CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
101 Orchard St
D Composite 42.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$279,000

101 Orchard St · Moscow, PA 18444
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,010 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1954 8,276 sqft lot $139/sqft · at area comps Est $288k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One level living with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, first floor laundry, all appliances included, hardwood floors in most rooms, heated sunroom, walk up attic, built-in basement garage , cedar closets, landscaped corner lot i the heart of the community.

Key facts

  • Heated sunroom
  • Walk up attic
  • Cedar closets

Tags

FIRST FLOOR LAUNDRYHEATED SUNROOMWALK UP ATTICBUILT-IN BASEMENT GARAGECEDAR CLOSETSLANDSCAPED CORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 1-car garage; Oversized garage; Driveway parking; 2 off-street/open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single family house; One level; Built in 1954
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Rain gutters; Corner lot, level; Public maintained asphalt city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Range / Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one bedroom leads to walk-up attic)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Linoleum; Ceramic tile in primary bathroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (powder room)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (oil); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Storm door(s); Attic with storage and walk-up access; Full basement partially finished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-450 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (23.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (32.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#298 in PA, #2,633 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Moscow El Sch (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #123 of 1,518 statewide, top 9%, 591 students, 43% FRL); North Pocono Ms (math 25% / reading 69%, grade D+, #163 of 512 statewide, top 33%, 665 students, 36% FRL); North Pocono Hs (math 72%, 905 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $187,139 (32.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.91%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$287,652
List price
$279,000
Delta
-3.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
101 Orchard St 0.00mi 3/1.5 2,010 (0%) 1mo $264,000 $131 100
708 Pin Oak Pl 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,010 (0%) 1mo $545,000 $271 74
216 Maple St 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,896 (-6%) 6mo $237,400 $125 68
618 Beech St 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,160 (+8%) 13mo $299,900 $139 65
206 Gardner St 0.18mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,309 (+15%) 16mo $275,000 $119 43
203 Julia St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,846 (-8%) 14mo $340,000 $184 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$123,337
Equity at exit
$251,345
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
5.94×
Total profit
$385,787
Equity at exit
$542,036

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18444

Home prices YoY
24.9%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,871 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax est. 1.5%
$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$-450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,441
Max offer price $213,927
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-257 -5% $-353 +0% $-450 +5% $-546 +10% $-643
Rent -10% $-598 -5% $-524 +0% $-450 +5% $-376 +10% $-302
Rate -1.0pp $-309 -0.5pp $-379 base $-450 +0.5pp $-522 +1.0pp $-596

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 246-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    price $279,000 246-char remark
  3. 2026-05-06
    listed $2,790,000 Active 246-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,457
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$4,185
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,797
− Management
−$1,797
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$10,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,511
After-tax cash flow
$-2,886/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Pocono SD
NCES district ID
4217310
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,555
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1894
State rank
#82 of 539 in PA

Livability — Moscow

Score
78/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#2633

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moscow, PA
City population
13,681
Population (ZIP)
13,681

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 85.51%
Current HPI
428.8661
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-90.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $264,000 Public Records
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $264,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-09 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $279,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $2,790,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+33.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $79,533 · +1823.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…