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1707 E 13th St
B- Composite 69.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,900

1707 E 13th St · Lubbock, TX 79403
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 752 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1959 8,235 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Investment Opportunity! This is currently rented out for $850/mo. , so 1% rule- Check! Come check out this property and help your investors get an immediate income producing property!

Key facts

  • 8,235 sq ft lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Taxes reported annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Property condition: fixer
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Built in 752 sq. ft. (above-grade finished area)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Paved road access; Back yard fencing

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alderson El (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 439 students, 99% FRL, charter); Dunbar College Preparatory Academy (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 430 students, 97% FRL, charter); Estacado H S (math 26% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 897 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 60% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lubbock ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,923 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.94%
Cash-on-cash
20.17%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$7,694
Equity at exit
$9,826
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$26,637
Equity at exit
$5,698

Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79403

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$941 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$346
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $719/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $548
Max offer price $65,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $329 +0% $310 +5% $291 +10% $273
Rent -10% $236 -5% $273 +0% $310 +5% $347 +10% $384
Rate -1.0pp $343 -0.5pp $327 base $310 +0.5pp $293 +1.0pp $276

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,475
Closing costs
$1,977
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1903 E 15th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 14d 1 0.15mi
2117 E Broadway Unit 1 Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 963 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.31mi
2123 E Broadway Unit 2 Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 963 $950 $0.99 22d 1 0.32mi
824 Vanda Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 832 $750 $0.90 44d 1 0.34mi
2226 E Main St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 0.36mi
808 Vanda Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 832 $695 $0.84 22d 1 0.39mi
2420 E 10th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 570 $600 $1.05 44d 1 0.47mi
1014 David Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,030 $1.00 14d 1 0.85mi
312 Beech Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 816 $800 $0.98 44d 1 0.91mi
312 Beech Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 816 $695 $0.85 22d 1 0.91mi
804 David Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,049 $1.02 14d 1 0.94mi
1707 E 27th St Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 672 $725 $1.08 44d 1 0.97mi
1707 E 27th St Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 672 $595 $0.89 22d 1 0.97mi
1711 E 1st St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1124 $900 $0.80 22d 1 0.99mi
1828 E 1st St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1011 $695 $0.69 22d 1 1.00mi
1516 E 27th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,195 $1.17 44d 1 1.00mi
2726 E 2nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 816 $695 $0.85 22d 1 1.02mi
2815 E 2nd St Apt 2 Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 750 $625 $0.83 14d 1 1.11mi
3016 E 3rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 978 $695 $0.71 22d 1 1.12mi
1704 E 29th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 832 $775 $0.93 22d 1 1.14mi
2906 Beech Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 912 $1,200 $1.32 44d 1 1.26mi
3113 Teak Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1088 $695 $0.64 22d 1 1.27mi
3113 Teak Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1088 $750 $0.69 44d 1 1.27mi
1726 E Dartmouth St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 22d 1 1.30mi
1726 E Dartmouth St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 1.30mi
1730 E Dartmouth St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1015 $695 $0.68 44d 1 1.30mi
1918 E Cornell St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,080 $1.05 22d 1 1.34mi
2608 E Colgate St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 990 $900 $0.91 44d 1 1.35mi
2806 E 30th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 912 $900 $0.99 44d 1 1.36mi
3621 E 15th Pl Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,114 $1.08 44d 1 1.46mi
924 E Emory St Lubbock, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $1,008 $1.17 14d 8 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,900 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,900 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,900 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,900 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,900 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,900 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,900 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,900 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,900 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $65,900 Active 189-char remark
  18. 2025-07-11
    price $65,900
  19. 2025-04-03
    price $68,000
  20. 2024-04-29
    soldstatus
  21. 2005-12-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$719 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,206 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$487/yr (+$41/mo · 67.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,287
− Mortgage interest
−$3,691
− Property taxes
−$719
− Insurance
−$330
− Repairs & maintenance
−$903
− Management
−$903
− Depreciation
−$1,917
Taxable income
$2,824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$678
After-tax cash flow
$3,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,089
Household income
$47,907
Rent vs Own
39.7% rent · 60.3% own
Severe rent burden
612.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 26% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.69%
Current HPI
178.9297
Rent YoY
▲ 1.52%
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $65,900 LARMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $65,900 LARMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $68,000 LARMLS
  • 2024-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $719 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…