214 Cornell Dr · Warner Robins, GA 31093

$179,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,009 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market

Built 1972 0.27 ac lot $89/sqft · 11% below area Est $176k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.2/30.0
• DSCR +7.1/10.0
• ARV discount +6.6/15.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 214 Cornell Dr, recently updated with a new roof, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement for an improved condition. The residence includes a fireplace, contributing to the interior environment. Outside, a patio extends to a fenced in backyard, complemented by a storage shed for exterior items. These features combine to provide a well-maintained and functional living space. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

• Fenced in backyard
• Covered patio
• Storage shed

Tags

• FIREPLACE
• COVERED PATIO
• STORAGE SHED
• FENCED IN BACKYARD
• NEW ROOF
• PARTIAL FLOORING REPLACEMENT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (1.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Warner Robins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#227 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
• Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,756/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $168,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.24%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.96%
• DSCR: 1.31
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $175,587
• List price: $179,000
• Delta: 1.94%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
133 Avalon Dr	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,970 (-2%)	8mo	$235,000	$119	79
104 Heather St	0.57mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,018 (+0%)	1mo	$243,000	$120	66
316 Meadowridge Dr	0.63mi	3/2.0	2,061 (+3%)	3mo	$224,000	$109	64
203 Gawin Dr	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,768 (-12%)	4mo	$170,000	$96	64
130 Foxfire Dr	0.53mi	3/2.0	1,958 (-2%)	10mo	$221,000	$113	63
106 Tor Dr. Dr	0.55mi	3/2.0	1,920 (-4%)	6mo	$216,000	$113	62
105 Mitchell Ct	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,832 (-9%)	1mo	$220,000	$120	57
110 Foxfire Dr	0.47mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,856 (-8%)	0mo	$242,000	$130	56
118 Foxfire Dr	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,854 (-8%)	10mo	$210,500	$114	56
123 Meriwood Dr	0.47mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,791 (-11%)	5mo	$219,000	$122	51
307 Tanglewood Ct	0.49mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,810 (-10%)	11mo	$196,389	$109	46
122 Greenwood Dr	0.59mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,224 (+11%)	9mo	$190,000	$85	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.78×
• Total profit: $-10,945
• Equity at exit: $26,689

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.25×
• Total profit: $12,474
• Equity at exit: $15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31093

• Rents YoY: 2.8%
• Active inventory: 161
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,756 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$939
• Tax from tax record: −$84 /mo · $1,004/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$369
• Net cashflow: $291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,389

Max offer price $179,000

Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $392	-5% $341	+0% $291	+5% $240	+10% $189
Rent	-10% $152	-5% $221	+0% $291	+5% $360	+10% $429
Rate	-1.0pp $381	-0.5pp $336	base $291	+0.5pp $244	+1.0pp $197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,750
• Closing costs: $5,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
106 Scarborough Rd Centerville, GA	3.0	2.0	1471	$1,400	$0.95	21d	1	0.72mi
142 Hughes Dr Warner Robins, GA	3.0	2.0	1503	$1,745	$1.16	14d	1	0.81mi
203 Lumpkin Dr Warner Robins, GA	3.0	3.0	1700	$2,200	$1.29	44d	1	0.82mi
501 Pinecrest Dr Warner Robins, GA	4.0	2.0	1818	$2,100	$1.16	44d	1	0.83mi
208 Wray St Warner Robins, GA	3.0	2.0	1509	$1,700	$1.13	14d	1	0.84mi
126 Hughes Dr Warner Robins, GA	3.0	2.0	1508	$1,845	$1.22	44d	1	0.86mi
111 Hawthorne Rd Warner Robins, GA	3.0	2.0	1551	$1,500	$0.97	44d	1	0.91mi
108 Stonefield Ct Warner Robins, GA	3.0	2.0	1483	$1,475	$0.99	44d	1	1.04mi
103 Abney Ct Centerville, GA	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,800	$1.20	21d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $179,000 Active 78 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $179,000 Active 77 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $179,000 Active 76 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $179,000 Active 75 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $179,000 Active 74 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $179,000 Active 72 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $179,000 Active 71 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $179,000 Active 69 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $179,000 Active 68 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 67 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 66 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 63 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 62 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 61 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 60 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 59 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,000 Active 58 DOM
18. 2026-04-09
    price $185,000 455-char remark

    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Welcome to 214 Cornell Dr, recently updated with a new roof, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement for an improved condition. The residence includes a fireplace, contributing to the interior environment. Outside, a patio extends to a fenced in backyard, complemented by a storage shed for exterior items. These features combine to provide a well-maintained and functional living space. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

19. 2026-04-02
    listed $195,000 New 455-char remark

    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Welcome to 214 Cornell Dr, recently updated with a new roof, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement for an improved condition. The residence includes a fireplace, contributing to the interior environment. Outside, a patio extends to a fenced in backyard, complemented by a storage shed for exterior items. These features combine to provide a well-maintained and functional living space. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

20. 2026-03-13
    soldstatus $195,000
21. 2011-08-02
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,004 · $84/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,647 · $137/mo
• Expected delta: +$643/yr (+$54/mo · 64.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,077
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,027
• − Property taxes: −$1,004
• − Insurance: −$895
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,686
• − Management: −$1,686
• − Depreciation: −$5,207
• Taxable income: $571
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$137
• After-tax cash flow: $3,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston County
• NCES district ID: 1302880
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $54,823
• Composite: 38.68/100
• National rank: #4144
• State rank: #23 of 174 in GA

Livability — Warner Robins

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #227
• US rank: #13290

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Warner Robins, GA
• County: Houston County · 157,321 people
• City population: 92,102
• Metro: Warner Robins, GA
• Population (ZIP): 26,872
• Household income: $45,991
• Rent vs Own: 47.1% rent · 52.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1516.0

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 169,502 people
• By 2030: 178,486 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 194,642 · +14.8%
• By 2050: 207,119 · +22.2%
• By 2075: 231,480 · +36.6%
• By 2100: 235,034 · +38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 47% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -130.35%
• Current HPI: 222.1627
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• Metro: Warner Robins, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+94.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 GAMLS
• 2026-04-02 Listed $195,000 GAMLS
• 2026-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
• 2011-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,004 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.