $198,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $198,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $198,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $198,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $198,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $198,900 1009-char remark
Show marketing remark (1009 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2/2 condo in a secure gated community, offering comfort, convenience, and modern living. This spacious top floor unit features an open-concept layout with abundant natural light, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a comfortable living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bedrooms are generously sized with excellent closet space. Enjoy added conveniences such as in-unit laundry, dedicated parking, and access to community amenities including a sparkling pool and secure entry. All units just had new roofs put on this month. Located in a desirable area close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and major highways, this condo is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Just 5.5 miles to Siesta Beach and village. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this condo offers low-maintenance living without sacrificing style or comfort. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a fantastic condo in a sought-after location.
-
2026-04-24price $210,000 1009-char remark
Show marketing remark (1009 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2/2 condo in a secure gated community, offering comfort, convenience, and modern living. This spacious top floor unit features an open-concept layout with abundant natural light, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a comfortable living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bedrooms are generously sized with excellent closet space. Enjoy added conveniences such as in-unit laundry, dedicated parking, and access to community amenities including a sparkling pool and secure entry. All units just had new roofs put on this month. Located in a desirable area close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and major highways, this condo is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Just 5.5 miles to Siesta Beach and village. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this condo offers low-maintenance living without sacrificing style or comfort. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a fantastic condo in a sought-after location.
-
2026-03-20price $214,900 1009-char remark
Show marketing remark (1009 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2/2 condo in a secure gated community, offering comfort, convenience, and modern living. This spacious top floor unit features an open-concept layout with abundant natural light, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a comfortable living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bedrooms are generously sized with excellent closet space. Enjoy added conveniences such as in-unit laundry, dedicated parking, and access to community amenities including a sparkling pool and secure entry. All units just had new roofs put on this month. Located in a desirable area close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and major highways, this condo is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Just 5.5 miles to Siesta Beach and village. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this condo offers low-maintenance living without sacrificing style or comfort. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a fantastic condo in a sought-after location.
-
2026-01-20$218,500 Active 1009-char remark
Show marketing remark (1009 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2/2 condo in a secure gated community, offering comfort, convenience, and modern living. This spacious top floor unit features an open-concept layout with abundant natural light, a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinetry, and a comfortable living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The bedrooms are generously sized with excellent closet space. Enjoy added conveniences such as in-unit laundry, dedicated parking, and access to community amenities including a sparkling pool and secure entry. All units just had new roofs put on this month. Located in a desirable area close to shopping, dining, public transportation, and major highways, this condo is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Just 5.5 miles to Siesta Beach and village. Move-in ready and thoughtfully designed, this condo offers low-maintenance living without sacrificing style or comfort. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a fantastic condo in a sought-after location.
-
2026-01-07historical
-
2025-11-13price $215,000
-
2025-11-05price $225,000
-
2025-09-18$230,000 Active
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2025-04-18historical
-
2025-04-11price $225,000
-
2025-03-19price $229,900
-
2025-02-25price $235,000
-
2025-01-21price $240,000
-
2025-01-18$254,900 Active
-
2024-05-02historical $3,400
-
2023-12-02price $3,400
-
2023-12-01$3,200
-
2023-04-18soldstatus $278,500
-
2023-04-14soldstatus $278,500 Closed
-
2023-03-25status Pending
-
2023-03-17price $288,000
-
2023-02-27price $289,000
-
2023-02-07$300,000 Active
-
2017-02-23soldstatus $142,000
-
2017-02-22soldstatus $142,000 Sold
-
2017-01-18status Pending
-
2016-11-01status Active
-
2016-10-30historical
-
2016-10-24price $155,000
-
2016-10-14price $156,000
-
2016-10-05price $156,900
-
2016-09-12price $157,900
-
2016-09-06price $158,900
-
2016-07-27price $159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,445 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,445 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,234
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,141
- − Property taxes
- −$2,445
- − Insurance
- −$994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,179
- − Management
- −$2,179
- − HOA
- −$6,804
- − Depreciation
- −$5,786
- Taxable loss
- −$4,295
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,031
- After-tax cash flow
- $-215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Gate Ridge
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #394
- US rank
- #6987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Gate Ridge, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,123
- Household income
- $75,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 653.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -281.79%
- Current HPI
- 258.6836
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.35%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-59.7% since first listed49 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $198,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $214,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Listed $218,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $240,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-18 Listed $254,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-02 Rental Removed $3,400 STELLARMLS
- 2023-12-02 Price Changed $3,400 STELLARMLS
- 2023-12-01 Listed for Rent $3,200 STELLARMLS
- 2023-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $278,500 Public Records
- 2023-04-14 Sold (MLS) $278,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-17 Price Changed $288,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-27 Price Changed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-07 Listed $300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-22 Sold (MLS) $142,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-24 Price Changed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-14 Price Changed $156,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-05 Price Changed $156,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-12 Price Changed $157,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-06 Price Changed $158,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-27 Price Changed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-07 Listed $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-25 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-12-28 Listed $169,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-02 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-16 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-15 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-15 Listed $13,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-06 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-16 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-15 Listed $169,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $493,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,445 · -18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…