8548 Duke Ct W · Boynton Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$178,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just Listed !!! Beautiful Waterfront 3 bedroom 2 bath home with 1800 Square Feet of Living area, attached Florida room with Lake Views , two storage sheds , one attached and one detached, driveway to accommodate 4 cars . Enjoy this immaculate home with very large Gourmet Kitchen , Open Floor Plan with High Ceilings, Split bedrooms , huge laundry room , updates include New Floors , New Hot Water Heater , New AC in 2020. Beautiful furnishings are included , except for sellers personal items and artwork. Move in ready !
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Lake views
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (with number and size limits)
- Financial info: Association fee listed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee); Association fee includes common area and grounds maintenance; Community features: clubhouse, fitness center, billiard room, game room, pickleball, shuffleboard, pool, non-gated; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 total parking spaces (2 covered)
- Utilities: Electricity connected (110V and 220V)
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Resale
- Exterior features: Lakefront property; Community pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $178k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $178k).
- Recommended offer: $157k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Boynton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,179/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1813% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.12%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-21,322
- Equity at exit
- $26,615
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-30,910
- Equity at exit
- $15,433
Cash invested: $49,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33436
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 457
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,179 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$936
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$223 /mo · $2,678/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$1,023
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$668
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $317 | +0% $255 | +5% $193 | +10% $132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $129 | +0% $255 | +5% $381 | +10% $506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $345 | -0.5pp $300 | base $255 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,625
- Closing costs
- $5,355
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8202 White Rock Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $3,300 | $1.90 | 8d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4045 White Pine Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7715 Colony Lake Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2406 | $3,900 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 85 Citrus Park Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2208 | $4,250 | $1.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 85 Citrus Park Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2208 | $4,450 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3930 Max Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,370 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3930 Max Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,825 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8657 Rosalie Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2021 | $3,499 | $1.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4180 Manor Forest Trl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2021 | $4,000 | $1.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4296 Grove Park Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,350 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7823 Patriot St Unit 7823 Greenacres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2037 | $4,800 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3500 Sandpiper Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1147 | $2,579 | $2.25 | 23d | 22 | 0.84mi |
| 190 Temple Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1781 | $4,200 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4220 Grove Park Ln Unit 1 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,400 | $2.42 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4220 Grove Park Ln Unit 1 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,600 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 920 Sun Acres Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,200 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3736 Coelebs Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7705 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7705 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7640 Forest Green Ln Unit 7640 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7640 Forest Green Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5072 Arbor Glen Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,300 | $2.68 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3962 Winfield Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3962 Winfield Rd Unit 3962 Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3962 Winfield Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4259 Wood Ride Unit E Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,350 | $1.90 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1533 Rialto Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2169 | $3,500 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1239 Sussex St Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,100 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9498 S Military Trl #5 Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1317 | $2,900 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1620 Cetona Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $3,200 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1515 Arezzo Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $2,750 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1071 Fosters Mill Rd Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,900 | $1.80 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4302 Colony View Dr Unit 4302 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1851 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 107 Buttonwood Ln Unit 107 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $2,600 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9766 Kamena Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 6d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,811 | $2.02 | 0d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3561 Oberon Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,850 | $2.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3771 Newport Ave Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $3,500 | $1.95 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5155 Europa Dr Unit J Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $2,750 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,023 · $12,276/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $178,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $178,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $178,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $178,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $178,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $178,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $178,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $178,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $178,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $178,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $178,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $178,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $178,500
-
2026-02-18$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,999
- − Property taxes
- −$2,678
- − Insurance
- −$892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,052
- − Management
- −$3,052
- − HOA
- −$12,276
- − Depreciation
- −$5,193
- Taxable income
- $1,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This waterfront home is move-in ready with updated kitchens and baths, fresh paint, and a beautiful lake view. Minor exterior touch-ups and landscaping improvements would further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Rental trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boynton Beach
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #351
- US rank
- #6098
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boynton Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 148,060
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,743
- Household income
- $75,789
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 12% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.59%
- Current HPI
- 311.7742
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $178,500 MCRTC
- 2026-02-18 Listed $185,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…