🏷️ Likely Rental
1211 Thurman St · Camden, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
Key facts
- Built 1908
- Listed 18 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $90k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.86%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,815
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1251 Atlantic Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,162 (-1%) | 14mo | $235,000 | $202 | 75 |
| 1443 Crestmont Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 21mo | $178,000 | $155 | 66 |
| 1215 Decatur St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+11%) | 17mo | $170,000 | $131 | 54 |
| 117 Cooper Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+15%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $134 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $38,723
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 42.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $102,330
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08104
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,770 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $619/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $837
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $888 | -5% $863 | +0% $837 | +5% $812 | +10% $786 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $697 | -5% $767 | +0% $837 | +5% $907 | +10% $977 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $882 | -0.5pp $860 | base $837 | +0.5pp $814 | +1.0pp $790 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1502 S 9th St Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,475 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1364 Kaighn Ave Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,485 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1353 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,875 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1509 Park Blvd Camden, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 141 Cooper Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 145 Cooper Ave Unit 1N Woodlynne, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 457 Mechanic St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 708 Royden St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,595 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1759 S 4th St Unit B Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 727 Berkley St Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,660 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 301 Champion Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $1,770 | $2.68 | 5d | 3 | 1.19mi |
| 609 Henry St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 225 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $3,372 | $2.78 | 2d | 6 | 1.20mi |
| 132 E Franklin Ave Unit A Collingswood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 440 Henry St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2829 Idaho Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2892 N Constitution Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1220 Grant Ave Unit 2 Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 430 Richey Ave Unit 1A Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $2,100 | $2.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1034 Collings Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-27$90,000 Active
-
2022-07-18soldstatus $58,900
-
2022-06-15soldstatus $58,900 Closed 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2022-05-10status Pending 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2022-05-02status Active 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2022-04-30historical 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2022-04-19status Active 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2021-12-01status Pending 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2021-11-27historical Active Under Contract 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2021-11-07$65,900 Active 259-char remark
Show marketing remark (259 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL TENANT OCCUPIED ON MONTH TO MONTH LEASE STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS BUNDLE OF 5 PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009476 NJCD2009472 NJCD2009470 NJCD2009464
-
2011-04-25historical
-
2010-10-25$55,000
-
2008-02-18soldstatus $32,500
-
2008-02-14historical
-
2007-11-15$32,500
-
2005-10-24soldstatus $1
-
2005-04-20historical
-
2004-10-20$54,900
-
2002-03-19soldstatus $44,000
-
2001-12-10soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $619 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$811/yr (+$68/mo · 130.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$619
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,699
- − Management
- −$1,699
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $9,112
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,187
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402640
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,845
- Composite
- 6.85/100
- National rank
- #9981
- State rank
- #472 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #7721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, NJ
- City population
- 20,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,508
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 9% White 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 29% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.43%
- Current HPI
- 209.3596
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $58,900 Public Records
- 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $58,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-19 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-12-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-27 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-07 Listed $65,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-10-25 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-02-18 Sold (MLS) $32,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-02-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-11-15 Listed $32,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $1 Public Records
- 2005-04-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-10-20 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $619 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…