CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
603 DR J A Wiltshire Ave W
D Composite 40.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$101,900

603 DR J A Wiltshire Ave W · Lake Wales, FL 33853
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 179 Days on market
Built 1958 7,501 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Quaint 2 bedroom/1 bath home is ready for a new owner. Roof is 2022, freshly painted and has newer carpet and luxury vinyl plank flooring. Convenient to highways 60 and 27. Enjoy an afternoon at one of several state parks or Bok Tower Gardens.

Key facts

  • State parks
  • Bok tower gardens
  • Newer carpet

Tags

NEWER CARPETLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGCONVENIENT TO HIGHWAYSSTATE PARKSBOK TOWER GARDENS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type listed as residential, single family; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No HOA indicated

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces north; Residential zoning (R-1C)
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a lot of about 0.17 acres
  • Exterior features: Private mailbox; Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 150

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Window treatments; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($17/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Spook Hill Elementary School (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 584 students, 67% FRL); Mclaughlin Academy of Excellence (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #437 of 571 statewide, top 77%, 542 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $705 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,097 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.06%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-16,420
Equity at exit
$15,194
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-14,174
Equity at exit
$8,810

Cash invested: $28,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33853

Home prices YoY
-9.2%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$871 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$534
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,318/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $869
Max offer price $101,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $59 -5% $30 +0% $1 +5% $-27 +10% $-56
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $-33 +0% $1 +5% $36 +10% $70
Rate -1.0pp $53 -0.5pp $27 base $1 +0.5pp $-25 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,475
Closing costs
$3,057
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
622 Booker Ave Unit B Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 640 $895 $1.40 25d 1 0.13mi
522 Washington Ave Unit 1 Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 612 $1,200 $1.96 25d 1 0.25mi
131 B St Unit 3 Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 425 $600 $1.41 25d 1 0.28mi
318 Pearl St Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 25d 1 0.30mi
115 Washington Ave Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $600 $1.00 25d 1 0.30mi
315 D St Unit 2 Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $900 $1.44 20d 1 0.31mi
238 C St Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 25d 1 0.32mi
242 C St Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $600 $1.00 25d 1 0.32mi
324 Pearl St Unit 2 Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 500 $795 $1.59 25d 1 0.32mi
104 W Stuart Ave Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 5d 1 0.59mi
244 E Park Ave Unit 203 Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 614 $1,400 $2.28 25d 1 0.75mi
157 E Northside Dr #1 Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 624 $1,000 $1.60 25d 1 0.88mi
335 E Central Ave Lake Wales, FL 2.0 1.0 450 $995 $2.21 15d 1 0.95mi
414 1/2 S Miami St Unit A Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 544 $700 $1.29 25d 1 1.01mi
414 1/2 S Miami St Unit B Lake Wales, FL 1.0 1.0 544 $650 $1.19 25d 1 1.01mi
711 Springer Dr Lake Wales, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 848 $1,400 $1.65 5d 2 1.21mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    pricedays on market $101,900 Active 179 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $102,900 Active 176 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $102,900 Active 175 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $102,900 Active 174 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $102,900 Active 173 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $102,900 Active 171 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $103,900 Active 168 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $103,900 Active 167 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $103,900 Active 166 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $103,900 Active 165 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $103,900 Active 162 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,900 Active 160 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,900 Active 159 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,900 Active 158 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    price $105,900
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $106,900
  17. 2026-05-07
    price $107,900
  18. 2026-05-01
    price $108,900
  19. 2026-04-27
    price $109,900
  20. 2026-04-16
    price $111,900
  21. 2026-04-10
    price $112,900
  22. 2026-04-01
    price $113,900
  23. 2026-03-26
    price $114,900
  24. 2026-03-19
    price $115,900
  25. 2026-03-12
    price $116,900
  26. 2026-03-04
    status Active
  27. 2026-03-03
    status Pending
  28. 2026-02-27
    price $117,900
  29. 2026-02-20
    price $118,900
  30. 2026-02-13
    price $119,900
  31. 2026-02-05
    price $121,900
  32. 2026-02-02
    price $122,900
  33. 2026-01-22
    price $123,900
  34. 2025-12-23
    listed $125,000 Active
  35. 2024-10-02
    historical $1,150
  36. 2024-08-29
    listed $1,150
  37. 2017-03-01
    soldstatus $455,600
  38. 1983-05-01
    soldstatus $5,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,318 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,318 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,452
− Mortgage interest
−$5,708
− Property taxes
−$1,318
− Insurance
−$510
− Repairs & maintenance
−$836
− Management
−$836
− Depreciation
−$2,964
Taxable loss
−$1,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$413
After-tax cash flow
$430/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Wales

Score
68/100
State rank
#535
US rank
#10036

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Wales, FL
City population
30,351
Population (ZIP)
12,385

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 19% Two or more races 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 18% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.98%
Current HPI
333.8292
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1725.9% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $105,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $106,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $107,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $108,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $111,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $112,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $113,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $115,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $116,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $117,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $118,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $121,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $122,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $123,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Rental Removed $1,150 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-08-29 Listed for Rent $1,150 STELLARMLS
  • 2017-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $455,600 Public Records
  • 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,318 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…