714 Mill St #54 · Leslie, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.5
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 714 Mill St. , Unit #54, a beautifully crafted home that offers a blend of rustic charm and modern convenience in the heart of Leslie. This inviting residence features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, designed to meet all your needs with style and comfort. Step into the spacious living room, where rustic design elements create a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The primary bedroom features an ensuite bathroom with walk in shower and a spacious closet. Good sized second bedroom and bathroom with bathtub. Home is on a large corner lot in the wonderful Leslie Estate. The community has a pool, pickle ball court, fitness center and dog park. Home is located in a park and the purchase transaction is subject to the park's approval of the buyer. MCM 855-377-7368. Seller is a licensed agent in the state of Michigan.
Key facts
- Modern convenience
- Spacious livingroom
- Rustic charm
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($491/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $75k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.0% in Leslie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#159 in MI, #4,066 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Leslie Public Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #329 of 540 in MI (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Woodworth Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 439 students, 56% FRL); Leslie Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #329 of 493 statewide, top 67%, 303 students, 47% FRL); Leslie High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #372 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 342 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 11% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.19%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,900
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -20.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Mill St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $147 | 74 |
| 714 Mill St #27 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+24%) | 4mo | $99,900 | $66 | 72 |
| 714 Mill St #14 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+24%) | 4mo | $95,900 | $63 | 71 |
| 714 Mill St #18 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+24%) | 5mo | $109,900 | $73 | 71 |
| 113 Woodworth St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,202 (-1%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 207 W Bellevue St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,186 (-2%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $160 | 60 |
| 318 S Main St | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,284 (+6%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 413 Meeker St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (-3%) | 6mo | $72,500 | $62 | 54 |
| 301 Mill St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,418 (+17%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $109 | 50 |
| 114 S High St | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+16%) | 6mo | $204,000 | $145 | 35 |
| 430 W Race St | 0.84mi | 3/1.0 | 996 (-18%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $120 | 34 |
| 209 S Sherman St | 0.82mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+15%) | 6mo | $209,000 | $149 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-10,330
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-5,593
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active
- Months of supply
- 10.0 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $84,900 ($70/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1051 d
- This list price
- 20% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 49251
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $751 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$158
- Net cashflow
- $41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $96 | -5% $69 | +0% $41 | +5% $13 | +10% $-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $11 | +0% $41 | +5% $71 | +10% $100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $61 | base $41 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4425 S Hull Rd Unit 4415 17 Leslie, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $975 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4425 S Hull Rd Leslie, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $975 | $1.13 | 0d | 6 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-20days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $79,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $79,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $79,900 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $79,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $79,900 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $79,900 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $79,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $79,900 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $79,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $79,900 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $79,900 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $79,900 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $79,900 Active 345 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $79,900 Active 344 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $79,900 Active 343 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $79,900 Active 342 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $79,900 Active 341 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $79,900 Active 340 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $79,900 Active 339 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $79,900 Active 338 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $79,900 Active 337 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $79,900 Active 336 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $79,900 Active 335 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $79,900 Active 334 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $79,900 Active 333 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $79,900 Active 332 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $79,900 Active 331 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $79,900 Active 330 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $79,900 Active 329 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $79,900 Active 328 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $79,900 Active 327 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $79,900 Active 326 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $79,900 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $79,900 Active 324 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $79,900 Active 322 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $79,900 Active 320 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $79,900 Active 317 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $79,900 Active 315 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $79,900 Active 313 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $79,900 Active 311 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $79,900 Active 310 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $79,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-07-22price $79,900 Active 308 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $84,900 Active 308 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $84,900 Active 307 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$721
- − Management
- −$721
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable loss
- −$830
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It has a good curb appeal and is located in a desirable neighborhood with community amenities. Minor cosmetic updates can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Add a small front garden bed — A small garden bed can improve curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leslie Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2621450
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,686
- Composite
- 27.61/100
- National rank
- #6929
- State rank
- #329 of 540 in MI
Livability — Leslie
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #4066
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leslie, MI
- County
- Ingham · 300,362 people
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,110
- Household income
- $83,458
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 173.7673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-17 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-16 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-16 Listed $84,900 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…