510 Tafel St · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PC5566 2-family estate sale! Just blocks from UC! Both apts move-in condition! 1st fl could use some paint/exterior in great condition! New replacement windows/roof!
Key facts
- 2,526 sq ft lot
- Built 1882
- Listed 69 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Clifton; Directions available: Central Parkway to E Marshall to McMicken to Tafel
- Financial info: One 1-bedroom unit (market rent listed at $750); One 2-bedroom unit (market rent listed at $1,000)
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas at street
- Home design: Duplex; Two levels
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Shingle roof; Built as multi-unit with two total units (one 1-bed, one 2-bed)
- Exterior features: Storm windows; Small lot (approximately 0.058 acres)
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Separate furnace for units; Separate gas and electric utilities
- Interior features: Partial basement; Dummy fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,110/mo this rent would consume 124% of the median local household income ($20k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $170k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.42%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,216
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2735 Wagner St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-8%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $190 | 74 |
| 2432 Halstead St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,585 (-3%) | 6mo | $72,500 | $46 | 69 |
| 2528 Valley View Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-14%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $186 | 64 |
| 420 Warner St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (-5%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $165 | 63 |
| 2953 Sidney Ave | 0.58mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,656 (+1%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 1050 Marshall Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+8%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $138 | 58 |
| 607 Foulke St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,393 (-15%) | 3mo | $342,000 | $246 | 53 |
| 305 Klotter Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+6%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $202 | 52 |
| 725 Riddle Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,466 (-10%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 318 W Mcmicken Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,504 (-8%) | 5mo | $57,500 | $38 | 48 |
| 461 Fairview Pl | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,450 (-11%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $124 | 46 |
| 2308 Stratford Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+13%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $156 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $121,423
- Equity at exit
- $153,059
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.04×
- Total profit
- $335,007
- Equity at exit
- $330,078
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45225
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2521 Ravine St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1528 | $2,995 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2704 W McMicken Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1760 | $1,500 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 421 Southview Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 348 Volkert Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,800 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 623 Riddle Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2028 | $1,800 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1 Foxhall Ct Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1042 Marshall Ave Apt 3 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,195 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2332 Chickasaw St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2388 Wheeler St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2386 Wheeler St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1740 | $2,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2235 Victor St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2043 | $2,250 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3015 Clifton Ave Unit 3015-02 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $995 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2231 Flora St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 717 Martin Luther King Dr W Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 767 | $1,875 | $2.44 | 2d | 56 | 0.58mi |
| 595 Martin Luther King Dr W Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $1,650 | $0.81 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 231 Emming St Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 217 Emming St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 445 W McMicken Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,350 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3240 Whitfield Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $2,225 | $2.57 | 2d | 80 | 0.70mi |
| 3141 Bishop St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 812 Dayton St Unit 1056021P Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $2,995 | $2.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1241 Bates Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $1,875 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 414 Dayton St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1176 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2809 Glendora Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 359 Ludlow Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1925 Colerain Ave Unit 1056034P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $2,790 | $1.92 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 107 E Clifton Ave Unit 1234537P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 2260 | $6,619 | $2.93 | 14d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 3404 Whitfield Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1291 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 4d | 55 | 0.94mi |
| 3263 Bishop St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $2,395 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 358 Shiloh St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1826 Republic St Unit 1056093P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $2,812 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 55 E Clifton Ave Unit B Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 205 William Howard Taft Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3031 Eden Ave Unit A204 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $2,525 | $2.16 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3031 Eden Ave Unit A341 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $2,500 | $2.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3031 Eden Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1113 | $3,150 | $2.83 | 21d | 9 | 1.16mi |
| 2813 Gerard St Unit 1540075P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2152 | $6,281 | $2.92 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3429 Ruther Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3010 Eden Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $3,060 | $2.75 | 2d | 28 | 1.18mi |
| 111 W Elder St Unit 1056044P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1835 | $5,561 | $3.03 | 10d | 2 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $169,900
-
2026-04-09$175,000 Active
-
2025-05-29soldstatus $90,000
-
2007-02-21historical
-
2006-08-20$94,900
-
2003-05-13soldstatus $57,500
-
2003-05-12soldstatus $57,500 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
PC5566 2-family estate sale! Just blocks from UC! Both apts move-in condition! 1st fl could use some paint/exterior in great condition! New replacement windows/roof!
-
2003-03-20$65,000 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
PC5566 2-family estate sale! Just blocks from UC! Both apts move-in condition! 1st fl could use some paint/exterior in great condition! New replacement windows/roof!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,026 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,026 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$3,026
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,025
- − Management
- −$2,025
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $2,931
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$703
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,729/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,583
- Household income
- $20,348
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1466.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.21%
- Current HPI
- 232.7908
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+161.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $169,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $175,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-21 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2006-08-20 Listed $94,900 Cincy MLS
- 2003-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2003-05-12 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Cincy MLS
- 2003-03-20 Listed $65,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,026 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…