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11590 Memorial Dr 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 30.85
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$369,070

11590 Memorial Dr · High Point, FL 34613
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,605 sqft · Land · 27 Days on market
Built 2026 8,712 sqft lot $8/mo HOA ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Elevate your lifestyle in this two-story home boasting 5 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms. The thoughtful design provides a perfect balance of functionality and style. The kitchen boasts a center island and stainless-steel Range, Refrigerator, Microwave and Built-in dishwasher. The well-designed layout provides privacy with 5 bedrooms while the 3 bathrooms showcase modern amenities. The primary bedroom has an ensuite bathroom and walk-in closets. Laundry room comes complete with washer and dryer. With ample room for entertaining, welcome to a home where each story unfold to reveal the perfect blend of architectural elegance and practical living spaces. Smart home features, with our 'Home is Connected' technology enhance convenience. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closets
  • Built-in dishwasher
  • Ensuite bathroom

Tags

CENTER ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL RANGEBUILT-IN DISHWASHERENSUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSWASHER AND DRYER HOOK UP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Builder license CRC057592; Permit number 1512429
  • Financial info: Other annual assessment $2,325; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Rizzetta and Company; Annual association fee $100 (required); monthly equivalent approximately $8.33; Association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; North-facing; Under construction with projected completion in 2026
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Built by D.R. Horton (Model: Hayden); New construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Irrigation equipment installed; Lot approximately 0.2 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Home comes with a builder-provided home warranty
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $369k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-438 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (20.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (34.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $243k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#677 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 991 students, 60% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,429/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 307% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,886 (34.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.08%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.0%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-87,761
Equity at exit
$55,030
10-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-112,647
Equity at exit
$31,910

Cash invested: $103,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34613

Home prices YoY
-17.2%
Active inventory
691
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,935
Tax from tax record
$259 /mo · $3,110/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$510
Net cashflow
$-438

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,983
Max offer price $291,761
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,268
Closing costs
$11,072
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $369,070 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $369,070 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $369,070 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $369,070 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,070 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,070 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,070 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,070 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,070 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $369,070 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,070 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,070 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,070 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,070 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $369,070 Active 1052-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1052 chars)

    Elevate your lifestyle in this two-story home boasting 5 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms. The thoughtful design provides a perfect balance of functionality and style. The kitchen boasts a center island and stainless-steel Range, Refrigerator, Microwave and Built-in dishwasher. The well-designed layout provides privacy with 5 bedrooms while the 3 bathrooms showcase modern amenities. The primary bedroom has an ensuite bathroom and walk-in closets. Laundry room comes complete with washer and dryer. With ample room for entertaining, welcome to a home where each story unfold to reveal the perfect blend of architectural elegance and practical living spaces. Smart home features, with our 'Home is Connected' technology enhance convenience. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $369,070 Active
    Show marketing remark (1052 chars)

    Elevate your lifestyle in this two-story home boasting 5 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms. The thoughtful design provides a perfect balance of functionality and style. The kitchen boasts a center island and stainless-steel Range, Refrigerator, Microwave and Built-in dishwasher. The well-designed layout provides privacy with 5 bedrooms while the 3 bathrooms showcase modern amenities. The primary bedroom has an ensuite bathroom and walk-in closets. Laundry room comes complete with washer and dryer. With ample room for entertaining, welcome to a home where each story unfold to reveal the perfect blend of architectural elegance and practical living spaces. Smart home features, with our 'Home is Connected' technology enhance convenience. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

  17. 2026-03-09
    soldstatus $440,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,110 · $259/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,110 · $259/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,146
− Mortgage interest
−$20,674
− Property taxes
−$3,110
− Insurance
−$1,845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,332
− Management
−$2,332
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$10,737
Taxable loss
−$11,979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,875
After-tax cash flow
$-2,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — High Point

Score
64/100
State rank
#677
US rank
#14099

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, FL
County
Hernando County · 169,677 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,337
Household income
$58,596
Rent vs Own
9.2% rent · 90.8% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.51%
Current HPI
276.2229
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $369,070 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $369,070 HCAR
  • 2026-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $440,400 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…