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510 Tafel St
B+ Composite 79.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,900

510 Tafel St · Cincinnati, OH 45225
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,636 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1882 2,526 sqft lot Est $255k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PC5566 2-family estate sale! Just blocks from UC! Both apts move-in condition! 1st fl could use some paint/exterior in great condition! New replacement windows/roof!

Key facts

  • 2,526 sq ft lot
  • Built 1882
  • Listed 69 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Clifton; Directions available: Central Parkway to E Marshall to McMicken to Tafel
  • Financial info: One 1-bedroom unit (market rent listed at $750); One 2-bedroom unit (market rent listed at $1,000)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas at street
  • Home design: Duplex; Two levels
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof; Built as multi-unit with two total units (one 1-bed, one 2-bed)
  • Exterior features: Storm windows; Small lot (approximately 0.058 acres)

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Separate furnace for units; Separate gas and electric utilities
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Dummy fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,110/mo this rent would consume 124% of the median local household income ($20k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $170k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.42%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$255,216
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2735 Wagner St 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-8%) 5mo $285,000 $190 74
2432 Halstead St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,585 (-3%) 6mo $72,500 $46 69
2528 Valley View Ct 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-14%) 5mo $260,000 $186 64
420 Warner St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,548 (-5%) 3mo $255,000 $165 63
2953 Sidney Ave 0.58mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,656 (+1%) 1mo $235,000 $142 62
1050 Marshall Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+8%) 4mo $245,000 $138 58
607 Foulke St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,393 (-15%) 3mo $342,000 $246 53
305 Klotter Ave 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+6%) 2mo $349,000 $202 52
725 Riddle Rd 0.44mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,466 (-10%) 6mo $187,000 $128 52
318 W Mcmicken Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,504 (-8%) 5mo $57,500 $38 48
461 Fairview Pl 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,450 (-11%) 5mo $180,000 $124 46
2308 Stratford Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,856 (+13%) 6mo $290,000 $156 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$121,423
Equity at exit
$153,059
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
8.04×
Total profit
$335,007
Equity at exit
$330,078

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45225

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,110 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$443
Net cashflow
$453

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,537
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2521 Ravine St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 3.5 1528 $2,995 $1.96 24d 1 0.14mi
2704 W McMicken Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1760 $1,500 $0.85 24d 1 0.18mi
421 Southview Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 24d 1 0.28mi
348 Volkert Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.5 1400 $2,800 $2.00 24d 1 0.29mi
623 Riddle Rd Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 2028 $1,800 $0.89 24d 1 0.33mi
1 Foxhall Ct Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 2.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 24d 1 0.34mi
1042 Marshall Ave Apt 3 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,195 $0.85 24d 1 0.37mi
2332 Chickasaw St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,800 $0.90 24d 1 0.43mi
2388 Wheeler St Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1740 $2,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.44mi
2386 Wheeler St Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 1740 $2,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.44mi
2235 Victor St Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 2043 $2,250 $1.10 24d 1 0.48mi
3015 Clifton Ave Unit 3015-02 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $995 $0.95 24d 1 0.49mi
2231 Flora St Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1728 $1,500 $0.87 24d 1 0.50mi
717 Martin Luther King Dr W Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 767 $1,875 $2.44 2d 56 0.58mi
595 Martin Luther King Dr W Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 2048 $1,650 $0.81 10d 1 0.59mi
231 Emming St Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 0.64mi
217 Emming St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH 4.0 2.0 1510 $1,800 $1.19 24d 1 0.66mi
445 W McMicken Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,350 $1.24 24d 1 0.66mi
3240 Whitfield Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $2,225 $2.57 2d 80 0.70mi
3141 Bishop St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 24d 1 0.82mi
812 Dayton St Unit 1056021P Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1453 $2,995 $2.06 2d 1 0.86mi
1241 Bates Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 2100 $1,875 $0.89 24d 1 0.88mi
414 Dayton St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.5 1176 $2,400 $2.04 24d 1 0.88mi
2809 Glendora Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 3d 1 0.90mi
359 Ludlow Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 24d 1 0.91mi
1925 Colerain Ave Unit 1056034P Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1453 $2,790 $1.92 12d 1 0.93mi
107 E Clifton Ave Unit 1234537P Cincinnati, OH 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 2260 $6,619 $2.93 14d 2 0.94mi
3404 Whitfield Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1291 $1,595 $1.23 4d 55 0.94mi
3263 Bishop St Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1465 $2,395 $1.63 24d 1 0.95mi
358 Shiloh St Cincinnati, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 2d 1 1.00mi
1826 Republic St Unit 1056093P Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1614 $2,812 $1.74 14d 1 1.12mi
55 E Clifton Ave Unit B Cincinnati, OH 2.0 2.0 1395 $2,500 $1.79 24d 1 1.13mi
205 William Howard Taft Rd Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 24d 1 1.15mi
3031 Eden Ave Unit A204 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 2.0 1167 $2,525 $2.16 2d 1 1.16mi
3031 Eden Ave Unit A341 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 2.0 1067 $2,500 $2.34 3d 1 1.16mi
3031 Eden Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $3,150 $2.83 21d 9 1.16mi
2813 Gerard St Unit 1540075P Cincinnati, OH 4.0 3.0 2152 $6,281 $2.92 20d 1 1.17mi
3429 Ruther Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 4d 1 1.17mi
3010 Eden Ave Cincinnati, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1114 $3,060 $2.75 2d 28 1.18mi
111 W Elder St Unit 1056044P Cincinnati, OH 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1835 $5,561 $3.03 10d 2 1.18mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-04-23
    price $169,900
  15. 2026-04-09
    listed $175,000 Active
  16. 2025-05-29
    soldstatus $90,000
  17. 2007-02-21
    historical
  18. 2006-08-20
    listed $94,900
  19. 2003-05-13
    soldstatus $57,500
  20. 2003-05-12
    soldstatus $57,500 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    PC5566 2-family estate sale! Just blocks from UC! Both apts move-in condition! 1st fl could use some paint/exterior in great condition! New replacement windows/roof!

  21. 2003-03-20
    listed $65,000 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    PC5566 2-family estate sale! Just blocks from UC! Both apts move-in condition! 1st fl could use some paint/exterior in great condition! New replacement windows/roof!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,317
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,026
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,025
− Management
−$2,025
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$2,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$703
After-tax cash flow
$4,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cincinnati Public Schools
NCES district ID
3904375
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$35,743
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7508
State rank
#581 of 656 in OH

Livability — Cincinnati

Score
80/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#1856

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cincinnati, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
505,555
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
9,583
Household income
$20,348
Rent vs Own
87.2% rent · 12.8% own
Severe rent burden
1466.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.21%
Current HPI
232.7908
Rent YoY
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+161.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $169,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $175,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-21 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2006-08-20 Listed $94,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 2003-05-12 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-03-20 Listed $65,000 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,026 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…